Federal Election Polls

[cybercoma]

3rd place, but not far back at all. Lookin good 6 weeks out!

15 points behind where they finished in the last election. Looking good, indeed! That's a 37.5% drop in support.

Edited September 9, 2015 by cybercoma

[Shady]

15 points behind where they finished in the last election. Looking good, indeed! That's a 37.5% drop in support.

Any party in power for 10+ years is going to have a difficult time winning a majority government that many times in a row. It's the nature of politics. See Alberta.

[CITIZEN_2015]

They've been in power for 10 years just about. The NDP have never been in power in what? 40 years if existence? Big whoop. Even the crappiest team wins a game once in a while. I'm looking forward to the NDP letting in millions more Muslims so they can displace the population and vote in Sharia law in 50 years. Yes be happy. We re giving the country away to some desert people.

So the NDP in 4 years are going to bring in millions of Muslims? Really? The last time I heard it was 25000. How many non-Muslim we are bringing in those 4 years who are born in maternity hospitals instead of deserts? A million may be? That is 5 times more (assuming another 175000 come from deserts lol).

Edited September 9, 2015 by CITIZEN_2015

[Vancouver King]

I'm taking side bets the final Conservative vote total will be between 22 to 26% of votes cast.

[CITIZEN_2015]

My prediction:

NDP 35%

Liberals 31%

The Cons 25%

A minority NDP Government which will last 2 years followed by a minority Liberal in 2 years.

[Canada_First]

So the NDP in 4 years are going to bring in millions of Muslims? Really? The last time I heard it was 25000. How many non-Muslim we are bringing in those 4 years who are born in maternity hospitals instead of deserts? A million may be? That is 5 times more (assuming another 175000 come from deserts lol).

Let's ask Sweden or the UK or France if they're having problems with Muslims?

They're having massive protests in Germany over Muslims taking over. Raping white women.

They have Muslim gangs who roam Europe raping white women.

This is what you're saying yes to when you day yes to mass Muslim immigration.

[Vancouver King]

Let's ask Sweden or the UK or France if they're having problems with Muslims?

They're having massive protests in Germany over Muslims taking over. Raping white women.

They have Muslim gangs who roam Europe raping white women.

This is what you're saying yes to when you day yes to mass Muslim immigration.

Good grief, have you considered professional counseling?

[Canada_First]

Good grief, have you considered professional counseling?

Shoving your head in the sand doesn't make the bad men go away. It only encourages them.

[Vancouver King]

My prediction:

NDP 35%

Liberals 31%

The Cons 25%

A minority NDP Government which will last 2 years followed by a minority Liberal in 2 years.

Quality guesses, you even left 9% for Greens & Bloq. It will be interesting to see if Liberals can continue current uptick, obviously you have your doubts.

[CITIZEN_2015]

Let's ask Sweden or the UK or France if they're having problems with Muslims?

They're having massive protests in Germany over Muslims taking over. Raping white women.

They have Muslim gangs who roam Europe raping white women.

This is what you're saying yes to when you day yes to mass Muslim immigration.

I lived in UK for a few years when I was in my teens. As I recall there were physical attacks and assaults on Pakistani (Muslims) and Indian immigrants by supporters of an extreme right wing party called National Front and another called British National Party. That is hardly Muslims fault. I NEVER heard of gang of Muslims raping white women. I read about this now for the first time. I have heard about North African Muslims mainly Algerians causing riots and clashes with the police in France. The reason I have heard is because they are discriminated against (Unlike Canada they have not been selected based on a point system). Same reason we see riots by blacks in US cities.

I never said or encouraged mass immigration of Muslims I have said again and again that adaptability which includes respect for freedoms and democracy and believing in equality of races and gender must be the DECIDING factor for Canadian government to select immigrants. That means to choose from those who are all above and that applies to Muslim immigrants as well. It is bigotry to say that all Muslims are fascist and disrespectful to women and rapists. Bigotry of the worse kind. As for Syrian refugees my posts always indicated an agreement with what Harper is saying that we take 10000 over 4 years and check them out thoroughly so not sure why you claim I said yes to massive Muslim immigration? I think that one out of every 5 immigrants should be Muslim chosen from those who pass the criteria above since Muslims are one fifth of world population.

Edited September 10, 2015 by CITIZEN_2015

[cybercoma]

Any party in power for 10+ years is going to have a difficult time winning a majority government that many times in a row. It's the nature of politics. See Alberta.

Me: They've lost 37.5% of their support from the last election day.

You: They're going to have a "difficult time" winning a majority.

[cybercoma]

My prediction:

NDP 35%

Liberals 31%

The Cons 25%

A minority NDP Government which will last 2 years followed by a minority Liberal in 2 years.

At the current rate, you need to flip the NDP and Liberals.

[Queenmandy85]

I think the Tories will surge towards the end of the campaign. The shake up in the campaign staff will galvanize the team and focus on negative ads. Harper may even win more seats than Elizabeth May

[cybercoma]

Harper may even win more seats than Elizabeth May

Hahaha. Well played.

[Black Dog]

Any party in power for 10+ years is going to have a difficult time winning a majority government that many times in a row. It's the nature of politics. See Alberta.

So: twice?

[cybercoma]

Current riding projections mapped by threehundredeight.com

Outcome: Liberal Minority Government
LPC--119 seats
NDP--113 seats
CPC--105 seats
GPC--1 seat
BQ--0 seats

Edited September 10, 2015 by cybercoma

[Canada_First]

Still a long way out but I agree it's going to be the tightest election in a long time.

[Canada_First]

I thought the bq would gain a few seats...

[Vancouver King]

I thought the bq would gain a few seats...

Quebec nationalism is in dormancy. The NDP represents a federalist option on the left with a real chance of forming gov't - with Quebec MPs playing a very prominent role in cabinet.

[Shady]

LOL! The Conservatives are still gonna have 105 seats, even if they lose!

[Vancouver King]

LOL! The Conservatives are still gonna have 105 seats, even if they lose!

Yes, even with 105 seats they will still officially be referred to as the third party.

[Shady]

Yes, even with 105 seats they will still officially be referred to as the third party.

Not the usual third party huh? Oh well, there's still 6 weeks left, a lifetime in politics.

[Vancouver King]

Not the usual third party huh? Oh well, there's still 6 weeks left, a lifetime in politics.

Liberals have had 3rd party status for last 4 years. 5 1/2 weeks out with Conservative bubble campaign in disarray.

[On Guard for Thee]

Not the usual third party huh? Oh well, there's still 6 weeks left, a lifetime in politics.

Yeah and with the current backlash over immigration, and embarrassments like "the urinater" that 105 seats could dwindle even more.

[ReeferMadness]

A new nightmare for Harper? It turns out that while the CRA was aggressively chasing charities and environmental groups, rich people were stuffing millions into offshore companies and paying no tax.

A wealthy Victoria, B.C., family paid virtually no tax over a span of eight years – and even obtained federal and provincial tax credits – while being involved in an offshore tax "sham" developed by one of the country's most respected accounting firms, the Canada Revenue Agency alleges.

The Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) believes there may be many more like them.

This won't play well for Harper.