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betsy

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betsy last won the day on September 10 2023

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  1. Landslide!

     

    "Trafalgar chief pollster predicts Trump victory: Polls 'predominantly missing the hidden vote'

    Trafalgar Group's polling in 2016 showed Trump leading in key battleground states including Pennsylvania and Michigan when almost all other pollsters had the Republican nominee trailing Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton. Trump ended up wining both of those states and Wisconsin, becoming the first GOP presidential nominee to do so in decades.

    “I see the president winning with a minimum high 270s and possibly going up significantly higher based on just how big this undercurrent is,” Cahaly said, referring to Electoral College votes. A candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win the White House. "

    https://thehill.com/homenews/media/522016-trafalgar-chief-pollster-predicts-trump-victory-polls-predominantly-missing

    1. Show previous comments  5 more
    2. Boges

      Boges

      Ditto with campaign funding. 

    3. Shady

      Shady

      Love it!  Trafalgar was one of the few polling outlets that accurately predicted Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania in 2016.

    4. betsy

      betsy

      Mail-in voting has become a partisan issue.  Trump supporters could dominate in-person voting.

      https://www.al.com/news/2020/10/election-2020-huge-early-voting-numbers-might-help-gop-more-than-democrats.html

       

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