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Showing content with the highest reputation on 05/09/2024 in Posts

  1. 1. The "hoax" Mike, is that this issue is being called a "crisis" worth imposing suffering on the population. That's the "hoax". The political wing (UN et al) are the liars here. Even all those government paid scientists will not call this a "crisis". Curry's presentation is sensible and fact based. The politicians are warping the data and the presentation of the data in order to cause alarm...fear...in the public. For that alone, they should be caged. From the transcript: So why are they lying Mike? Why are they turning a mole hill into a mountain? Can they make a course correction? Not without exposing their lies they can't. So why? Power? Money? Why? 2. Suffering - People ARE suffering as a result of this "hoax". Are you ignoring poverty and hunger increases as a direct result of this lie?
    3 points
  2. I worked in a lab for over two decades and looking up data and maintaing data was part of my job. I kept track of Covid deaths from about March of 2000 for Canada and other countries. Looking at Canada prior to Covid, we had between 7000 to 8500 deaths per year due to the flu and pneumonia. Covid which is a respiratory, took those numbers up to about 15,000 per year and some of those deaths were also not due to Covid but the fact that people could not get in for an operation at the hospital. And most of the deaths were from those over 75 which is the norm for all other flu & pneumonia cases before Covid. Exactly why they pushed flu shots in retirement homes every year. And then jabs for high school kids. Really, less than a few dozen died of Covid over the years. Simply amazing. People can believe what they want. One thing is for sure, the government put the fear of God into people. That is how you control them.
    2 points
  3. What the unions and their people want is typically to do the least amount of work for the most amount of money. 😉 Not true at all. A lot of the early research showed promise, but it wasn't rigorous and was very survey/perception-based (like how productive workers felt they were, and how much longer they were "working" without their commute). Since then a lot of research has been released showing the opposite. Remote work seems to have better results on productivity the higher skilled the work is, and/or the more independently task-oriented, measurable and organized it is within a office. The public sector is not exactly known for its motivated and accountable workforce, so you end up with all of the pitfalls of remote work while lacking some of the biggest benefits (namely more flexible and less costly hires). A public sector union monopoly is probably therefore the least suitable environment for 100% remote.
    2 points
  4. The survey would seem to suggest trump is taking the right course. By leaving it up to the states, it lets local populations consider their own moral stance on the issue and act appropriately. Almost everyone wants SOME restrictions on aboriton, nobody except DieHard lefties are clamoring for abortion at the moment of birth. Most are extremely happy with something like during the first trimester, and it seems that most states have moved in that direction. I don't think anybody who would have considered voting for trump at all will be moved by this issue. It's a state issue now, very arguably should have been all along, and the states can find a solution that their people believe in.
    2 points
  5. The beauty of nevada is two fold. First, wide open spaces. Second, very mellow political environment. The issues that send other cities into protests, riots, chaos. etc.. barely move the needle here. We had a "George Floyd" protest here.. it lasted 4 hours and resulted in one broken window. This is very minimal in comparison to other cities.
    2 points
  6. That's the question, isn't it? I believe here is only the illusion of consensus. Same thing happened with covid. When you silence, censor, discredit, deplatform, and defund any expert who diverges from the accepted (money-driven) narrative - that's not consensus. During covid, the world's TOP experts in virology and vaccinology from places like Harvard, Stanford, Oxford, etc - were silenced, fired and deplatformed. NOW, they have all been proven to have been telling the truth. Follow the money - always. (The video I linked you to explains "the consensus", so I know you didn't watch it because you don't address the valid points in there). The fact that there ISN'T true consensus would make me less inclined to make policies that dramatically affect people's lives in a negative way. Same stance I took with covid. Unless you were 90 years old and had multiple comorbidities - very few people were in danger. This was known early on - long before there was a vax. Yet we devastated lives, devastated economies, devastated societies. I see the same progression with climate alarmism.
