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impartialobserver

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Everything posted by impartialobserver

  1. Its promising to see that at least one other notices that BOTH sides do it. We had a primary election for governor and a small county commissioner race where the sore loser act crept up. The loser in both cases lost big but they could not accept the result. So they paid for a recount.. failed. And then when that did not work, they took to social media and found an audience.
  2. The candidates that I have seen listed are. Of those, none can beat Trump. The one who would get the most Electoral Votes but still lose is Newsom. Newsom would win the standard blue states but probably lose in the "swing" states of Wisconsin, Georgia, and Arizona. Kamala Harris Gavin Newsom JB Pritzker Gretchen Whitmer Pete Buttgieg Andy Shapiro
  3. Welcome to the world.. From here on out.. every election will not be won or lost. Nope. Every loser will claim that it was rigged against them. Even the winners will sometimes claim that they should have won by more but it was rigged. Such a sad state of affairs.. never in American history has being the sore loser been so accepted.
  4. "Biden is simply uninspiring. In todays day and age of style over substance... he has no style. " Surely you can read at a first grade level... your claim that i posted that I do not care falls flat. The sentence above does not contain the clause or phrase, "I do not care".
  5. "Well then take my word for it" I will do no such thing for anybody.. let alone you. You have some twisted perceptions.. I guess this is what happens when you obsess about something hour after hour and are desperate for affirmation. The whole dilemma has always been that Covid-19 is not a topic I care about. Now, read that again.. If I do not care then I have no stance such anti-vax or pro-vax. Can you comprehend that last sentence?
  6. There is nothing wrong with them. A certain somebody gets flustered when someone does not echo his sentiments word for word. Rather lonely existence indeed.. to hate everybody that is not aligned with you perfectly.
  7. And I thought that you were capable of civilized discussion.. well, apparently not "Buddy, how many genders are you, currently?"
  8. You know that I am not a wealth of information on the topic of COVID-19 so I would have no idea at first who is correct. And besides, I am not going to sift through thousands upon thousands of articles from the sources that you listed. Besides, because I am not you.. going to inevitably arrive at a different conclusion and because of that.. you will start with your typical ad hominem attacks and demeaning of my credibility/intelligence.
  9. "genius"... not quite. All I get from this forum is that you are passionate and confrontational. In the media, your sole aim is to get clicks, ratings, revenues. Being correct.. is not a necessary condition to obtain these. As a government employee.. If I publish something, I have to not only be correct but be able to reproduce the method used to get the number. No hiding behind "sources". I have had some (not a lot) contact me to find out how I arrived at this number or such... and I have to guide them through how to download it, what software to install, and what code/script they should use to come to the same exact number. Below is an example.. the NV portion comes straight from me. https://oui.doleta.gov/unemploy/csv/ar2112.csv
  10. So in short.. you can't provide any explicit quotes. Its really a good thing that you are not an analyst, doctor, or lawyer.
  11. Anyways, my guess is that Trump wins. It is actually quite interesting how we can have a race where neither candidate is all that popular or well liked. That being said.. just have to wait until 2028. Hopefully, the 165 or so million Americans that vote can put forth two better candidates.
  12. Not that I needed yet another reason to not move there.. here is the nail in the coffin. I know that will lure in some and that is fine.
  13. https://www.hcn.org/articles/supreme-court-gives-cities-and-towns-power-to-criminalize-homelessness/ This is going to have a large impact on the major cities out west.
  14. Again.. not data analysts. If you say that someone is lying.. human nature states that you will at least open it or start reading it. To most people, simple data analysis is boring. It does not tell you who the villain is, it does not make grand accusations.. it just says that something increased by 12% over the year.
  15. Hmmm... you really should try growing up and not defaulting to ad hominem attacks or assumptions. If you do not like what I post.. you could be an adult and just keep scrolling. Where have I said that I do not care in this thread. I challenge you to show EXPLICIT examples.. no opinions, no rhetoric, no subjectivity... let's see it.
  16. Ok.. here are some. The economist, American Economic Review, Wall Street Journal, raw data such as QCEW, CES, LAUS, and PCE, Econometrica, High Country News, and Journal of Human Capital. Rarely do I only use one source.. you tend to have to read a variety of sources and then add some personal real life perspective.
  17. Someone needs to get a life ^^^^. Stepping away from a meaningless internet forum for a variety of reasons... is not running away. You run away every night when you go to sleep... So lets imagine that we have 5 candidates on one side. None align with this fictional person's view completely. Lets say that it breaks down as such Candidate 1 : 10% alignment with their views. (85% chance of winning) Candidate 2 : 15% (70%) Candidate 3 : 18% (50%) Candidate 4 : 20% (40%) Candidate 5: 40% (20%) You think that candidate 5 would get your vote. But now lets add in perceived chance of winning. In most cases.. society goes with Candidate 1. He aligns a tiny bit with their views but he will win so we will tolerate him and then hope to implement the other parts of the agenda afterwards.
  18. hate to tell you but the media are not data analysts. We produce all sorts of publications and when 2020 is the base year.. we preface it with, "This was the year of the pandemic and so should not used as a comparison to other times". Their jobs, revenues, ratings do not depend on being fair, balanced, correct, etc. They need you to click on it and then share it and so on. Its up to the consumer to decide if the content is worth reading.
  19. Hmmm.. I am completely honest and like always.. you can't handle it. Of the sources that you listed to be a part of TNI.. I rarely if ever read them. Not so sure what is so complex about that. "head in the sand"... this is internet forum poster epitomized. I could say that your head is in the sand because you do not know the intricacies of us federal reporting. You must be willful ignorant to not know exactly down to the last number how the ETA 218 report is formulated. I am willing to say that I do not know something... nobody knows everything. serious question... why do you not produce a podcast or a blog? It seems as if you would get a greater audience than the 10 or so on here.
  20. But that runs contrary to your conclusion that they care about agenda/platform first and foremost and chance of winning coming in second (if not lower on the priority list).
  21. Honestly.. did not even know they existed. Of the items that you listed that are part of them.. rarely if ever read them. If the topic is quantitative.. unlike you, I do not need someone else to summarize it for me. I can download raw data, create the code to arrange it, and do analysis to come to meaningful conclusions.
  22. if you must knew.. never voted for Biden... so been ready for him to be put out to pasture for 20+ years. So they have an agenda.. cool. But lets say that we have candidate x.. he/she is really great and they fit the agenda perfectly. But subjectively.. it is discerned that they have only the smallest chance to win. Do you know what happens? They get forgotten about it in the blink of an eye. So what do we do? First item on the decision tree is probability of winning and then second is what they actually have to say.
  23. Hmmm.. more ad hominem attacks. But you are supposedly so smart. If you must know .. if I am interested in a topic I generally use a variety of sources and then formulate an opinion after taking the time to filter out the BS. Again.. that does not include CNN. If it is a quantitative topic.. I go straight to the raw data. Do you know what that is?
  24. I would rather have vital, alive, vibrant, and therefore capable then sleepy and uninspiring. Well.. the candidate has to win first. to have a great candidate who does not win is not even worth lifting a finger for. Great ideas, great platform.. but does not win.. who are they again? This is why third party candidates have zero chance. They are viewed as long shots and hence why even bother with them
  25. politicians have been cherry picking stats for a very long time. Nothing new here. Of course, it is dishonest to use 2020 as the base year and then take credit for growth. However, this is not the last time that someone will do something like this.
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