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impartialobserver

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Everything posted by impartialobserver

  1. Here we go with another thread about how all elections are bogus.. even the ones that you win.
  2. In the short term.. consumption purchases fuel more job growth. It takes time for financial instruments to have that impact. This is why between 60 to 70% of US GDP is tied to Consumption not investment. Back to the topic, to say that closing the income gap would translate to job growth is quite complex. I am not sure I can articulate it but this is like saying that having parity in a sport leads to higher scoring and therefore higher profits per team. Lots of layered cause and effect and assumptions.
  3. Perfectly healthy.. I do not hear anyone saying that. Not shaming you for being less than perfect but still having the opportunity to change that.. is what I hear. Condemning someone for being less than perfect in a very obvious way is hypocritical. It probably just so happens that your imperfections are not up front and center.
  4. The assumption that income/wealth is a zero sum game is really hard to prove. Just because I earn more... does not mean that the person next to me earns less. the complexity comes in the fact that as someone goes from earning 500K to 501K.. they spend progressively less on consumption goods and more on financial instruments. Whereas, when you go from 51K to 52K.. your consumption purchases go up at a higher rate.
  5. Claiming that closing the income gap will increase/decrease wages or jobs is one very complex item. We tackled this in grad school and every time that we thought we had come to a conclusion... someone would bring up something and we would have to scrap it.
  6. I do not know Canada's tax structure but this makes sense on the surface. The US has a similar dynamic thanks for the EITC.
  7. You could construe it that way. However, if you are obese and trying to not be obese.. being told that you are fat, worthless, etc. does little to help you. We would all like to think that what family,friends, or strangers say about our body does not impact us.. but with most people it does. I would like to think that we could just leave our fellow humans alone and let them sink or swim based on their own decisions. I am sure that the OP is perfect and has no vices/bad habits. As for the rest of us, not sure I want a stranger chiming in on my decisions. I have a daughter and my way of discussing this topic is this. Being obese does not make you ugly. It will simply lead to a more difficult life. Less energy, greater chance of joint pain, and eventually circulatory system issues. Telling my six year old daughter that if she is ever obese.. she is then ugly is not my way of going about things.
  8. first.. any standard media outlet is reinterpreting something. No matter how they spin it.. they are still spinning it. They have to. If you wrote that "John Doe said this and Jane Doe said that"... you readership plummets. So if you want to avoid the inevitable subjective spin.. I watch the hearings but lately been too busy. Reading the court transcripts also gives you a less biased view. It really depends on the topic. If it is labor market or economic.. I go to the raw data. I do not need some talking head to interpret the information for me.
  9. When it comes to what? When it comes to my job... my data sources are not public. Employer financials, employee wage records, DOL micro data, etc.
  10. Comparing Stalin to this court... how does someone get so disconnected from reality. The two are not even close.
  11. I like actual data not gut instinct or warm and fuzzy feelings. Well.. good thing that you do not do my job. You would be out the door in the first week if you relied solely on gut instinct.
  12. Another aspect to the typical internet forum poster... assuming. If I do not align with your view 100% then you assume (wrongly 99% of the time) that I must have the opposing view. lets be clear.. chicken little, sky is falling stuff does not work with me regardless of who is saying it or the topic. Take a deep breath and put your passions aside and read that last sentence carefully. Your passion/zealousness keeps you from practicing simple reading comprehension.
  13. this type of what-about-ism would get old with most people.. but the typical internet forum poster can say the same thing thousands of times and be adamantly convinced that the 1002nd repetition is interesting and insightful when the 987th was not. Weather is unpredictable more than a few days out. A few years ago.. we were supposed to have a sunny 75 degree day on a monday. Well, come monday.. we got a foot of snow.
  14. By October, I hope to a blog set up for this sort of thing. However, until then today's flavor is a group called Dream Wife.
  15. From what I read of your posts... you fit this dynamic perfectly. The binary.. you are with us or against us attitude. No grey area, no context.. just either you align with me 100% and therefore are perfect or you are some extremist.
  16. Yes.... a lot of circumstantial stuff.
  17. no.. just in general. In my world.. when I make a claim, I have voluminous amounts of data. If I say X caused Y... I have a mountain of data, where it came from, who entered it, every single detail. No filling in the blanks. I know that this is not how trials such as this work.
  18. what is even more laughable is that those who assert this.. when asked if they would ever willingly opt to be a slave can never actually answer the question. They flail like a worm on a hook.. So if there are benefits to being a slave (no, I do not agree) then why would you not opt for it?
  19. Native Americans routinely had battles over territory, water, women, etc. However.. they were all on a relatively equal plane when it came to technology, resources, etc. One group did not dominate the other by way of guns or other superior technology. The Europeans though had a decided advantage on this front and so not exactly a fair fight hence the sentiment that the Natives are/were victims. Mostly just bad fortune honestly. The Indigenous tribes lived in complete isolation for centuries with the rare exception of the vikings at L'anse Aux Meadows in Newfoundland. The Europeans had no knowledge of them and at this time.. everyone was busy trying to acquire more land/more resources. as I see it.. it is in the past, there is nothing anyone can do to change it, and giving reparations for past actions is not logical. The playing field is 99% level now and so if they are looking to have a better life.. the path is there.
  20. Lets be clear.. I do not buy into this logic that slaves lives were made better by slavery. My point is that even if they did gain some skills/knowledge.... human nature precludes this because no one would willingly opt for slavery no matter the potential benefits.
  21. Modern politics has this unique dynamic.. If you are on the right.. then everybody who does not fall in line with 100% is not only a leftist but they are far left, radical, communist, pedophile.. If you on the left, then again anyone who is not in line with you is not only conservative but far right, radical, in favor of theocracy or autocracy, etc. A bit unrealistic to say the least but hence why certain folks come here...
  22. Often the facts are 1. links to subjective, biased opinions who do not have the full set of information or 2. Filling in the blanks.. well x happened and y happened so therefore there is only ONE possible way that they are connected or 3. lack of context.. viewing an event in isolation can let you interpret it in seemingly infinite number of ways.
  23. Had they stayed in Uganda (just an example), they are most likely not exposed to any type of written language, modern machinery, or new languages. One of the reasons that sub-saharan africa stayed behind the times was its lack of exposure to other nations/races.
  24. https://www.statista.com/statistics/205637/percentage-of-poor-people-in-the-top-20-most-populated-cities-in-the-us/ A few takeaways.. San Francisco is not the number one. Second, I would think Miami would be on the list being as it is quite populated. Still.. interesting data that when taken in context tells you something about the cities. Having lived in a very, very small town in Idaho.. in small towns everybody is on roughly the same economic plane. Restaurant, retail, ranching, farming are not industries where one gets rich and those are the standard industries in small town USA (at least it is in ID, NV, MT, and WY).
  25. this could change when July numbers come out but on an annual basis, total nonfarm jobs in NY grew by 2.2% while in FL, this increased by 3.3%. Now this is doing the following.. (june 2023 - June 2022)/June 2022. This comes from the Current Employment Statistics which is a monthly ESTIMATE... plug numbers in a model and it spits out the number. As for the top 5 1. Texas 4.04% 2. Nevada 3.97% 3. New Mexico 3.81% 4. Wyoming 3.67% 5 (tie) Washington and Florida 3.40% 6. Delaware 3.40% 7. Idaho 3.39% 8, Kentucky 3.26% 9. Alaska 3.13% 10. Oregon 3.01% 28. New York 2.24%
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