Jump to content

impartialobserver

Member
  • Posts

    4,098
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    3

Everything posted by impartialobserver

  1. My ex-in laws lived in Sandpoint, ID and so the nearest Canadian town to drive to was Cranbrook. No, we just bought them from a gas station and had some. Not that bad but also not that great. Since then, have been to Victoria for a few hours and Vancouver for a few minutes.
  2. I was trying to come up something witty but it was eluding so thought best to put it away. a bit of a side note, first time in canada was in 2002. We went to Cranbrook, BC. First time that I ever saw ketchup and dill pickle flavored potato chips. I was taken aback at the thought of ketchup-flavored anything but were not that bad in all fairness.
  3. in my case.. I have a thorough dislike of each; Trump and Ketchup. However, I get your point. I would think ( I know.. this is what you get for thinking) that after saying the same thing thousands of times that they would tire of it and find something else to whine/complain about. The American pastime is no longer baseball.. it is whining and complaining.
  4. Such an obsession with Trump and MAGA... there must be at least one more thing in this world to discuss.
  5. He has pretty much vanished from the picture. Good riddance. Yes, he lives in the same place as the rest of them, Boise, but is homeless and stays away.
  6. If only both sides knew that the racial/income lines are already drawn. No need to codify them with redistricting them. if you use Current Population survey data and combine it with mortgage lending data.. its pretty clear.
  7. I simply do not see how my being white and a random stranger being white means we have any kind of meaningful kinship or connection. My oldest brother and I share some DNA and are both white but we could not be more different. He is a life-long free loader whose life long goal is to be the John Travolta character in Urban Cowboy. But his being lazy and a pedophile gets in the way of that delusion.
  8. Well, its up to $45.39 as of 10:25 pst. I do not like Trump at all but if he is able to make this successful.. then so be it.
  9. Its pretty simple. If you threaten someone with a gun.. they are going to react. Run away, attack you, shoot you, something. No one is going to simply bow down in the face of a threat.
  10. At least in my neck of the woods.. there is no data to support this claim that illegals are flooding the market and crowding out the legal citizens. In Reno, the issue is lack of available land. 81% of the state is federally owned. Second, the terrain is not exactly conducive to building. Lots of mountains and quite often.. desolate and covered in playa dust. Finally, when you are 8 miles from the CA state line.. you get buyers that have substantially more funds available than the local. They are ok with paying $600K for a 2 bedroom in the suburbs. As the seller, you are ok with holding out for the higher price even if 9 out of 10 prospective buyers are woefully priced out.
  11. Ok, I was off by $10 but your example shows their disposable income going up by $52 (175-123) still not a game changer. How about lets focus on housing cost? If they spent $300 per week instead of $500.. that would change everything. Then their disposable income would go from 123 to 323 and that if there is only one income. In NV, the household size is 2.61 with an average of 1.35 income earners. Hmm... Your reliance on % change is deceptive. If someone's disposable income increased from $2 to $7.. that is 250% growth. But now look at the raw number.. they only have $5 more. $7 does not get you much if you are a grown adult. Your post (look below "Quick subtotal with gas at $32 and groceries at $175 (just 10% less, and a lot of staple items are up by more than 10%): Quick subtotal = 1042- 32-500-175 - 160 = 123 $175. 123 x 1.423 = 175 😉 Would people want 42.3% more disposable income? If you answered "No thanks, I don't like disposable income", vote for Biden. If you answered "Yes, I'd like my disposable income to be 42.3% higher" then vote for Trump."
  12. You can't seriously think that having $123 per working adult versus $175 is a life changer. I was raised poor and $42 extra week did not change things much. We complain about gas prices more than housing costs for one simple reason.. lack of control. You can shop around for housing. Big vs. small, own vs. rent, in the city vs. out in the suburbs, etc. All options in NV are relatively expensive but you have control over how much you spend. Gas.. not really. The distances between home and work never change. So you are forced to accept the price and move on. As for NV, I have shown that it is a relatively small portion of their average budget. Keep in mind, NV is in the upper 10% of gas prices and we drive more than almost any other state. Why? The majority of homes are in the suburbs and jobs are in the city center or in outlying areas. if you really dive into the details.. the increase in food costs is not solely based on increase in gas prices. If you parse it out.. cost of labor is the big one. Food is another one that you do not have a high degree of control over. Yes, you can choose to shop at store x and not store y. From there, you can choose to buy 55 goods and not 65. However, you can't forego it altogether unless you go to a food donation center. Most are not willing to endure the shame or lack of selection that goes with that.
  13. It would be interesting to see a regional breakdown. In the Western US, we have slightly more homeless than the midwest due to somewhat more favorable climate and recent sharp increases in housing costs.
  14. Well.. I am part of the real world where simple mistakes do happen and happen often. Humans are imperfect. When the issue that I brought up was investigated... none of your assumptions were even close. Care to know the source of the problem or do you want your hollywood-esque fantasies?