    2 points
  7. 1. Good. 2. Not much action? Expand on that please? 3. You're unaware of the cost of gas? The cost of groceries? The lack of selection? That's here in the land of "haves". In Africa, The West is now busily bribing African nations with billions of dollars in return for replacing what electricity generation they have (mostly coal) to "green" energy. The same ideas that have already failed in...The West. Coal plants happen to be effective and cheap. If there's no real climate "crisis", as we know there is not now, then why are we choking this unreliable and more expensive technology on Africa? Why not let them develop...THE WAY THE WEST DID? If we were to, a lot of Africa's problems would begin to remedy themselves naturally.
    2 points
  8. Unfortunately you will never get any respect from the leftists here because you dared to offer a dissenting opinion on the covid thing, but that's a solid, informative post which gives a lot of insight into how these doomsday POVs keep sprouting. You're a huge asset to this forum. Don't let the naysayers slow you down.
    2 points
  9. *giggle* Don't like freedom of speech? Don't use "X". Simple enough for even you to understand.
    2 points
  10. Lets start Jack Smith got caught manipulating the evidence in the Trump documents case and admitted it. New York still hasn't talked about any crime Trump committed and has spent more time trashing Trump hoping they don't actually look at the BS case they have brought and convict him based off not liking Trump. Paying off pornstars isn't illegal and they still haven't disclosed any evidence that Trump was ever involved in the payoffs. Also it has never been an election interference crime to suppress bad stories about yourself as long as you don't use campaign funds. Stormy's story was simply amazing. She openly admitted she hated Trump and would never give him a dime that the court ordered her to pay but you should trust her honesty on the stand, when she is happily defying a court order. The judge is a joke and literally let Stormy say whatever the hell she wanted that had 0 to do the case, it was just to smear Trump. Hell you can he was scared he was going to get spanked because after her testimony he could just see the appellate court dismissing the case and censuring him. Leticia is claiming it was fraudulent to give his own valuations with a disclosure that he can cannot be certain of the valuations and that the bank should do their own valuation. The banks themselves don't think they were defrauded and would happily give Trump another loan. There was no one damaged and the came up with a higher fine than Sam Freeman who stole billions of dollars and were actual damages. What a joke. Stop watching Democrat propaganda.
    2 points
  11. What's worse is supporting the people putting these kids out in front in danger. It's sad to know there is people that don't have a problem with that,and just look the other way and blame the jews. 1930s all over again.
    1 point
  12. LOL - it was fine the first time. You probably just sobered up and suddenly it made sense "I was afraid this might be over your head. You were struggling to comprehend that to compare two things directly they have to be the same sort of thing. You can compare a car with another similar type of car. But you can't with a bicycle. Then it's contrast for the most part- they're not the same thing. I see you spend the rest of your reply still failing to grasp this simple concept. LOL - you're the second person in a week he's made look stupid trying to defend him You're probably just not smart enough for this conversation but i'll try to dumb it down for you, There's nothing similar between the hippie movement of the 60's or the vietnam protests by students and the current occupation of universities by paid individuals most of whom are not students regarding a terrorist group and a foreign nation. Like - nothing. Other than perhaps they involve a university. So it was stupid to suggest that people now who don't approve of these encampments are somehow of the same mind as someone from the 70's. Of course - as someone who was obviously born in the late 2010's you probably woudln't get that.
    1 point
  13. The fact is, just about ALL crime is commited by non-registered guns. Another fact is take DUI (booze & drugs) and Distracted Driving (texting) fatalities into account, they far exceed gun related fatalities which by the way are caused by illegal guns and low lifes. But politicials won't touch alcohol as there is too much tax money in it for them. I watched Justin in an interview when he said gun ownership is OK for hunters and recreational shooters, but he said they cannot be used for self defence. In that case Justin, why do you have security with guns to protect you. I hate double standards. If gun haters hate guns, well maybe we should ban cell phones. I would know as I spent months on crutches due to a driver on a cell phone.
    1 point
  14. So is Trudeau fearful or fearsome? I guess he changes moods like they were socks.
    1 point
  15. Well you aren't dealing with pigs, in principle because pigs have none. People hate hypocrisy more than anything, which is why a molester or thief gets a bolder headline if he's a man of the cloth. Drill down and you'll find that there is actually more in common today than in the past. People who like to argue on here aren't as extreme as they let on. That also explains why they're arguing against caricatures a lot of the time.
