impartialobserver

True. To further this.. folks get very indignant when it appears (real or perceived) that someone has more information or expertise than them. This could be to simply caring more about a topic (like yourself with Covid), being more intelligent, or just having a knack or gift for a topic. They can't be getting shown up so they have to match your intensity, vigor, emotion. I am mostly ok with folks knowing more about certain topics than myself. Examples being Covid and Israel-Hamas. Lastly.. if you come on to a forum, facebook, message board and admit that you do not know about the topic.. the onslaught is brutal.

What I laugh at when it comes to this whole , "my generation was great and the ones after that are cr_p" line is that they always conveniently forget that the world is not the same for these kids. When I grew up in the 80's, there was no public internet, cell phones were clunky and mostly impractical, the 3 major networks ruled the airwaves, and life moved at a much slower pace.

this is too funny.

Lets not lie to ourselves though. We both have done the same thing. Read a headline or two and then blast away. Also, both sides are full of these intellectually lazy types that are wanting your visceral, raw, emotional responses. They give you strong, uncompromising takes and the audience gets outraged and they will not put up this s__t any longer.. until tomorrow.

they are probably under the OP's bed.. keeping him up at night. Those commie spies are everywhere.

It takes time, energy, patience, and some fortitude to read, analyze, question, possibly debunk yourself, read some more, and give things time to materialize. That is not the way of the world right now. Folks want strong, adamant, impassioned opinions based on what they see right now.

It takes intelligence, foresight, planning in order to orchestrate something like this. the ones that I have worked with have a difficult time understanding the difference between seasonally adjusted and not seasonally adjusted data. Not that complex and yet they fumble all over themselves.

Can you quantitatively delineate what is a good job? No opinions or links. Lets see something mathematically driven that shows what is good and what is not. You also know that CES is not the best data source...

Been around the block long enough to sniff out your types. Jobs are down.. what time period? july 2024 (seasonally adjusted) 158723000 june 2024 (seasonally adjusted) 158609000. Do some simple math.. the top number is greater than the bottom.

You have quite the inflated view of politicians. Seriously.. you think that they are this smart? If so, you need to work with one. It has to do with the nature of the industries. Opening a new restaurant or expanding your staff is a whole lot easier than opening a new mine.

Well, I guess it comes down to who owns the copyright.. the artist or the record label. Either way, they can legally bar someone from using it in political events.

I know your types.. the reason that employment in sectors other than manufacturing/mining/construction grows (in absolute terms) less than "services" on a month to month basis is because someone in DC is pulling levers and playing puppeteer.

The data is CES in the chart above. So first, it is an estimate not a count. Second, there is a reason why on a month to month basis.. the highest job gains are going to be in restaurant, hotel, personal services, and retail. It is no grand conspiracy..

makes me wonder if folks who get so worked up about this.. are really just looking desperately for something to be outraged about. If not this.. they would scour their newsfeed (X, Facebook, instagram, reddit) and blast away about something else. I think that her ideas about price-gouging are thousands of times worse than this could ever be.

A lot of vitriol about a topic that will be forgotten next week (probably sooner). Even my wife who is quite liberal thought that Trump did no serious wrong or faux pas.

This would not change my decision to vote for Harris or not. Regardless of her stance on this.. I would be looking at other things.

Every year the BLS adjusts the data from the survey based on state unemployment insurance (UI) filings which have data from nearly every employer in the country. These UI filings are a near census for all payroll employment. If the UI data gives a different picture than the survey of employers, then the filings are almost certainly right and BLS revises it data accordingly.

Even if this is true.. I could find out all i needed to know about Covid on a given day in 2 maybe 3 seconds. Google, DuckDuckGo, Bing, Qwant, StartPage... all could produce the requested information in seconds

https://copyrightalliance.org/faqs/music-political-campaigns-fair-use/ interesting article

in statistics, we have this thing called confidence interval or margin of error. Yes, Harris may be leading ever so slightly in a poll but that is within the margin of error.

in far more interesting news concerning the Philadelphia Eagles.. they start the 2024 nfl season on friday against the Green Bay Packers in Brazil. The Eagles should be a playoff team. Not sure about Super Bowl being that DET, SF, and the Rams look to be contenders as well.

I do give but not with regularity. The form of charity that I am 100% opposed to is helping a panhandler. The person who asks for spare change as I walk into the gas station... I largely ignore them. Why so harsh? Because I was once homeless and not because I was a drug addict or lazy. I know the struggle and know that most of those begging for change are either mentally ill, lazy, or drug addicts. No amount of money given will change their ways.

you are correct. Most everything is easier. Because of the ubiquity of opinions.. the hot takes are so numerous so as to become ordinary and boring. I remember when Rush Limbaugh was regarded as vitriolic, vulgar, intense, adamant... he would be regarded as mellow or boring today.

Another assumption about this that is pure BS.. is that there some sort of top down management from the President or Congress. Each state has a CES analyst and what do they do... add in one column (interstate liable UI Claims). I know.. boring. At the national level, they plug data into two columns (survey results and interstate liable UI Claims) and then the model spits out 346 values (broken down by industry). This idea that someone at the top gives the directive to fudge the numbers is a sign that someone knows nothing about the process. The inputs that change each month.. are public knowledge and have to sum up to the whole.

It is interesting how when you point out how short our attention span is or how short our memory is.. some counter with, "No, they are pissed off, they will not forget this" or "only x or y is this way". Just think how different your life is today versus 1985 (if you were alive at that time). Just the seemingly simple act of writing an editorial was a pain. First, you write it by hand or typewriter. Second, you had to mail it and put a stamp on it. Third, it had to be received and approved by the editor. At least 3 to 7 lag between when you wrote it and when it was published. Lastly.. your real name was out there and so anyone reading the newspaper knew your name and possibly knew you. The flurry of opinions that we see today dwarves the past by a 1000 to 1 margin.