Newfoundland and Labrador's next election is going to be held on October 11, 2011, and I'm hoping some people are interested in discussing it.
In the last little while there has been a poll released showing that the Progressive Conservatives led by Premier Kathy Dunderdale have dropped to 57% in opinion polls while the NDP has soared to likely historic levels and are statistically tied with the Liberal Party, the NDP are at 20% while the Liberals are at 22%. According to Threehundredeight.com this would lead to the NDP forming the Official Opposition, though without regional results it is hard to know what will happen. The NDP have become the alternative to the PCs in the St. John's Area while in rural Newfoundlan and Labrador the Liberals are for the most part the alternative.
At the moment the Progressive Conservatives have 43 of the 48 seats in the House of Assembly, they've been opening nominations in districts currently held by members for the last couple of months and have 34 incumbents nominated. At the moment two members have announced they will not be seeking re-election and there will likely be a few others who call it quits as well.
The Liberals currently hold four seats, they've been opening nominations in some districts recently and have eight candidates in place. Only their leader and one other MHA are running for re-election, out of the six other candiates they have in place one is a former MHA and two others have previously ran for the party.
NDP leader Lorraine Michael is the party's only MHA. For I believe the first time the party has been opening nominations in districts months before the election, in the past I think they have waited till the election was called and then just basically appointed candidates. The party has only nominated a full slate of candidates once and that was years ago. So far the party has four candidates in place, including the leader, and nominations are closing in another district soon. Two of the candidates seem pretty strong, compared to the ones they normally attract, and there is talk that they are trying to lure a City Councillor in St. John's to run for them who would likely have a good chance of taking out an incumbent Progressive Conservative.
There's likely not many, if any, Newfoundlanders and Labradorians here but hopefully people will contribute and I'll do my best to update.