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Everything posted by Moonlight Graham
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That's nuts.
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Final predictions thread for 2025 election?
Moonlight Graham replied to CdnFox's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
Some of the NDP'ers may have stayed with the NDP. The left hates PP. That would have been politically smarter agreed. Yes. Polls say the CPC is losing with people 55+, women, and of course people on the left dislike him so much they're strategically voting with the Liberals. I think the boomers are afraid he'll cut their seniors benefits/pensions/free dental and pharma etc. Plus a bunch of them probably like the high housing prices, and may even have investment properties. -
Final predictions thread for 2025 election?
Moonlight Graham replied to CdnFox's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
Well the CPC was polling in the mid-40's until Trudeau stepped down. Some of that support went to the Liberals, none of it went to the Bloc or PPC. I agree a big # of NDP and Green supporters went to the Liberals when Carney came on. If I were PP i would have distanced myself from Trump in any way possible, not painted "Canada First" in giant font on the side of my campaign plane. There's other ways he could have expressed his stance on prioritizing Canadian interests more (which I 100% agree with) without copying a Trump slogan. He also copied Trump's policy of defunding university research grants that are woke. I'm as anti-woke as they come but PP has to understand the message these things send to a country where many fear Trump and Trumpism. The Trump campaign strategy won't work as well in Canada as it does in the US. I think Canadians want change, but they also want a PM who will best stand up to Trump. That's why the polls are so split IMO. -
Final predictions thread for 2025 election?
Moonlight Graham replied to CdnFox's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
The polls are saying a weak Liberal majority: https://338canada.com/ I think the Liberals will win. If so I hope a minority. PP has ran a really bad campaign. You've got to be a brain-dead fool to run on a Trumpian "Canada First" election slogan in a country that hates Trump more than ever, and also promise to use the notwithstanding clause for the first time ever for the feds. I agree with "Canada First" in principle, but just don't use a Trump slogan if most of the country hates the guy FFS. I think Trump cooked the CPC's chances and PP didn't do anything to quell the fears of Canadians that he's pro-Trump. -
Michael Chong and Erin O'Toole aren't chuds. Nor Mitt Romney. You're just assuming I'm a Liberal supporter because I'm not a Trumpster like yourself. Again, anyone to the left of you is a leftist LOL. I was literally defending conservatives in my first post in this thread you fool. I really don't care what you assume I am. Have fun.
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You're stereotyping a large group of people based on like a half dozen people on a message board? That said, I think the left and right are filled with loons who base many of their opinions on some naive assumptions, though not all of them are loons. Erin O'Toole and Michael Chong aren't loons, for instance.
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You're in copium territory. 338 shows the Liberals are dominating in Ontario and Quebec over the CPC. It's not even close. Unless something dramatic changes or there's some super weird turnout the Liberals are going to win. The CPC won the popular vote the last 2 elections and still lost both elections.
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You think it's more likely there's a conspiracy theory amongst the vast majority of pollsters to misrepresent the CPC? LOL, far more likely the polls are accurate. Pollsters don't make money if they're inaccurate and people stop believing them. This is just copium. The CPC is probably going to lose, even though I'd prefer they win. The 2021 election results matched the polls within the margin of error, with the exception of the NDP because NDP supporters often vote strategically and give votes to the Liberals on election day to prevent a CPC win. If the polls are wrong then what are the gamblers basing their bets on? Their gut feelings? Sports-loving men tend to bet far more than any other group, and that demographic isn't exactly the NDP or Liberal type.
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Housing builds (supply) have been pretty steady. The house price problem occurred because of a large spike in demand caused by immigration including foreign students, and housing speculators have jumped on the bandwagon which has spiked demand even more. Increasing supply will help but they need to also address the demand issues. Homes should be for the people living in them, not speculators trying to make a buck who don't live in them.
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Polls show the CPC is getting their butts kicked in Ontario and QC. It's over. CPC even won the most votes the last 2 elections but their vote distribution is not efficient, lots of blowouts in the prairies. Apparently 7 million votes were cast in advance polls. They could count those and we'd already know the winner.
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What's the difference between raising money and then paying to put out ads supporting one party over another vs putting out an editorial supporting one party over another?
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No just Rosemary Barton and especially David Cochrane. Ezra's truck ads are filled with lies too btw.