betsy
-
Posts
16,662 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
36
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Everything posted by betsy
-
Prediction: landslide victory for Trump (by Helmut Norpoth)
The PRIMARY MODEL gives President Donald Trump a 91% chance of winning the 2020 presidential election, with Democrat Joe Biden having just a 9% chance. Trump would get 362 electoral votes, Biden 176. This forecast is unconditional and final; hence not subject to any updating. It was first posted March 2, 2020, on Twitter.
In 2016, when polls, pundits and forecasters were all predicting a certain victory for Hillary Clinton, the PRIMARY MODEL was practically alone in predicting Donald Trump’s victory. It did so as early as March 7 that year, putting his chance of winning at 87%. http://primarymodel.com/2016-forecast-full.
-
So you're basing your confidence on a prediction that was made before COVID-19 shutdowns happened? That's the single most important factor that will effect this election.
The site cites Trump being the incumbent as an advantage. It hasn't been. Biden's lead is widening, not tightening up as predicted.
-
-
Oh, that Biden.
"And they say, 'Well, why in the hell would you say that Biden? You just talked about all these difficulties.' Well, I’ll tell you why. Because the American public, the blinders have been taken off," Biden told the roundtable attendees. "They’ve all of a sudden seen a hell of a lot clearer. They’re saying, 'Jeeze, the reason I was able to stay sequestered in my home is because some Black woman was able to stack the grocery shelf. Or a young Hispanic is out there, these dreamers are out there, 60,000 of them acting as first responders and nurses and docs.' Or all of a sudden people are realizing, 'My Lord, these people have done so much. Not just Black, White, across the board, have done so much for me. We can do this. We can get things done.' And I think they’re ready."
- Show previous comments 1 more
-
On the other hand, I went to Atlanta once.
-
Yep, give him all the time he'll use. He'll run out of the sound bites in short order and start talking about the black woman stocking shelves at the grocery store again.
-
Give him all the time he can use..........he'll run out of breath.
-
"Don't let it dominate your life," does not automatically translate that you don't take precautions, morons.
-
Dr Isaac Bogoch of CTV is the sensible doctor to listen to. He's above all the politicking that all these moron doctors of CNN and CBC want to sic to the public.
-
Here's the leader of PROUD BOYS! ENRIQUE TARRIO.
Pathetic and deceitful CNN reporter tries to make FAKE NEWS!
-
-
1
-
- Report
- Show previous comments 1 more
-
(Phone).thumb.jpg.165c8315c6251d31b87efa29fe65361b.jpg)
He's Chairman of the group, he took over from the founder, but leader of Florida chaper of Latinos for Trump.
-
-
1
-
- Report
-
This is insanely Orwellian. Antifa and BLM trash cities for the last 4 months and the mainstream media focuses on the proud boys. You can’t make this shit up.
-
-
1
-
- Report
-
It's an attempt by the media to paint the situation as caused by the Republicans and their supporters.
Only the truly slow will fall for it.
-
-
2
-
- Report
-
Biden Lead Over Trump Cut To 3 Points After Presidential Debate: IBD/TIPP Poll
-
Report: Bill Clinton And Ghislaine Maxwell Had A ‘Secret Dinner’ In 2014
"The Beast said Clinton had six or seven guests at the dinner and described it as intimate; a Clinton spokesperson said there were 20 guests.
Representatives for Maxwell did not respond to requests for comment by Forbes; Clinton spokesman Angel Urena told Forbes that the former president has not been accused of any wrongdoing.
Crucial Quote
“Think of all the people [Clinton] knows in L.A., and Ghislaine gets to attend,” an anonymous source told the Beast about the dinner"
-
Bill Clinton visited Jeffrey Epstein’s private island, unsealed court documents suggest
-
I'm certain no Democrat will ever vote for him again after hearing that.
Now, I'm sure you wouldn't want to look like a pathetic hypocrite supporting someone like that.
