Vancouver King

A thought upon the death of Sunny Days: Does yesterday's outburst indicate the PM's workload has reached it's hyperactive maximum, and future impulsive behavior should be expected?

Most Canadians are fed up working their tails off only to discover they can never afford retirement, buy a house or ever get ahead. The tiny segment of Canadian society (2-3%?) claiming all new wealth creation will have their interests served by O''Leary..

The Liberal solution to unfairness with FPTP is likely the issue to cause major damage to it's approval rating. Stacking the parliamentary committee to avoid an obvious proportional representation answer in favor of a ranked ballot, threatens to bury Liberal credibility. Trudeau is playing with fire.

All consideration of O'Leary for PM ends with the fact he is completely unilingual. A politician unable to speak French but who still seeks high office is a political lunatic or, more charitably, an unqualified dinosaur.

A horror show movie title just occurred to me - Night of the Lunatic Fringe.

Mulcair was both savior and dunce to NDP prospects last October. He moved his party to the right in the last election in a timely bid to gain fiscal respectability - long an NDP barrier to power. This strategy was working - according to all polls - until he blundered his response to the controversial niqab issue. His 'gov'ts have no business in the wardrobes of the nation' stance did not play well with his fiery Quebec core support, and the rest is history. As a parliamentarian he has few equals. His daily grilling of Harper in QP probably contributed to a damaged Conservative profile among voters. On balance, however, a leader unable to deliver even a minority with the favorable circumstances handed him last October, does not deserve another shot at success.

Son of PET used his relative wealth as a campaign prop ("... wealthy individuals like me do not need taxpayer help and Canada cannot afford to pay them..."). This rhetoric was an important element in the Liberal campaign effort to out flank the NDP on the left. Trudeau's failure to deliver 25,000 refugees by year's end could be chalked up to youthful exuberance, however, this nannie subsidy issue shows the failures are now morphing into something more ominous - a return to "pigs at the trough"?.

... and the inquiry into missing and murdered aboriginal women will be in it's 42nd month of endless hearings, and a review of fptp voting system will still be awaiting a Senate committee background report, but first and foremost, richer Canadians will be measurably better off. Did you expect anything less?

Four years from now? Well, affordable housing will be still be a distant dream for many young working Canadians, seniors on GIS will continue to spend many weeks in hospitals and ambulances since they still won't be able to afford their prescritions or food on their tables, and, commuters in Vancouver will suffer the usual gridlock since the promised BC infrastructure poster project - the Broadway subway - remains an engineering dream due to cost sharing squabbles. As a result of above, and many more failed promises, the NDP will have an 8 point lead in the polls.

No more hand wringing required, folks, a vast coast to coast Liberal sweep will commence in a matter of hours.

The NDP's constituency in Quebec is ethnic French Canadians whereas Liberal support was confined to English enclaves in Montreal This distinction is important since each group received the parties support for the niqab with varying intensity. NDP supporters reacted with outrage - overnight the NDP's support dropped from 51% in the region to the low 40's In contrast, Liberal constituencies were far less anti-niqab and, accordingly,the Liberal support remained relatively stable. The initial benefactors of the NDP slide were the Bloc and Conservatives and only after the bottom truly fell out of NDP support two weeks later did Trudeau's party begin to share in disaffected and defecting NDP voters. Polling by Leger paints a story of a regions federal politics turned upside down. This NDP bleeding to it's rivals in Quebec continues into election night - all resulting from a principled stand on the niqab by Thomas Mulcair.

No, but to compensate they let me have an extra seat projection: Lib - 178 CPC -100 NDP - 57 Bloc - 2 Grn - 1

OK, I am taking another revamp based on my correct observation of a Liberal majority. Liberals - 178 CPC - 100 NDP - 57 Bloc - 2 Grn - 1 I wonder if Harper's concession speech is written yet.

Is that what your Fredericton secret internal polls suggested - solid Conservative showings in Trudeau country?

The bigger question is at one point during the campaign did the public begin to view the Liberals as the vehicle for change - despite the NDP's front running into September. The answer likely involves the niqab.

6 Greens? I can see Victoria joining Elizabeth May but the entire Island is a stretch.

This was taken off the Exegsesme table in Seat Projections thread - post #209. I too just checked and the actual number from G & M is 161. My bad for assuming such an elaborate table from another poster must be accurate. I will self-flagellate later this evening.

Political junkies in this forum should be demanding of the electoral gods a minority outcome tomorrow, if only for their own mental health. Can you imagine the boredom of a majority compared to the potential intrigues of a Trudeau minority?

1. Liberal majority 2 Liberal minority ... there are no other real-world possibilities.

If Chretien can do it with 38% so can son of PET. Chances are tomorrow we will all be toasting a Liberal gov't - however, I am the only one talking up why a Liberal majority is not in Canadians interest. Your fear of Harper somehow resuscitated from his death bed is irrational.

G & M projects 170 seats for Liberals.

I recall Chretien winning a majority with 38%.

I couldn't agree more - but for different reasons. A Liberal minority propped up by the NDP ensures Liberals will have less opportunity to rule from the right after it's campaign on the left, a favorite Grit trick. The NDP will likely demand Trudeau stick to his campaign promises. Also there is less likelihood the 'pigs at the trough' insider crowd will make an early move against the treasury. A minority gov't implies, as you stated, a period of Liberal rule under effective checks and balances to make the adjustment after a decade of one man Harper gov't. Liberals ruling from a minority is very much in the public interest.

Anti-Harper forces rejoice! The poster boy for Conservative ignorance - Employment Minister Pierre Poilievre - is now predicted to lose in Carleton. Polll Tracker has it 37 to 31 in favor of the Liberal. Call it Karma, call it justice, this probable result is especially satisfying.