    1 point
  16. That is SHAMEFULLY dishonest. It's nothing to do with CNN. There are millions of scientists active in the world. They near-universally acknowledge the fact of anthropogenic warming. You've found a one retired academic who sort-of disagrees with policy recommendations and latched onto her opinion as if it justifies your skepticism. You're "logic" is like the fool who visits doctor after doctor after doctor who all tell him cut back on bacon and salt or he's headed for a heart attack. But you just struggle through the dizzy spells and meat-sweats until you finally find some quack who tells you're healthy enough. "Huzzah, you say. I told you all those other doctors were wrong! This is the only smart doctor who got it right!"🤪
    1 point
  17. They had to hire an additional 100,000 to get the work done. The Unions should be happy to get all those union dues LOL I wish they did a study or poll to find out what the public really thinks
    1 point
  18. You can not care who's wrong and still want an end to the fighting. If i lived in an apartment and my neighbors were yelling and screaming and throwing furniture I wouldn't care who cheated on whom, i'd just want them to stop
    1 point
  19. Good to hear that you are living the good life and rightly so. You earned and paid for it, then you deserve to own it. The globalists despise you. You are the enemy and you must be defeated. The WEF Marxist globalist plans are to take away all that you and me and thee own and keep it all for themselves. These WEF globalists are buying up as much land and housing property as they can. Black rock and Vanguard are pretty much doing all the buying up of land and houses. If they ever get their way with imposing their CBDC'S(central bank digital currency)then we will all be phukd. A cashless society will be we the people's end of freedom, and to live a life of slavery. It's no joke, it is happening in real time. A website like this one will surely be gone. Creating inflation is what is causing all of the problems that we are all having today and things will only get worse if they are allowed to continue on. Covid 19 hoax, climate change crisis nonsense, and EV's are just a few of their many schemes to take away all that we have and own. We the people must stop listening to the MSM and our puppet on a string politicians who have shown us since covid that they are the enemy of we the people. Covid was a trial run. This so called climate crisis is covid #2. There are plenty of alternative news websites out there trying that are trying to warn us all about what the globalists have in store for us all. It looks like some of we the people are starting to get and see it now happening. Just saying. I like rabbit stew. 😇
    1 point
  20. It's always good when people like you can read something like this or look at a photos of dead kids being pulled from rubble and say "good, they deserve it." It's a real mask off moment for those of us who aren't bloodthirsty freaks.
    1 point
  21. So do I. I absolutely do believe that the net effect of 8 billion humans raises the temperature of the earth - to an extent. I just don't believe anything at all with regards to the climate alarmist industry's mantra. I think that it's layers upon layers of bullshit, and Dr Curry does as well. She couldn't be more clear about that.
    1 point
  22. I feel like this is such a personal thing, too. We all take risks every day and we all make calculations on what we're willing to give up or lose, based on our own personal circumstances and as much information as we can cull. The deliberate withholding of information so people can make their own decisions, is infuriating to me. It happened a lot during covid and it's happening with the climate thing, too.
    1 point
  23. You're welcome. Throughout the insanity of the last few years, I feel like the quality that has served me the best is my propensity to remain level-headed and not panic. (It saved my actual life one time, too, when myself and another person went through the ice on a quad on a river-run in winter.) It's a rare quality. I think you have it too.
