Final predictions thread for 2025 election?

[Queenmandy85]

CPC 183

Lib. 127

Bloc23

NDP 9

Green 0

[taxme]

7 minutes ago, TreeBeard said:

If an AI were designed to be the most outlandish, unhinged, conspiritard conservative one could imagine, it would sound just like you.  

Did offend you and your lieberal beliefs and nonsense? The ones that and Canada's demise. What the hell have the lieberals done that was good in trying to make Canada great again? Sweet dyk all. All i have noticed for the past ten years is the destruction of Canada by your WEF Marxist woke and broke lieberals. Do you have anything to offer as to what the lieberals have done to make and keep Canada great? Well? 

[CdnFox]

2 hours ago, Moonbox said:

Everything you say is like you're talking to a mirror.  🤡

If you mean that you have the brains of an inanimate piece of glass even though you move around a little bit then yes absolutely there are similarities  

[CdnFox]

21 minutes ago, Queenmandy85 said:

CPC 183

Lib. 127

Bloc23

NDP 9

Green 0

That would be nice but as much as I would love to see that I think probably:

CPC 164

Lib. 144

Bloc24

NDP 12

Green 0

[Moonbox]

1 hour ago, CdnFox said:

And it's just as fair to say the majority of Canadians don't like Carney.  He's never pulled above 50% has he. In fact he's falling

Nope!  

Carney's polled close to 50% favorable and sometimes above.  

Poilievre can barely hit 40%, with the unfavorable percentage growing to upwards of 60%.

https://angusreid.org/all-down-to-e-day-carney-poilievre/

Net favorable of +13%, vs net unfavorable of -20%.  Ooof. 

Don't worry too much though.  The CPC still has a chance here, in spite of their creep leader.  As I've said before, if the Liberals win, it'll be because of Carney vs Poilievre, and in spite of the Liberal record.  Take the Leaders out of the equation, and the Liberals are down to 28% and the Cons are up to 40%.

If the Conservatives win, it'll be in spite of Poilievre.  That doesn't mean you have to take down all of your posters though. You can still worship the guy if he loses.  

Edited Monday at 07:44 PM by Moonbox

[CdnFox]

1 minute ago, Moonbox said:

Nope!  

Oh dear. You're about to get schooled in math again aren't you. You who cannot recognize a variable from a constant and thinks that 100 - 50 isn't 50  

Lets keep it quick

Favourability for the job has nothing to do with whether or not they like him.  If they really felt that way they'd vote for him and he's never polled above 50 percent which is what i said. 

I love that you tried to win by posting something  OTHER than what i said tho  

And for the 100 th time, you provide no links so people can't look at the data.  What a shock. 

 

So. Lets look at the polling

Nope. Never polled above 50 percent since he took over.  Not once. 

So there you go.  

 

Imagine that, you were wrong again. Yawn.

[Moonbox]

1 minute ago, CdnFox said:

Oh dear. You're about to get schooled in math again aren't you.

Nope. Never polled above 50 percent since he took over.  Not once. 

The question was whether or not people liked the party leaders.  Where on this chart are they telling us how much people like or dislike the party leaders?  Nowhere!? 

Great "math lesson", muppet! 🤡👌

[CdnFox]

59 minutes ago, Moonbox said:

The question was whether or not people liked the party leaders. 

There is no actual poll about that. If you read the polling information there are two things that people look at, whether they think they would make a good prime minister or whether or not they are going to vote for them.

I was pretty clear and I was correct, you've never seen 50% of people say they would vote for kearney.

I guess that you were wrong and that you hate being wrong so you always try and change what the conversation is about to something that sounds more right. But unfortunately that doesn't change the fact that you are wrong

 

Quote

Where on this chart are they telling us how much people like or dislike the party leaders?  Nowhere!? 

You said that it's the reason less than 50 percent would vote for PP.  I pointed out less than 50 percent would vote for Carney. So they don't like him any better.  You were the one who tied voting intent to what people thought of them.

 

Quote

Great "math lesson",

Yep, lets go through it  

42 percent is less than 50. 

Variables are not constant. 

100- 50 is 50. 

With a little more work we can get you all the way up to grade one math in no time  

[SpankyMcFarland]

Better than the Liberals expected three months ago. I boldly predict they won’t be wiped out. 

[TreeBeard]

13 minutes ago, SpankyMcFarland said:

Better than the Liberals expected three months ago. I boldly predict they won’t be wiped out. 

i predict the NDP will lose “official party status” this election. 

[CdnFox]

42 minutes ago, SpankyMcFarland said:

Better than the Liberals expected three months ago. I boldly predict they won’t be wiped out. 

Well they dodged a bullet with trump and there's just no two ways about it. The NDP kept them afloat so that jag meat could get his pension and that was a bit of luck and then trump came along at a perfect moment to breathe new life into them. What's that old saying about I'd rather be lucky than skilled?

[West]

Already funny business going on at the polls. The globalist ruling class want to make Canada the "resistance" to populism put you under vile bs

[SpankyMcFarland]

Jason Kenney is encouraged by the number of new voters which he anticipates may have more of his supporters among them. 

[SpankyMcFarland]

Clifford Small is ahead for the Cons in Central Newfoundland. I believe he is the only sitting Tory in the province and it was a solid Liberal seat for decades before the last election. 

Edited Tuesday at 12:09 AM by SpankyMcFarland

[SpankyMcFarland]

Tories ahead 2:1 so far - in three seats I should mention. 

[SpankyMcFarland]

2:2. I don’t know if these votes tend to come from smaller places with more remote workers in Alberta. If they’re representative it looks like a swing to the Tories. 

[SpankyMcFarland]

19:12 for the Libs. I wish the swingometer featured more prominently here. 

[SpankyMcFarland]

Clifford Small is projected to win in Central Newfoundland. He’s got a big margin there. 

[Army Guy]

7 hours ago, Moonbox said:

He said he was sticking around if he loses.  Who knows?  Not you or I.  

PP has never had a job outside of barking slogans and insults at opponents.  Good at it?  Maybe if what counts is riling up the base, but judging by the fact that the majority of Canadians don't like him and he seems poised to lose what should have been an unlosable election, I'd say that's up for debate! 

He is a banker, he is not sticking around for official opposition leader pay check when he could be earning millions elsewhere. 

He has held many political seats....You don't like him, majority of Canadians are going to vote for change....and change is not carney. 

[SpankyMcFarland]

1 hour ago, TreeBeard said:

i predict the NDP will lose “official party status” this election. 

You wild man, you. 

Seat change - one up for the Tories. 

[SpankyMcFarland]

Madawaska Tory ahead. 

[SpankyMcFarland]

Gain for the Tories in Western NL - Carol Anstey. Libs down two, getting anxious. 

[TreeBeard]

2 minutes ago, SpankyMcFarland said:

Gain for the Tories in Western NL - Carol Anstey. Libs down two, getting anxious. 

Good lord…. This thread is going to be 200 pages long by the time you get to BC!  You really like elections!   
 

I got to say though, you are invested way too much in the extremely early results!

[SpankyMcFarland]

1 minute ago, TreeBeard said:

Good lord…. This thread is going to be 200 pages long by the time you get to BC!  You really like elections!   
 

I got to say though, you are invested way too much in the extremely early results!

I’ll be handing the torch over long before BC. 

The frequent posts create more drama, don’t you think? 

[West]

Elections Canada's website is down. More funny business