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Keep an open mind on Smallc's comments - he's one of the more balanced and thoughtful posters. No one party can satisfy anyone all of the time.

I have not yet made up my mind yet, except I'm pretty certain it won't be the Liberals.

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every time someone brings this thread back on track to update/discuss polling... and only polling...

Forum: NDP 40 LPC 30 CPC 23; NDP leading in Ontario, 41% support in SK/MB, over 50% support in QC.

This seems almost unbelievable. We'll need to see what other polls look like.


Forum Research Polling - August Polls:

dY1Mv7d.jpg

Edited by waldo
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The most interesting part of the Forum poll is:

The Conservative vote is more likely to be wealthy ($80K to $100K - 27%, $100K to $250K - 26%). The Conservative vote skews to the least educated (high school or less - 29%), while the NDP vote skews to the best educated (post grad - 45%).
4-in-10 past Conservatives not voting....
Conservative voters are more likely to be those with most money and least of education. It speaks a volume about this party!!.
Edited by CITIZEN_2015
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Forum: NDP 40 LPC 30 CPC 23; NDP leading in Ontario, 41% support in SK/MB, over 50% support in QC.

This seems almost unbelievable. We'll need to see what other polls look like.

Why unbelievable? All pollsters and pundits assumed the Duffy trial would have negative implications for Tories - well, here they are in spades.

The Ontario regional numbers are particularly tough for Conservatives. In the region that must form the nucleus of a winning effort the once-thought invincible party core now shows signs of crumbling.

Twenty-three per cent nationally is possible third party status - an unthinkable step down for this gov't.

Conservatives have 8 weeks to stop the bleeding and turn this race around. It might be too late.

.

Edited by Vancouver King
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Duffy

Duffy

Duffy...

People said this wouldn't look good for the PM, and it was even worse than expected. His current right-hand man was in on the whole thing... The PM clearly lied to Canadians all along...

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I don't see how we aren't/won't be in a recession. Are there any other government assets Harper can sell? We know he has already raided the rainy day fund.

June is very unlikely to be negative, though I'm not ruling it out. If we were in recession, we're out now.

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According to IPSOS, Tom Mulcair has passed Stephen Harper as Canada's choice for the best person to lead this country. Leading at 37% Mulcair beat out Harper who now sits at 31%, one point behind Trudeau at 32%. Mulcair is also seen as the leader most likely to run the most "open, responsible, and ethical government" at 40%.

This is terrible news for Stephen Harper because despite bouncing around in the polls when it comes to voting intention, he maintained the lead as the best leader and most likely to run the most open, responsible, and ethical government. This points to a shift in perception about Stephen Harper. He no longer enjoys the benefit of the doubt from voters. It's going to be hard to change people's minds about his leadership abilities after serving for nearly a decade at the helm.

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According to IPSOS, Tom Mulcair has passed Stephen Harper as Canada's choice for the best person to lead this country. Leading at 37% Mulcair beat out Harper who now sits at 31%, one point behind Trudeau at 32%. Mulcair is also seen as the leader most likely to run the most "open, responsible, and ethical government" at 40%.

This is terrible news for Stephen Harper because despite bouncing around in the polls when it comes to voting intention, he maintained the lead as the best leader and most likely to run the most open, responsible, and ethical government. This points to a shift in perception about Stephen Harper. He no longer enjoys the benefit of the doubt from voters. It's going to be hard to change people's minds about his leadership abilities after serving for nearly a decade at the helm.

Harper help the NDP to get were they are. Harper has an obsession with Trudeau because of his dad and the Energy Program in brought in the 1970's, long time to carry that around in one's head.

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I wouldn't be so sure of that recession. The sixth month is likely to be in the black.

Even if for the month of June we have positive growth that does not mean that we are not in recession. Recession is defined as two quarters of negative growth and 1st quarter we did have negative growth and for the first two months of second quarter we also have had negative growth so unless we have a strong growth for June suddenly then we can still be in a technical recession but with month of June growth.

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