    1 point
  24. There's a VERY, VERY strong trend happening right now that many are referring to as "safetyism". Here's just one article that addresses it: (and this was back in 2020, so 4 years later it's even stronger, IMO. The chicken littles of the world got validation and more power from the covid crisis.) YOU CAN SUSTITUTE "CLIMATE CRISIS" FOR THE WORDS "PANDEMIC" OR "VIRUS" IN THE ARTICLE AND SEE THE SAME PROGRESSION. The danger of safetyism - UnHerd Safetyism is a disposition that has been gaining strength for decades and is having a triumphal moment just now because of the virus. Public health, one of many institutions that speak on behalf of safety, has claimed authority to sweep aside whole domains of human activity as reckless, and therefore illegitimate. I suspect the ease with which we have lately accepted the authority of health experts to reshape the contours of our common life is due to the fact that safetyism has largely displaced other moral sensibilities that might offer some resistance. At the level of sentiment, there appears to be a feedback loop wherein the safer we become, the more intolerable any remaining risk appears. At the level of bureaucratic grasping, we can note that emergency powers are seldom relinquished once the emergency has passed. Together, these dynamics make up a kind of ratchet mechanism that moves in only one direction, tightening against the human spirit. Acquiescence in this appears to be most prevalent among the meritocrats who staff the managerial layer of society. Deferring to expert authority is a habit inculcated in the “knowledge economy”, naturally enough; the basic currency of this economy is epistemic prestige. Among those who work in the economy of things, on the other hand, you see greater skepticism toward experts (whether they make their claim on epistemic or moral grounds) and less readiness to accept the adjustment of social norms by fiat ­– whether that means using new pronouns or wearing surgical masks. A pandemic is a deadly serious business. But we would do well to remember that bureaucracies have their own interests, quite apart from the public interest that is their official brief and warrant. They are very much in the business of tending and feeding the narratives that justify their existence. Further, given the way bureaucracies must compete for funding from the legislature, each must make a maximal case for the urgency of its mission, hence the necessity of its expansion, like a shark that must keep moving or die. It is clearer now than it was a few months ago that this imperative of expansion puts government authority in symbiosis with the morality of safetyism, which similarly admits no limit to its expanding imperium. The result is a moral-epistemic apparatus in which experts are to rule over citizens conceived as fragile incompetents.
    1 point
  25. Not even close to what I was talking about. Spin it all you want but simple reading comprehension would show that you are off in left field.
    1 point
  26. The Palestinians and/or Arab-Berber population believe that they are in effect being colonized. It is not the body count of one war, one attack, one massacre. They focus on 1948 because that is the year that the Western nations imposed the State of Israel on them and essentially took their land and made them second-class citizens ( in their eyes). That is the long story made short. Now, should they get over it? Yes. Is Hamas and the state of palestine one in the same? No but there is enough overlap to correlate the two. What makes this messier than what you see on the surface is that the Muslim world (multiple nations and about 1 billion people) feels a sort of brotherhood with them. The population and leadership do not fully embrace the terrorist activities of Hamas but they tolerate it because they feel it may achieve a mutual goal.. a return to where they have all of the land. That is not going to happen. Without completely wiping out the population of one side or the other.. the only solution is where the palestinians put aside their grievances and move on. Just not sure what will make that happen.
    1 point
  27. Abortion is a complete non-issue with me. However, it does conjure very strong emotions in most. I can see it being an issue that swings the vote in some states... nevada is not one of them.
    1 point
  28. I thought we had discussed this - if there were a consensus, which there isn't, risk management strategies would be important. Rationality would have to prevail. There are some who strongly believe that since man is the #1 cause of climate change, then population must be reduced by a factor of billions. I wouldn't want those people in charge of making policy.
    1 point
  29. *says protesters are uneducated *doesn't understand what "solidarity" means.
    1 point
  30. Fear and anger are the two easiest ways to motivate people. All cults use a blend of that to keep their people in line but so does virtually every other 'snake oil peddler' out there like peta or tides or any of the left wing 'activist' groups. Get mad get scared take action - been that way since religion was invented.
    1 point
  31. 1. Yeah if you want to talk about what Curry is saying, let's talk about it. But the discussion starts out with somebody saying global warming is a hoax. It's not happening... Or at least that's the inference anyone would get from it. Then it turns into well... We should implement a new kind of politics that is more amenable to risk management discussions. And the UN should take the lead on that. Do you see how the conversation switched there? 2. Suffering... You have to factor in the enjoyment people get from exaggeration online.
    1 point
  32. Better yet, well done Canada. The question is, who let them in? I know. Isn't there some rule that states refugees are supposed to stay in the next bordering country. Are these refugees all American born citizens that want to come to Canada ie the neighbouring country. And why is this MY PROBLEM on an issue that I never voted for? I do not tell my PM which charity to donate to, so don't put the refugee problem on me.
