November 5th, 2024 election official thread

[QuebecOverCanada]

2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS

Welcome to the official November 5th 2024 thread. 

Please discuss and answer the survey before the election;

• Who will win, and why.
• Which swing States will go to who. Will Michigan remain blue? What about Nevada?
• Anything related to the election, such as any event that could happen that could have an impact on the election.

Please, refrain from ad hominems for once. 

At this date, the 29th of October of 2024, this is what the popular vote looks like according to an aggregation of polls by realclearpolling.com

[CdnFox]

We have to be honest, this is a close race. There is a very good chance it will come down to vote a turnout and arguments could be made either way in those cases.

But there are a few factors which do stand out. Based on the polling since October it would appear that trump has momentum and harris does not. Momentum plays a huge role in who wins. Trump does not have overwhelming momentum but he does have it and she doesn't.

Trump is pulling slightly better where he needs to be.

We have seen a pause, where the poles ever mean static for a couple of days now and this is kind of normal just before an election. We see this all the time in Canada and it means that people aren't ready to make their absolute final decision just yet, and they're going to hold off till just a few days before the election or possibly even the day of before they commit.

Then of the last minute usually whoever has momentum tends to pick up support. I suspect that will be trump. But we should see in a few days

[I am Groot]

I hate the stupid Republican base for making this so close and for a situation that no matter who wins America and the world loses. They could have run away with this election by putting up almost any sane, reasonable person, be it Desantis, Romney, Haley, or whoever. The Democrats deserve to lose.

But not to that retarded ass monkey Trump. 

[DUI_Offender]

Whatever the result, one thing is certain. If Trump loses the electoral vote, he will say the election was rigged, and try to cause another insurrection. 

[gatomontes99]

59 minutes ago, I am Groot said:

I hate the stupid Republican base for making this so close and for a situation that no matter who wins America and the world loses. They could have run away with this election by putting up almost any sane, reasonable person, be it Desantis, Romney, Haley, or whoever. The Democrats deserve to lose.

But not to that retarded ass monkey Trump. 

So you would rather have the poly that instituted policies that got girls raped and killed by illegal aliens? Why? Why do you want to do that to Mothers and Fathers?

[CdnFox]

1 hour ago, I am Groot said:

I hate the stupid Republican base for making this so close and for a situation that no matter who wins America and the world loses. They could have run away with this election by putting up almost any sane, reasonable person, be it Desantis, Romney, Haley, or whoever. The Democrats deserve to lose.

But not to that retarded ass monkey Trump. 

Yeah democracy sucks  

[Deluge]

1 hour ago, I am Groot said:

I hate the stupid Republican base for making this so close and for a situation that no matter who wins America and the world loses. They could have run away with this election by putting up almost any sane, reasonable person, be it Desantis, Romney, Haley, or whoever. The Democrats deserve to lose.

But not to that retarded ass monkey Trump. 

Crude as he is sometimes, Trump represents a shift from the neocons. He's the best chance this country's got. 

[QuebecOverCanada]

Here is what the polling looks like since the start of the political campaign, season 2024 presidentials.

Trump polling higher than Harris on a national level for the popular vote is really concerning for the Democrats.

On 10/29/2024 at 8:26 PM, DUI_Offender said:

Whatever the result, one thing is certain. If Trump loses the electoral vote, he will say the election was rigged, and try to cause another insurrection. 

And the Democrats will call the election a fraud because they will say foreign influence swung the vote for the Republicans. We saw it during the Trump presidency and the alleged Russian influence on the 2016 election.

Edited October 31 by QuebecOverCanada

[QuebecOverCanada]

On 10/29/2024 at 7:36 PM, I am Groot said:

I hate the stupid Republican base for making this so close and for a situation that no matter who wins America and the world loses. They could have run away with this election by putting up almost any sane, reasonable person, be it Desantis, Romney, Haley, or whoever. The Democrats deserve to lose.

But not to that retarded ass monkey Trump. 

Your post is really interesting in the way that you're obliviously describing Trump as a no-no, but insist for a De Santis presidency. De Santis and Trump are very politically aligned.

[CdnFox]

2 hours ago, QuebecOverCanada said:

Here is what the polling looks like since the start of the political campaign, season 2024 presidentials.

Trump polling higher than Harris on a national level for the popular vote is really concerning for the Democrats.

And the Democrats will call the election a fraud because they will say foreign influence swung the vote for the Republicans. We saw it during the Trump presidency and the alleged Russian influence on the 2016 election.

I still can't get over how flat that chart is. Because they've zoomed into it essentially it looks like there's a big gap between the two candidates after harris was nominated, but really when you look at it they're pretty much in lockstep and they're not very far apart at all for the entire campaign. I don't think I've ever seen one that's been so close together and so parallel. It's like nothing that happened to the campaign made any difference.

[Aristides]

On 10/29/2024 at 5:36 PM, gatomontes99 said:

So you would rather have the poly that instituted policies that got girls raped and killed by illegal aliens? Why? Why do you want to do that to Mothers and Fathers?

You guys are really over the top. The US has an immigration problem but people are coming to the US for the same reason  they always have, in hope of a better life, not to rape and kill. Just another ethnic group to blame your problems on, like the Irish in the 1800's and Italians in the early 1900's. Almost the same rhetoric, word for word.

[gatomontes99]

41 minutes ago, Aristides said:

You guys are really over the top. The US has an immigration problem but people are coming to the US for the same reason  they always have, in hope of a better life, not to rape and kill. Just another ethnic group to blame your problems on, like the Irish in the 1800's and Italians in the early 1900's. Almost the same rhetoric, word for word.