  15. I am giving the macro view... across the entire population not just those who struggle and when they go from $32 per week on gas to $64.. it changes their whole world. Yes, I know those types being as I grew up in that lower 5% of the income spectrum. So lets break it down for the AVERAGE nevadan, I use NV because I have a mountain of data at my disposal $1042 take home per week (4,515 per month). Now keep in mind this assumes a one income household - 64 (gas) - $500 Mortgage or $275 rent - 195 (food) - Utilities (gas , electric, trash, water). This is a hard one because if you rent.. some or all of this is embedded in the rental cost. As a home owner, you could have electricity and gas or simply all electric. However, a best estimate in NV is that a household pays $160 ($110 electric, $25 internet, and $25 water). Quick quiz.. which is the smallest number on the left hand side? Quick subtotal = 1042- 64-500-195 - 160 = 123 Those are the absolute essentials and cross the income spectrum. Now, you could add in the discretionary or intermittent expenses such as car payments, car insurance, health care, kids activities, entertainment, etc. As for myself, I do not have a car payment and have relatively low health care costs. I know that not everyone has this situation. The point is that folks fixate on gas prices as some magical number. They do the same thing with jobs. Number of jobs went up but because it is not the mythical manufacturing job.. that number is worthless to them.
  16. Oh.. so you are a conspiratorial thinker... I thought better of you. It was a simple mistake. They do happen. Not every error or mistake is due to some illuminati conspiring in the background. Just today.. i found 3 transcription errors on forms filled out by business owners. They must be conspiring against someone, somebody.
  17. 2. in the western US, this is the big expense. Instead of tying the health of the economy to gas prices.. maybe they should complain about cost of housing. in 2013.. average home price in Reno was roughly $150K, now it is $500K +. Reno is not even the worst when it comes to percentage increase in average home price. Average rents went from $850 to $1400. At 500k, one's average monthly mortgage is $3,400. Now that is if you are buying right now. For the others that have purchased in the past and are still paying.. they are paying on average between $800 and $3400. No matter which end of the range that someone is paying... it still far outdoes the average $64 per week or $256 per month they spend on gas. 1. In NV, we have no state, city, or county income taxes so that $1271 would boil down to roughly 1042 after FICA and Federal income tax. So now we have $64/1042 (average weekly income after FICA and Fed income tax) which comes to 6.1%. 2. As for food, that comes to an average of $293 person per month so about $75 per week. Average household size in NV is 2.61 so that comes to 2.61 * 75 = 195 per week. Still, far less than you pay for rent/mortgage but hey lets cry about gas prices and say that gas prices are the one and only expense in one's life and also say that it is the only good in the economy. Strangely enough, gas prices and GDP do not correlate all that strongly.. hmm..
  18. I would go with the under.
  19. It is the tribal nature of humans rearing its ugly head. Republican party is more closely aligned with Christianity and the traditional Christian values so better to support the Republican candidate than the alternative even if that candidate has some serious character flaws.
  20. Average weekly wage in NV as of 2023 q4 is $1271 (qcew data). Average person in NV pays $4.75 per gallon and drives roughly 270 (14,016 / 52 weeks). So 270 miles at 20 mpg is 13.5 gallons. 13.5 * 4.75 = 64.125 Some simple division says that gas purchases account for 64.13/1271 or 5.05% of their income. NV is on the high end when it comes to gas prices and miles driven in comparison to other states. So to say that your economic fortunes are strictly tied to gas prices is simply not mathematically true. Its an emotional argument. I get it.. we have so little control over the price. Shopping around does not help because you end up driving out of your way to save $0.05 per gallon. yes, this does affect food prices but as for the exact percentage.. that is difficult to nail down. If something goes up from $1.45 to $1.65, what portion of that $0.20 can you say with exact certainty is tied to an increase in gas prices... nobody knows.
  21. Recently mail in ballots were sent out in NV. There were errors? Immediately the conspiracy theories started coming in. Guess what? It was all wrong. Simple logistical error. They printed on 3 instances and one was in error. The third job, the one that contained the errors was sent out inadvertently. This is how the Internet and discussion forums are not helpful. Simple, garden variety human error was to blame.. nothing nearly as grand or exciting as certain types would like it to be. This small time case exemplifies the sore loser act that everybody in politics seems to portray. Nobody can simply lose.. it was rigged.
  22. Another aspect is that this odd belief that some random white guy and myself share some bond solely based on random genetics is laughable. Yeah.. you are white but most likely we share nothing in common in terms of traits, intelligence, motivations. etc.
  23. have been a tourist quite a few times in my time. Never in the 27 years of this have I went somewhere and started chanting and demanding action. Those who entered the Capitol were not tourists.
  24. I know the direct, indirect, and induced impacts of an increase in gas price. The point is that the price of gas is not the only good in the economy. It is important but occupies an abnormally large place in our economic psyche... because again, individual consumers have little control over the price in the short term. The other price inelastic goods are tobacco products, prescription drugs, food staples such as milk and bread, and salt. When it comes to inelastic goods.. folks pay the increased price, complain and then compensate by paying more for gas and less for other non-essential goods.
×
×
  • Create New...