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impartialobserver

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Everything posted by impartialobserver

  1. Having finally read up on this story... it is so very sad that modern humans can fail so miserably when it comes to critical thinking. There are so many gaps in the story that lack corroboration or primary sources.
  2. As someone who is paid to investigate someone down to the most minute detail... this documentary does not even come close to meeting that threshold.
  3. The obsession with The View is a bit peculiar. I have watched it once and that was 10+ years ago and it was only because I was bored out of my skull.
  4. My point exactly.. who the hell knows? No one knows anything. It will depend on how well the economy is doing in 2027. If doing not so great then whoever the democrats put forth has a chance. If it is doing great then probably the next Republican nominee has a slight edge.
  5. So who is the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination? Now, can you keep aside your comments about approval of them or not. My point is that it is too early to actually take this seriously. If it was 2027.. then sure we have a better idea.
  6. I do not believe that when it comes to 2028, we can predict frontrunners or winners. We do not even who is actually running. This is like trying to predict the winner of a tournament when you have no idea who is actually playing.
  7. estimates can be wrong. That is why we have confidence intervals, margins of error, and such.
  8. I do not believe that this is simply negotiation. I could be wrong but I think Trump intends to put it into action.
  9. I am referring to exact impact.. exact dollar amounts, exact quantities. Those can't be known until the transactions are done and data compiled.
  10. That is beside the topic. Do you really think that one can accurately predict a frontrunner four years in the future?
  11. obviously no way of knowing the impact until it happens but the proposed tariffs are going to be impactful. All of this depends on the US being able to produce the same goods at the same cost or lower. We know that is not reality. So that will lead to price increases for some goods.
  12. interesting. Wife is decidedly liberal and I am about mostly apolitical. I do not ask her who she votes for and she does not me. It is such a nothingburger. It probably helps that we only discuss politics about once every two weeks and usually only if it is local such as road xyz being built
  13. do you honestly believe that this is accurate. Do you not think that a lot will change in the next 4 years. There is no way to know now who will get the nomination let alone win.
  14. the reason that colleges are seeing lower male enrollment is not due to the message of "toxic masculinity". Not nearly that interesting. It has to do with cost vs. benefits of a degree.
  15. I do not buy into conspiratorial thinking nor arguments... read that again. Where is there any mention of either party? My guess is that the election workers had a different interpretation of the law or there were policies set forth by someone further up that said that if a ballot arrived on time but the handwritten date was not perfect then pass it along. Or it could have been an issue of automation.. where the date stamp (when it arrived) was given priority. We have had issues like that with claims where we only look at the date of arrival when we should look at more fields or data points. the fact that you produce no boots-on-the-ground info (so no articles) nor any legal arguments (cited with actual PA code) tells me that you are simply lazy and by into conspiratorial arguments as long as they align with you.
  16. You expect politicos (both right and left) to get over it when their candidate loses. You must live in some alternate timeline or universe.
  17. like anyone else, there probably is dirt that someone could dig up on Bondi. Would I vote for her? No. But Trump like any other President-elect is going to appoint folks that align with him. Nothing all that amazing here.
  18. There are too many other unknown elements in this for myself. First, does PA state law allow ballots that arrived in time but have mistakes. Does timeliness have legal precedent over correct dates? If so, they were not invalid as per one legal definition. The court coming in an stopping it does not mean that they were wrong.. not legally. I do not have the time to be a paralegal and dive into this. Now, spare us the diatribe because it is clear that you do not KNOW the answer to my questions or you would have put them forth already. If you want the win.. no articles. Provide us with exact verbage from the PA state code (https://www.pacodeandbulletin.gov/) Also can you prove that the election workers KNOWINGLY violated any laws? No articles.. secondary sources are not trustworthy enough.
  19. My point is that the court ordering them to stop counting the ballots that lack the correct handwritten date is not all that earth shaking. Its possible that the voter made a simple mistake and did not put the correct date. Folks make mistakes all of the time. As to why they are not.. I do not know with exact certainty. If I had to guess.. the reason is that not all that interesting nor salacious. Besides Trump won PA and no one is demanding a recount.
  20. All states that have mail in ballot discard those ballots where the signatures are illegible or do not match the original provided by the voter. In the last election, around 1,300 ballots were disposed of because the signatures did not match. Pretty tame stuff honestly.
  21. The allegations against Matt Gaetz have not been legally proven. That being said.. there is lots of circumstantial and witness testimony. Whether you believe it or not is up to you. I can't say for sure being that I do not trust secondary sources (media of any kind what repackages the information). However, this is not the last that we see of him. He could resurface sooner rather than later in another cabinet position or in the Senate in a few years.
  22. "childishness".. exactly and it comes from both sides. Will be interesting to see who comes forth next time.
  23. What is sad is that you have such a terrible case of dementia. Every time that I decide to waste my time with you.. you start on the CNN thread. And then I tell you that I do not watch CNN, do not watch live TV in any way, etc. Surely you tire of repeating yourself. Conspiracy theories (regardless of topic or who starts them (right and left) are for the intellectually lazy. When something has a 99.9% chance of either being wrong, unprovable, or simply has too many gaps.. I will go with probability. Being wrong 1 out of 10000 times versus the converse.. I will take the sure bet which is plain old boring reality. To really understand a topic.. you have to do more than buy into fabrications (which conspiracy theories are). It takes time and a discerning mind which you have yet to show that you have. interesting how you only mention covid and act like its the only conspiracy theory. There are thousands of them.. Obsessed much, are we?
  24. And I have stated numerous times that I do not BELIEVE in any of them regardless of context, who peddles them, etc. In most cases, real life is not all that interesting. Every time I take a deep dive onto one (which covid is not one of them.. just to be clear), it can be explained by simple human nature and not fantastical scenarios that demand dozens of assumptions come true. Again, so that you can move on... this is not about COVID.
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