    1 point
  33. I have been to countries that have both a public and private health system and I have used them: Germany and Australia for sure and possibly Austria. I have used hospitals in each of those countries. Their public health care systems works just fine. But like anything run that is "government run", it isn't all that efficient. As a tax payer, I would want my tax dollars spent primarily on two things, our infrastructure and health care. And not on charities to foreign countries that are fully capable of borrowing the money that we send them. Let them go into debt! I do have to chuckle about those patriotic Canadians that think we have the best health care system in the world. They should get out more and travel. We are nowhere near the "top" in health care.
    1 point
  34. One of the left's biggest vote-getters is climate change. Alt-left politicians are trying to scare kids into voting for them by telling them that they'll all die if they don't jump in line. Just like they did with covid. Does the "YOU'RE ALL GONNA DIE!" shtick sound familiar? It's the cultist rallying cry. Once you convince people that their lives are on the line you have them hook, line and sinker. They're cultists. Here's a pre-eminent climatologist, one Dr Judith Curry, from May 04 2024, explaining how hard politicians are pushing scientists to conform to the global warming agenda: Mixing politics and science is inevitable on issues of high societal relevance, such as climate change. However, there are some really bad ways to do this, and we’re seeing all of these with the climate change issue. Policy makers misuse science by demanding scientific arguments for desired policies, funding a narrow range of projects that support preferred policies, and using science as a vehicle to avoid ‘hot potato’ policy issues. Scientists misuse policy-relevant science by playing power politics with their expertise, conflating expert judgment with evidence, entangling disputed facts with values, and intimidating scientists whose research interferes with their political agendas. Dems/Libs: "THE SKY IS FALLING, DUMMIES! EAT BUGS TO MAKE THE WEATHER GOODER!" Leftards: "Oh, yes, thank you Mr Trudeau! Thank you Mr. Biden!" How did all those votes for Trudeau and Biden work out? Did they save us all from Climate Change?
    1 point
  35. I already proved to you that current climatologists don't all agree on global warming. Dr Curry aready explained, just 4 days ago, that the 97% consensus BS that climatards puff about is BS. Dr Curry acknowledged that there may be some anthropological climate change but she never said that it was driving the bus all by itself, nor did she even say that it's a given that man-made climate change is an existential threat. Stop spouting BS MH. You wanted to act like all climatologists agreed and that is 100% false. My point is well proven.
    1 point
  36. Who, other than yourself, said they were fine with this? That's an atrocious thing to suggest.
    1 point
  37. What you say is false. The judge sided with the defense objections most of the time during Daniels' testimony and he even curtailed her story multiple times with his own objections. Perhaps the defense should have offered more objections if they thought her testimony was irrelevant and unduly presidential. That's their job, and Merchan clearly was sympathetic. Instead they just let it happen and whined about it afterward. Sort of like Daniels.
    1 point
  38. 1. Agreed. 2. Sigh. Bankrupting Canada... that's hysterical exaggeration. I can say that without saying whether or not it's worth it to mitigate, or do a carbon tax. If you are one of those people calling for 100% honesty from media and want lower levels of hysteria... just saying maybe your tendency to use extreme terms is something they do too ? Maybe it's a human thing ? And people who are worried about bankruptcy... some of them think we should be charging companies for this (some conservatives on this board). Maybe Poilievre will do that, who knows...
    1 point
  39. Schools stopped teaching critical thinking skills, and then parents did. Children today do not engage in the kind of problem solving results oriented play and 'education' our parents and grandparents taught young people any more. Now you hear things like AOC saying "It's more important to be morally correct than factually accurate'. And kids are taught that their feelings have a reality of their own. There's such a thing as 'personal truth' vs simply truth. And that leaves people vunerable to stupidity. If we're being serious - if you have the ability to mentally edit out facts you don't like, then all you have to do is edit out october 7th and think about everything SINCE then and gaza looks like a terrible tragedy. Attacked for NO REASON by a hostile force, a small oppressed state with no actual standing army watches is children and women get slaughtered and starved while a tiny handful of untrained men try desperately to protect them as they are bombed!!!!! If anyone mentiones oct 7 just pretend that date is mixed in with every single thing that ever happened in world history going back 10 thousand years so you can't possibly think about one day. See? Pull a few key facts and events out of it and suddenly this looks like a tragedy. That's what you get when we raise kids to care more about self delusion than facts.
