dialamah Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 I thought this sort of thing was a no-no during the actual campaign.. Me too, but groups can register in some special category I think, so maybe that's it? Quote
dialamah Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 @Hydraboss.. You make me want to find more info, so perhaps I'll go do that. Thanks for indulging my curiosity. I was really young during Trudeau's tenure, and really have no feelings either way. Quote
scribblet Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 I thought this sort of thing was a no-no during the actual campaign..They can if they are registered as a third party which they are. I see Avaaz is registered again but with an American address, that's against the rules, they must have a Canadian base. Quote Hey Ho - Ontario Liberals Have to Go - Fight Wynne - save our province
PIK Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 Should polls be outlawed.lol Quote Toronto, like a roach motel in the middle of a pretty living room.
ToadBrother Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 Should polls be outlawed.lol They actually were in BC for many years. Quote
CITIZEN_2015 Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 And yet another poll showing the two top parties in a stat. tie. http://www.scribd.com/doc/284153512/Mainstreet-Research-poll-Oct-9 The same pollster was reporting an 8 point lead for Tories just last week so I don't mind what they reported today though contrary to all other recent polls but the direction and the pace of it is very pleasant. Quote
ToadBrother Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 The same pollster was reporting an 8 point lead for Tories just last week so I don't mind what they reported today though contrary to all other recent polls but the direction and the pace of it is very pleasant. As Eric at 308 observed, the claims of an 8 point lead were coming from pretty old data. Quote
waldo Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 And yet another poll showing the two top parties in a stat. tie. http://www.scribd.com/doc/284153512/Mainstreet-Research-poll-Oct-9 Mainstreet Technologies... so good... they have a Margin of Error @1.3pp Quote
CITIZEN_2015 Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 67% of Canadians also want change according t latest Nanos poll while only 26% want the same ................... Quote
ToadBrother Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 Eric Grenier is now saying the Liberals would win 132 seats to the Tories' 123 and the NDP's 80. In comparison, The Signal is reporting a more marginal Liberal lead of 133 seats to the Tories' 130 with the NDP at 73. Grenier seems to be suggesting that the Liberals are gaining a noticeable lead, and seems to be suggesting that the NDP's losses are benefiting the Liberals more than the Tories. The Signal clearly sees this as a neck in neck race. We're going to be entering the final stretch next week, and that should tell us whether this still remains an effective tie, or whether what we're seeing now is the first hints of the Liberals gaining dominance. Quote
angrypenguin Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 (edited) Eric Grenier is now saying the Liberals would win 132 seats to the Tories' 123 and the NDP's 80. In comparison, The Signal is reporting a more marginal Liberal lead of 133 seats to the Tories' 130 with the NDP at 73. Grenier seems to be suggesting that the Liberals are gaining a noticeable lead, and seems to be suggesting that the NDP's losses are benefiting the Liberals more than the Tories. The Signal clearly sees this as a neck in neck race. We're going to be entering the final stretch next week, and that should tell us whether this still remains an effective tie, or whether what we're seeing now is the first hints of the Liberals gaining dominance. Interesting. Considering the last two polls done by Nanos have the NDP starting to creep up (just read this, haven't confirmed myself). Orange wave? Edited October 9, 2015 by angrypenguin Quote My views are my own and not those of my employer.
ToadBrother Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 Interesting. Considering the last two polls done by Nanos have the NDP starting to creep up (just read this, haven't confirmed myself). Orange wave? I don't see a lot of evidence of NDP recovery, though if they do, it will almost certainly spell trouble for the Liberals. Quote
angrypenguin Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 I don't see a lot of evidence of NDP recovery, though if they do, it will almost certainly spell trouble for the Liberals. A lot? Perhaps no. But if they do recover, I agree with your assessment. Quote My views are my own and not those of my employer.
