Moonbox

Not when you have to double the margin of error to get yourself there! Let's see now... Difference between 42.6 - 37.1 = 5.5 Margin of Error = 2.7 QUICK! What's 5.5 - 2.7? 🤡🤡🤡

Except for the part about all of the polls being tied, which is categorically not true. 🤡🤡🤡

When you're within the margin of error one way, you can call that a statistical tie. Mainstreet definitely, and maybe EKOS could say that. These predictions are made on distributions, however, so the further from the polled number, the less likely they predict it will be. For most of the other polls to be "ties", you need the unlikely scenario that their margins of error are both fully realized, and that they both go in the direction required for the Conservatives. That's wishful thinking. It's not impossible, and momentum could swing, but if the election were held today they're still predicting a Liberal majority, and by 1 point higher than they did yesterday.

Those aren't ties, donkey. Assigning the negative margin or error to the Liberals and the positive to the Conservatives is wishful thinking, not actual logic. If done in reverse, then the Conservatives are 10 points behind. Nobody is starting a thread about that though, because they're not completely retarded.

Where's that? Not here. Is this going to be another example of you refusing to provide any cites or evidence, while insisting you totally already did? Michael already posted the proof on how wrong you were, so at this point it's just a matter of how much energy you'll spend petulantly ranting at us over how retarded you made yourself look...again. 🤡

I just did dumdum. Show us where all of the polls say it's a tie, or we can safely conclude that you've clowned yourself...again. As for the rest, make up your mind over which fantasy you're going to subscribe to. Am I the coward too afraid to engage you, or am I the sad puppy following you and engaging you everywhere? 🫠

You're the one looking stupid here, muppet. Why bother asking you directly? You so regularly prove yourself full of shit that it felt safe to assume this was another example of you clowning yourself. Feel free to prove otherwise. 🙄

beat you to it, sucka.

Just our resident genius, it seems. He probably got it from the fine "journalists" at Rebel News. 🫠

Yeah I think they are fine. They're supposedly the 4th-5th most reliable in Canada, which sounds bad but is actually pretty good. I'm just confused by where we get "All the Polls say it's a TIE" when it appears to only be a single pollster out of many. 😑

He's getting clobbered out East as well, by almost 17 points. He's +10 points down in Ontario and 16 points down in Quebec. I'd love to see where genius is getting his polling information from though, because the only pollster I've been able to find showing the race is a tie is Mainstreet Research. I'm not prepared to make any prediction here. The polls still look really bad for Poilievre from what I can tell, but I find it hard to believe the Liberals can actually get re-elected after Trudeau pooped all over Canada.

No, the judge literally disagreed they were journalists, citing that almost nothing they produce is original news content. It was an emphatic rebuke of who Rebel Media is and what they do, with the federal court judge summarizing that the large majority of what they publish has no basis in facts and that what little that does is almost all coming from other organizations and being reposted. For you to sit there and point at the fact that 2% of what they post is actual original news content is proof of their journalism chops is peak comedy. You are what you do, and if 98% of your time is spent doing things other than journalism, calling yourself a journalist is retarded, but very on-brand for you. 🤣👌

Ten articles out of the ~420+ they posted. TEN. That's 2% of their content. The judge confirmed they don't qualify as a journalism organization. ...and we both know what it means when you need to start telling everyone you're winning. 🤡

Lol nope! That's the part the federal judge confirmed they don't actually do. When asked to submit a 3-week period of their content for review, only 10 out of 400+ "articles" they published had anything even resembling original news content. Ranting uselessly about stuff and spreading 10-IQ misinformation doesn't count as news. If it did, you'd be the most prolific "journalist" in the country! 🤣

You're not the first, or even the 50th person who's said something like this to him on this forum. How do you debate someone who literally has no life? 🥴

Yeah, exactly. They're all in it together. BBC, CBC, Europe's Broadcasting Union, AP, Reuters, the NY Times, Washpo, Google, Youtube, Twitter, FB, FBI, Illuminati, the Free Masons, the Mind Control Vampires from Zeta Reticuli... They're all in it together to fool us. 🤡🤡🤡 The bubble is comfy. The bubble is safe. 🫂

No, here's the whole quote: For the purpose of accreditation, a "media organization" is an organization that either produces original news content related to coverage of Canadian or international political news, or covers political, social and policy issues. Bolded is journalism. Second part is wide open: advocacy groups, think-tanks etc. As already mentioned, a federal judge just ruled they don't count as a journalism organization, because they're not actually producing any original news content. They're just a bunch of loud shrills reposting content from elsewhere and ranting about made-up shit and other nonsense. Of course you're a fan. 🙃

All true, the problem that Poilievre has is that he can't convince most Canadians that he's the solution. The cure has to be better than the disease. Talking about 15% income tax cuts while ragging about the deficit is not confidence-inspiring.

That's the crazy thing here. They don't even try to hide that they're nothing but political activists, but the apes are so desperate for the noises they want to hear that they'll convince themselves this is a credible news source anyway.

That tracks. I'm somewhat sympathetic to the folks who complain about left-leaning bias in a lot of news. When Rebel is the alternative they present, my faith in humanity dies a bit.

No, it's not. There's no requirement to be a journalist to attend. All you have to do is be an organization that: covers political, social and policy issues. https://www.debates-debats.ca/en/news/2025/opens-media-accreditation/ As mentioned, not only has Rebel's status as a journalism organization been denied, that ruling has been confirmed on appeal recently by a federal court judge. They do almost literally zero journalism, which again is likely why they registered as a political advocacy group.

These are the same complaints. No, it is the matter at hand. It's Rebel Media being Rebel Media - doing exactly what they always do. It's a tired routine and not even the least bit noteworthy outside of the folks already drinking their Kool-Aid.

No, they have no said that. They overruled the debate commission's decision to bar them from attendance, and for numerous reasons. Not only has a federal judge since ruled that Rebel doesn't qualify as a news journalism organization, Rebel themselves apparently don't either, registering for this years debate as a political advocacy group.

Again, that's not how it works. Journalists report the actual news, not the news that you want to hear. Because they weren't even really asking questions. They were peddling grievances and making accusations disguised as questions. Rebel "News" is in the business of crying foul about confrontations they themselves start. How many videos have we seen from these clowns of them jamming mics in people's faces and yelling asshat questions at them, and then crying foul when someone shoves the mic away or pushes them aside? A LOT.

Where did the courts say that? A federal court literally ruled they were not back in September, when Rebel appealed being denied federal subsidies and the decision was upheld on the basis that they do almost literally zero actual journalism. 🙃