    1 point
  40. Can you think of a solution where Israel exists and free of violence all the while palestine gets all of its demands met? The two seem mutually exclusive. Yes, most do not know about the region and if asked one year ago to this date.. would not know what you were talking about if you brought up the word, "Hamas".
    1 point
  41. Not sure what your point here is...what i hear is is going to be ever ending conflict, so why debate it..it is pointless...and yet man continues to solve political problems with violence, but some how this terrorist organization has won the hearts and minds of to many Canadians, and most of them don't know squat about this entire region...they have taken a side because it is a popular thing to do...never once have they asked is it the right thing to do...there are two sides here, on one side there is a terrorist group, a city that has done nothing with the aid money it receives except to further the war with israel, and then gets the world to feel sorry for their plight, of their own doing.........on the other, a nation that has western morals and values, is democratic, and has been defending their nation since it's inception...
    1 point
  42. The list of grievances carried forth by Hamas/Palestine/Muslim world goes beyond just 1948 but it is a key part of it. A lot of their grievances have a root cause in the founding of the state of Israel. You should read the cities of salt trilogy. It gives a more intimate perspective on the greater Islam vs. the world conflict. No, it does not portray Westerners as the devil hence why it is banned in Saudi Arabia, Oman, Yemen, amongst others.
    1 point
  43. Having worked in risk management and not being a person prone to panic, I prefer the rational risk assessment method 🤣 My understanding is that climate science is mostly founded on "models". In medical, hired modelers generally are asked to model a "worst case" scenario. Rational risk assessment will then determine how likely that "worst case" scenario is. Unfortunately, basing all decisions made in any situation on a "worst case" scenario model, generally leads to.......very bad decisions and very often "the cure being worse than the disease." As we saw with covid. I see the same hair-on-fire panic, alarmism, worst case scenario modeling, rushing to implement measures with NO thinking about long-term impacts.....that I saw during covid. I see the same thing happening in a lot of situations because, for some strange reason, we have put an inordinate amount of bureaucratic chicken littles in charge of everything. Immigration is another example - hair-on-fire, panic OMGWTFBBQ!!!!!!! Canada's population is aging so bring in masses numbers of people. Zero thought given to housing. Zero though given to hospital overload, ZERO thought given to feeding people, ZERO thought given to jobs or the economy. Zero thought given to societal impacts. I hope at some point very soon, we stop giving in to the chicken littles - they're destroying us on every level.
    1 point
  44. Meaning the almost two million Muslims in Canada. Too late. Anyone from a region which is absolutely seething with intolerance is going to be less tolerant than someone born and raised here. Add in Islam, which is the least tolerant of the major religions, and you have a group that is devoted to values which are completely divergent from our own. People who hate the West, hate Western culture and values, and want to destroy the whole thing in favor of some imagined colorful rainbow of people from around the world with different cultures, values and beliefs - who they somehow seem to believe will share their own very left-wing views but don't. The reason the Left sides with Muslims, for example, is because they both hate the West, and the Left has this starry-eyed belief that the Muslims don't really believe that 'silly' religious stuff, or that as soon as they get here and experience our wonderful land of tolerance their intolerance will fade away. With few exceptions they appear to be mostly venal, self-serving nobodies of little substance, vision, or intellect who simply spout whatever words they're given by the party, and vote however they're told to vote. I like to think a Conservative government will push back on this, but doubt it will push very hard. I was just listening to an interview with a British conservative who said that their party was further to the Left than most British people, leaving those people feeling helpless because there's nobody to vote for that will represent their will. I'm not sure that's not the case in Canada, as well.
    1 point
  45. Inciting violence and praising terrorism should definitely be illegal. We have to remember that thanks to fools in the elite class, we're no longer a largely homogenous country. We have millions of people here from places where political and religious violence is the norm. We can't have people shouting praise for terrorists here and calling for more.
