Harris Does Not Lead In A Single Battleground State 8/22

[gatomontes99]

Quote

Vice President Kamala Harris is not leading in a single battleground state, according to a new poll.

The survey, conducted by Navigator Research between July 31 and August 8, showed the Democratic presidential nominee and former President Donald Trump are tied in Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin, while Harris is behind in Arizona and Pennsylvania.

In the 2020 Presidential Election, Joe Biden carried Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, while Donald Trump defeated Biden in North Carolina.

Newsweek

Well, the INJ bump is gone. All the remains is a broken, radical candidate that 75% of America does not agree with.

[Boges]

Harris has erased sizable leads Trump had over Biden in less than a month. 

Aggregate polling is still considering polling from July. The momentum is clearly in the Democrats direction. 

This is kind of like a team giving up a 19-point lead claiming they're still tied or up by 1. 

I can't imagine the September debates are going to help Trump/Vance much since he's really only got personal attacks at this point. 

[gatomontes99]

14 minutes ago, Boges said:

Harris has erased sizable leads Trump had over Biden in less than a month. 

Aggregate polling is still considering polling from July. The momentum is clearly in the Democrats direction. 

This is kind of like a team giving up a 19-point lead claiming they're still tied or up by 1. 

I can't imagine the September debates are going to help Trump/Vance much since he's really only got personal attacks at this point. 

This was a single poll. She's had a 1 month honey moon in which she didn't lay out a single policy position or do a single interview. Even with that, she held a sliver of a lead. The convention has led to her losing ground over the week as she laid out some horrifically stupid plans. When she does....er...if she ever does an interview and when....er...if she shows up to the debates, she's toast.

[Boges]

4 minutes ago, gatomontes99 said:

When she does....er...if she ever does an interview and when....er...if she shows up to the debates, she's toast.

This is wishful thinking. But alright. 

She's still due a bump from this convention. Especially if she knocks it out of the part tonight. 

[Rebound]

43 minutes ago, gatomontes99 said:

Well, the INJ bump is gone. All the remains is a broken, radical candidate that 75% of America does not agree with.

You are utterly full of shlt. “Harris does not lead” could equally say “Trump does not lead.”

That’s exactly the opposite of what this survey reports:

”The Race Is Tied Across Blue Wall States, Few Remain
Undecided”

”The Race Is Tied Across The Battleground, Few Remain
Undecided”

[WestCanMan]

28 minutes ago, Boges said:

This is wishful thinking. But alright. 

She's still due a bump from this convention. Especially if she knocks it out of the part tonight. 

This convention was angry, hateful, blatantly dishonest, divisive, and still without direction.

What's worse, Obama drew attention to how badly Americans are suffering right now and the bumbling in the WH. It's like he tried to submarine Kamala without her noticing.

[gatomontes99]

12 minutes ago, Rebound said:

You are utterly full of shlt. “Harris does not lead” could equally say “Trump does not lead.”

That’s exactly the opposite of what this survey reports:

”The Race Is Tied Across Blue Wall States, Few Remain
Undecided”

”The Race Is Tied Across The Battleground, Few Remain
Undecided”

Trump leads in a couple battle ground states. However, Harris led in these states momentarily. She's losing ground now.

[Rebound]

1 hour ago, gatomontes99 said:

Trump leads in a couple battle ground states. However, Harris led in these states momentarily. She's losing ground now.

Error Margin. There’s no lead in any of them. 

[herbie]

Funny then that Trump mumbles and mispeaks with the energy of a beaten old man.

[NAME REMOVED]

10 hours ago, gatomontes99 said:

Well, the INJ bump is gone. All the remains is a broken, radical candidate that 75% of America does not agree with.

That is an outdated poll. Here is more recent polls:

Michigan: Harris leads (8/19)

Wisconsin: Harris leads (8/19)

Pennsylvania: Harris leads (8/19)

Arizona: Harris leads (8/18)

North Carolina: trump leads (8/22)

Georgia: trump Leads (8/18)

Nevada: Trump leads (8/17

If these results do not change, Harris will win the US Election.

 

 

 

[CdnFox]

Nobody leads.  They're all well within the margin of error. 

 

Harris's problem is that this is going to be the best it gets for her.  She's answered no question, the legacy media has propped her up like an angel descended from the heavens, and people didn't really know her.  And people are only paying slight attention to politics. 

From here on out it gets a lot harder for her, and if she's tied with trump going into september she's dead. 

We'll know next week what the bump she got from the convention was, and she really needs to be at least 6 points ahead in the battlefields at least.  Hillary was and she still lost. 

[NAME REMOVED]

2 hours ago, CdnFox said:

Nobody leads.  They're all well within the margin of error. 

 

Harris's problem is that this is going to be the best it gets for her.  She's answered no question, the legacy media has propped her up like an angel descended from the heavens, and people didn't really know her.  And people are only paying slight attention to politics. 

 

You said that 2 weeks ago, and Harris keeps increasing her lead. Next thing we know, you will be saying "she's only ahead by 10 points, this is as good as it gets for her" in early November,

2 hours ago, CdnFox said:

From here on out it gets a lot harder for her, and if she's tied with trump going into september she's dead. 