How many illegals were released and then killed or raped women under Trump?

[DUI_Offender]

37 minutes ago, gatomontes99 said:

How many illegals were released and then killed or raped women under Trump?

Well you have a point. I was going to refute your argument by looking at official statistics by the US Government, and indeed, crimes by illegal immigrants went down under Trump, and then dramatically increased under Biden. I am surprised by this, and admit that more has to be done to curtail illegal immigration. 

https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/cbp-enforcement-statistics/criminal-noncitizen-statistics

 

Edited November 2 by DUI_Offender

[robosmith]

On 10/29/2024 at 4:36 PM, I am Groot said:

I hate the stupid Republican base for making this so close and for a situation that no matter who wins America and the world loses. They could have run away with this election by putting up almost any sane, reasonable person, be it Desantis, Romney, Haley, or whoever. The Democrats deserve to lose.

But not to that retarded ass monkey Trump. 

Dethantis isn't sane. He picked a fight with Mickey Mouse (state's largest employer) and LOST.

[robosmith]

On 10/31/2024 at 3:05 PM, QuebecOverCanada said:

Here is what the polling looks like since the start of the political campaign, season 2024 presidentials.

Trump polling higher than Harris on a national level for the popular vote is really concerning for the Democrats.

And the Democrats will call the election a fraud because they will say foreign influence swung the vote for the Republicans. We saw it during the Trump presidency and the alleged Russian influence on the 2016 election.

Do you know what Paul Manafort was (besides Trump campaign manager)?

Prior to that, he worked for Putin Puppet Yanukovych in Ukraine for 12 years and Russian oligarch (friend of Putin) for 10 years and promised inside campaign info. Funneled private polling data to Russian agent Kilimnik so they could better target trolls and bots to help Trump's campaign. That is PROVEN not ALLEGED. 

[robosmith]

49 minutes ago, gatomontes99 said:

How many illegals were released and then killed or raped women under Trump?

How many LAWS were broken under Trump baselessly denying legally mandated ASYLUM and ILLEGAL separation of children from their parents?

[gatomontes99]

14 minutes ago, DUI_Offender said:

Well you have a point. I was going to refute your argument by looking at official statistics by the US Government, and indeed, crimes by illegal immigrants went down under Trump, and then dramatically increased under Biden. I am surprised by this, and admit that more has to be done to curtail illegal immigration. 

https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/cbp-enforcement-statistics/criminal-noncitizen-statistics

 

Uh, no. They are suppressing that stat. Liberal states like NY and Cali don't allow the reporting of immigration status. It is a typical liberal tactic. Obama counted turnbacks as deportation so he could say he deported more illegals than Bush.

But Trump didn't release illegals. Biden/Harris do.

[gatomontes99]

3 minutes ago, robosmith said:

How many LAWS were broken under Trump baselessly denying legally mandated ASYLUM and ILLEGAL separation of children from their parents?

The true answer didn't suit you so you changed the topic?

[Fluffypants]

13 minutes ago, robosmith said:

Dethantis isn't sane. He picked a fight with Mickey Mouse (state's largest employer) and LOST.

Are telling us you are so gay that even your writing has a lisp.

I think Mickey is losing all on its own, its probably going to have sell off either Lucasfilms or Marvel to keep itself afloat because they are more interested in making woke trash than movies and TV shows people actually want to watch.

 

Edited November 2 by Fluffypants

[robosmith]

6 minutes ago, gatomontes99 said:

Uh, no. They are suppressing that stat. Liberal states like NY and Cali don't allow the reporting of immigration status. It is a typical liberal tactic. Obama counted turnbacks as deportation so he could say he deported more illegals than Bush.

But Trump didn't release illegals. Biden/Harris do.

When border judges grant temporary release pending ASYLUM adjudication, they ARE NOT ILLEGAL. Duh

[Legato]

13 minutes ago, robosmith said:

Dethantis isn't sane. He picked a fight with Mickey Mouse (state's largest employer) and LOST.

Desantis did not lose, both sides lost. Minne Mouse is is running for president.

[robosmith]

3 minutes ago, Legato said:

Desantis did not lose, both sides lost. Minne Mouse is is running for president.

Really? What did Mickey lose?

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and Disney end legal dispute

NPR

https://www.npr.org › 2024/03/28 › florida-governor-r...

 

 

Mar 28, 2024 — The Walt Disney Company and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis have called off their lawsuit stemming from a yearlong legal dispute.

AKA Dethantis SURRENDERED.

Edited November 2 by robosmith

[gatomontes99]

2 minutes ago, robosmith said:

When border judges grant temporary release pending ASYLUM adjudication, they ARE NOT ILLEGAL. Duh

And how many show? How many are actually granted asylum?

Answer...up to 75% show and about 15% actually get asylum. So the vast majority are here illegally, they just haven't been proven illegal...yet.

[Legato]

1 minute ago, robosmith said:

Really? What did Mickey lose?

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and Disney end legal dispute

NPR

https://www.npr.org › 2024/03/28 › florida-governor-r...

 

 

Mar 28, 2024 — The Walt Disney Company and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis have called off their lawsuit stemming from a yearlong legal dispute.

AKA Dethantis SURRENDERED.

AKA they both agreed to a truce. Which means to normal people they both decided to cut their losses.

AKA no winners.

[CdnFox]

1 hour ago, robosmith said:

Dethantis isn't sane. He picked a fight with Mickey Mouse (state's largest employer) and LOST.

He actually won all his fights with Disney. Disney came across as the loser there