-
-
The Presidential Debate
betsy replied to Infidel Dog's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
He was running out of steam in the end - sometimes he could hardly get the whole sentence out - like he's running out of breath. Likely the meds losing its effect. He confused his son Beau with Hunter! He went on and on praising the achievements of his son, until Trump asked him, "which son are you talking about?" he answered, "Beau!" "I'm not talking about Beau!" said Trump. Lol, how can he mistake it for Beau when they're talking about the questionable $3 million? Also the moderator had to remind Biden, "we're talking about taxes." Trump handled himself pretty well, even when they both dumped on his tax issue. He hammered Biden with Law and Order - which really will resonate among voters! 300+ judges plus 3 in the Supreme Court. Trump's legacy has been cemented, win or lose! That's what I like about him first and foremost (because it could impact RvW). He's already delivered what's been on my wish list.....plus more. Lol. What's with Biden and that saccharine talking point aimed at viewers about racism? Running along the lines of...."we're in this together! Together we can fight this!" Lol - it's like the talking point for Covid - such an abused line it's beginning to sound ridiculous! GET REAL! Trump looked like he's really angry at something. Boy, I could almost see wisps of smoke coming out of his ears. To those who are unbiased, overall - Trump came out sort of stubbornly unruly but quite robust (quick too)......and, Biden came out looking frail and weak. Looking at Biden's weakness - to those concerned about the radical left in the Dem Party - Trump's warning to Biden sounds so realistic: "They'll dominate you! They'll overthrow you!" You can easily see Biden being putty among the radical left! That's a powerful imagery Trump had shown which is underscored by all the violence from left-wing protests happening all over the USA. Biden may look like he'd make a wonderful grandfather. But the people aren't looking for a granpa. They want a strong leader in TODAY'S world. -
Florida for Trump!
Florida race tightens and Trump has edge over Biden in Texas — Battleground Tracker poll
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-biden-opinion-poll-florida-texas-09-20-2020/
-
Despite Trump’s actions against immigrants, these Latino voters want four more years
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2020/09/24/arizona-latino-trump-supporters/
Today’s Election 2020 Polls: Warning Signs Flash For Biden In Florida As Hispanic Support Lags
-
-
Will the Trump Tax Scandal Hurt Him?
betsy replied to ReeferMadness's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
Will it hurt him? Unless he's committed a crime - I don't think so. If he was able to avoid paying taxes by using the tools afforded by law to businesses and corporations - why would it be his fault? -
Why can't we get diet orange crush, and other types of diet pop?
-
-
Because orange man bad
-
-
Barrett to replace RBG?
There's been news right after Brett Kavanaugh's nomination that Trump was saving Barrett for RBG replacement.
-
-
1
-
- Report
- Show previous comments 9 more
-
Keep pushing. Bull Run is next...and it won't be pretty here in Canada...created BECAUSE of the Union victory in the LAST US Civil War.
-
Lol Dialamah. Why do you respond - what is it to you if I care or not - if you don't care?
-
-
1
-
- Report
-
Quote
Again, how Canadians factor into this, I'm not sure.
For a pro-lifer like me, it's really something to see the US knock down RvW.
Even if it's just in the US - so many innocent lives will be saved.
Loving it that Trump's lasting legacy will be the numerous conservative judges he's put on the bench! He's picking them young!
-
-
2
-
- Report
-
A warning to rioters and protesters:
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis Just Made Mobbing Motorists a Dangerous Affair
https://www.redstate.com/brandon_morse/2020/09/22/desantis-riot-law/
-
-
2
-
- Report
-
About time. I've seen some of those videos where the mob a car, smash windows and sometimes drag the driver out and assault him. Not sure what they think they are achieving by doing that.
-
Let's face it. Corruption. It's in the Liberal's DNA. Anyone who still support them after all these things we've seen in the past 3 years must find nothing wrong with that at all.
-
-
-
I guess, the first Presidential Debate on Sep 29 would be revelation day!
-
Landslide coming up, they say!
-
Rich people being let in without going through quarantine procedures.
I wanna know: is there some form of corruption involved?
- Show previous comments 1 more
-
Democrats need to stop fuelling hate with their irresponsible language.
-
Dia - you're blinded by your hate that you're not thinking straight.
Idon't care whether they're Republicans or Dems or gays or KKK -
how come they're being let in without any quarantine?
Is there corruption going on? Somebody's palm getting greased, or what?
-
Betsy, I'm agreeing with you - there is corruption involved.
-
How long will they keep her around?
They're trying to figure out how to slow down the replacement nomination - the CNN anchor hopes decency and decorum will be displayed since she hasn't been buried yet - this might be the longest wake in history!
-
If President Trump is re-elected
betsy replied to Queenmandy85's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
How do you know it isn't true? Lol - a US billionaire just came waltzing in without being quarantined! Maybe she was going to do some mega-shopping! These days, i don't put too much into anything politicians say. Everybody's saying "we got your back." Hello? We're back to an even worse line-up for testing! Heck, it wasn't too long ago when I heard, "we put our kids' safety first and foremost!" Lol. look at 'em now - they're being marched to the front line! -
If President Trump is re-elected
betsy replied to Queenmandy85's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
That'll be okay, too! I'm assuming he'll carry on! I want someone with the same mindset as Trump!