I beg to differ.

2 hours ago, CdnFox said:

We'll know next week what the bump she got from the convention was, and she really needs to be at least 6 points ahead in the battlefields at least.  Hillary was and she still lost. 

That is only because Trump will cheat, and make it very difficult for inner city voters (mainly Black people( to vote.

[Rebound]

Feel the Bern!!!

Edited August 23, 2024 by Rebound

[CdnFox]

9 hours ago, DUI_Offender said:

 

You said that 2 weeks ago, and Harris keeps increasing her lead. Next thing we know, you will be saying "she's only ahead by 10 points, this is as good as it gets for her" in early November,

This is the best it gets for her right now... And you think that means she WON"T increase her lead?  

Kid, all you're doing is pointing out i'm right. 

Let me go slowly for you.  This .... is.... her.... best..... time. This is as good as it gets 

And as i've pointed out numerous times that lasts until september 7th. then it starts to get harder and harder. 

The issue isn't that she's climbing right now during the convention which is what i predicted,  the problem for her is she's BARELY climbing.  She's gone from a one percent lead to a 1.5 percent lead and that's not going to get the job done. 

10 hours ago, DUI_Offender said:

I beg to differ.

It is your right in this country to be as wrong as you like  

Quote

That is only because Trump will cheat, and make it very difficult for inner city voters (mainly Black people( to vote.

Or maybe he'll create a fake FBI  "Dossier" saying harris had russian hookers peeing on her and ..... oh wait. 

 

[impartialobserver]

not exactly surprising. I can see Harris winning Nevada solely because of Clark County's long history of going blue. Clark county is las vegas BTW.. However, the rest of them I see going to Trump

[Rebound]

3 minutes ago, impartialobserver said:

not exactly surprising. I can see Harris winning Nevada solely because of Clark County's long history of going blue. Clark county is las vegas BTW.. However, the rest of them I see going to Trump

You see what you want to see. Here are the current polling averages. Neither candidate has a decisive lead and we probably won’t know until Election Day… or later.

It’s certainly possible for Harris to win Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. We’ll see about Georgia in the next few weeks  

 

Edited August 23, 2024 by Rebound

[impartialobserver]

1 minute ago, Rebound said:

You see what you want to see. Here are the current polling averages. Neither candidate has a decisive lead and we probably won’t know until Election Day… or later   

 

They are only predictions... relax. Getting worked up over predictions is kind of  sad. 

[Rebound]

1 minute ago, impartialobserver said:

They are only predictions... relax. Getting worked up over predictions is kind of  sad. 

I see. 
So you can make predictions but nobody else can. Cause the predictions are only “impartial observations” if they predict that Trump wins? 

Edited August 23, 2024 by Rebound

[impartialobserver]

Just now, Rebound said:

I see. 
So you can make predictions but nobody else can. 

You are free to make predictions to your heart's content. However, your criticisms of my harmless predictions is silly. Relax... seriously. They mean nothing. 

[Deluge]

On 8/22/2024 at 10:52 AM, Boges said:

Harris has erased sizable leads Trump had over Biden in less than a month. 

Aggregate polling is still considering polling from July. The momentum is clearly in the Democrats direction. 

This is kind of like a team giving up a 19-point lead claiming they're still tied or up by 1. 

I can't imagine the September debates are going to help Trump/Vance much since he's really only got personal attacks at this point. 

Nah, it's more like some woke little piece of shit hacking the scoreboard and adjusting the score in favor of democrats. 

Sort of like Dominion:

3 Republican points going in, 2 Republican points, 1 democrat point coming out. 

3 democrat points going in, 3 democrat points coming out. 

Edited August 23, 2024 by Deluge

[impartialobserver]

20 minutes ago, Deluge said:

Nah, it's more like some woke little piece of shit hacking the scoreboard and adjusting the score in favor of democrats. 

Sort of like Dominion:

3 Republican points going in, 2 Republican points, 1 democrat point coming out. 

3 democrat points going in, 3 democrat points coming out. 

Can you provide something other than opinion? No links or articles. interesting to see if you have actual insight into the nuts and bolts of the process that you are criticizing. 

[NAME REMOVED]

2 hours ago, Rebound said:

You see what you want to see. Here are the current polling averages. Neither candidate has a decisive lead and we probably won’t know until Election Day… or later.

It’s certainly possible for Harris to win Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. We’ll see about Georgia in the next few weeks  

 

Rebound is a one man wrecking crew, in this thread.

Edited August 23, 2024 by DUI_Offender

[Rebound]

4 hours ago, DUI_Offender said:

Rebound is a one man wrecking crew, in this thread.

[gatomontes99]

I love how the single poll cited had to become an aggregate of multiple polls taken prior to this poll to make your point. Solid work there. And you really think you habe something, don't you?

[robosmith]

22 hours ago, impartialobserver said:

They are only predictions... relax. Getting worked up over predictions is kind of  sad. 

Polls are never predictions, they  are a snapshot in time.

They MAY indicate a trend with two or more done by the same methodology.