waldo Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 CBC/Eric Grenier's Poll Tracker updated... seat projections & regional breakdown: Quote
dialamah Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 Seems to me the trendline on the Liberals has been steadily upward since the election was called, whilst CPC has bounced around, but has trended down. I bet that wasn't Harper's plan when he decided on an extra long election. Anyway, hope these trends continue. Quote
Hydraboss Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 Everyone collectively hope for an NDP seat increase of around, say, 20 seats (at the Liberal's expense). That would work just about perfectly.... Quote "racist, intolerant, small-minded bigot" - AND APPARENTLY A SOCIALIST (2010) (2015)Economic Left/Right: 8.38 3.38 Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 3.13 -1.23
Shady Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 Everyone collectively hope for an NDP seat increase of around, say, 20 seats (at the Liberal's expense). That would work just about perfectly.... Agreed. I'd rather avoid a wonder boy victory, even if it's just a short-lived minority government. Quote
CITIZEN_2015 Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 (edited) Innovative Research just out ..Liberals now leading conservatives by 5 percentage point. Yay Liberals - 35% Conservatives - 30% NDP - 24% These are the findings of an Innovative Research Group (INNOVATIVE) poll conducted from October 5th to October 8th, 2015. This online survey of 3,417 Canadians was conductedhttp://www.innovativeresearch.ca/sites/default/files/pdf%2C%20doc%2C%20docx%2C%20jpg%2C%20png%2C%20xls%2C%20xlsx/151009_IRG29%20Wave%206%20Hill%20Times%20Oct%209%20Release.pdf Attached link contains over 100 pages of analysis!!. ps - I have problems copying charts and graphs. How did you do it waldo? Edited October 9, 2015 by CITIZEN_2015 Quote
SpankyMcFarland Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 People are beginning to realize there are only two items on the menu. If you opt for Tom, tasty though he looks, you just get more Steve. Quote
The_Squid Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 People are beginning to realize there are only two items on the menu. If you opt for Tom, tasty though he looks, youjust get more Steve. That might be the most inane assessment I have ever read.... Quote
capricorn Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 Agreed. I'd rather avoid a wonder boy victory, even if it's just a short-lived minority government. Expect a bump for the Conservatives in Quebec as a result of media coverage about the review/audit of Syrian refugee files. I base that on the positive reaction of the majority of commenters on Quebec media about the merits of said reviews. Quote "We always want the best man to win an election. Unfortunately, he never runs." Will Rogers
CITIZEN_2015 Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 (edited) People are beginning to realize there are only two items on the menu. If you opt for Tom, tasty though he looks, youjust get more Steve. I think the Liberal lead is not all from NDP only as conservative vote is down too from 31 to 34% to now 30%. NDP votes in fact is up from 22 to 23% to 24%. I think that Intelligent and passionate Canadian voters are beginning to realize the political manipulations, and politics of division and conquer of certain cold blooded, heartless uncaring party with a line up recent history of scandals and corruptions. Edited October 9, 2015 by CITIZEN_2015 Quote
SpankyMcFarland Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 That might be the most inane assessment I have ever read.... Let me simplify it for you. Mulcair is dividing the majority vote against Harper. Quote
Topaz Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 ANYONE HERE VOTED AS YET? We did and as we were coming out of voting, I could hear several people talking about NOT voting for the Harper, not the Tory Party but people just don't like Harper. There was a long line up but our poll had a short line in and out in about 5 minutes. I think we will see more voters voting this time around. Quote
Hydraboss Posted October 9, 2015 Report Posted October 9, 2015 I think the Liberal lead is not all from NDP only as conservative vote is down too from 31 to 34% to now 30%. NDP votes in fact is up from 22 to 23% to 24%. I think that Intelligent and passionate Canadian voters are beginning to realize the political manipulations, and politics of division and conquer of certain cold blooded, heartless uncaring party with a line up recent history of scandals and corruptions. If you're trying to say that conservative voters are moving to the NDP, I'll have to call you out. Can't see it. Maybe the Liberals, but not Mulcair. Quote "racist, intolerant, small-minded bigot" - AND APPARENTLY A SOCIALIST (2010) (2015)Economic Left/Right: 8.38 3.38 Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 3.13 -1.23
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