Don't know what polls they are. Recent polls have the three parties much closer with the Liberals in the mid to low 30's. If an election were held today the Conservatives could still win more seats than the Liberals, even if not the popular vote. The Conservative Party base is 30%, much higher than any other party, so they just need to win over some of the other 70% of voters. The Liberals poll numbers are similar to what they were during the beginning of Ignatieff's time as leader, not a great sign.