    1 point
  46. Dr. Vinay Prasad recently provided an analysis in his substack, of the paper with the 99 million cohort. He breaks down the flaws in the study. This was the study - which I think EX-F was talking about as showing the vaccines to be a miracle life-saver with no issues. It's important to note that this study identifies quite a few more adverse events that can happen, than the CDC recognizing only 4. From the substack: First, let us be clear, the benefit of COVID vaccination is small, uncertain or not present in several populations. For instance, there is no reliable evidence anyone who had COVID previously had a further reduction in severe disease from getting a dose (or 7 doses) of vaccine. The theoretical absolute benefit of vaccination depends on the baseline risk so the *upper bound* absolute benefits to healthy people under 20, 30 or 40 were always minuscule— bordering on zero— and possibly, not present. Available data lacks power to show a benefit in 20 year olds. Worse, there is not even one reliable study that shows a benefit in children. This means- that for these populations- even rare safety signals can tilt the entire balance. We have previously shown that boosters and dose 2 of mRNA vaccines were, on balance, harmful to young men because the risk of myocarditis was greater than the further upper bound absolute risk reduction in severe COVID19 outcomes. Many other researchers have gotten this question wrong because they use *EHR documented COVID19 infections* as the denominator for COVID19 bad outcomes, which misses the vast denominator of asymptomatic infections and infection that don’t prompt EHR visit. Eating at McDonalds looks deadly if your denominator is all the people who ate there and ended up in the ICU with food poisoning. If your denominator is all people who ate there, and never went to the hospital, food poisoning is rare. Most COVID19 papers use the first denominator for COVID19 infection. Now let us look at the paper. It has 2 huge limitations. While the denominator (vaccination) is solid, the numerator is weak. It is EHR detected cases of these clinical outcomes across different systems. The biggest problem is that MANY cases of adverse events are likely NOT TO BE CODED. The authors will argue that not coding these events should occur both before and after vaccination and ergo there is no bias (the method looks only at the relative change), but this is incorrect. It is likely there is differential missing data. That some of these events are missed much more often after vaccination. For instance, the myocarditis due to vaccination is different than myocarditis after a cold. Doctors may not recognize it as such, and be more dismissive. Some diagnoses— like splanchnic vein thrombus— may be increased in populations where you are less likely to consider that diagnosis (young healthy people) and rates of angiography and imaging (needed to diagnose it) may occur less likely. In other words, vaccination could cause a huge increase in abdominal pain from clot in a group of people in whom you would not normally suspect that in— and this analysis assumes doctor’s work it up with the same vigor as they would do for an older, frailer population pre vaccination, and they code it the same. Ergo, all the signals here are, in my view, LOWER bound estimates. I think the truth will be worse. Second, this analysis does not stratify by demographic group. The increased risk of myocarditis you will see is ACROSS ALL AGES AND GENDERS. That is a big error, when we know it is a problem that plagues young men. Doing this will mask the harm signal. If the increased risk is 3 fold, it may be 100 fold in the demographic that is facing the harm. This is a classic mistake in the field that we have published on. For this reason, every time we see a signal, we should assume it will be worse. And we should think that it doesn’t take much harm to tip the benefit-harm balance in young people, or people who already had COVID. Increases in cerebral vein clot were known and I wrote about them at the time Now, we see concerning signals for Idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) Febrile seizures Myocarditis/ pericarditis Racing heart - SVT Bells palsy (facial paralysis) Pulmonary embolism Acute disseminated encephalomyelitis and more My overall thoughts. A few years ago a vaccine safety researcher told me she worried tinnitus was linked to COVID19 vaccination. Yet, she had to abandon the project because the political pressure to not find safety signals was too high. We repeatedly see researchers saying that COVID19 is still worse than vaccination, but this is dishonest. Vaccination was worse for young men, and that can be easily shown mathematically. Imagine a 20 year old man who had covid and was doing fine, and then their college forced them to get the shot, and they suffered bell’s palsy or myocarditis. This man suffered net harm. The mistake was known not in retrospect but at the time. I know because I published a paper saying so in the summer 2021 (before mandates). Public health should be ashamed of itself for harming people in pursuit of a misguided policy goal, and worse, for obfuscating the data, and not admitting error. With time and distance, I suspect most academics will see the wisdom of my argument. I encourage everyone to read my comprehensive paper.
    1 point
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