angrypenguin Posted May 28, 2018 Report Share Posted May 28, 2018 As we get closer to June 7th, thought I'd start a thread tracking polls to consolidate. https://globalnews.ca/news/4236201/ontario-election-poll-ndp-soften-pc-lead/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
betsy Posted May 29, 2018 Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 (edited) Pundits are saying that even when the NDP and PC were tied - the PC would've still have a majority of seats. Incidentally - another poll was given by Nanos yesterday on Powerplay. This one is about the Federal Government. For the first time, PC takes the lead. Nanos says that the very name "Liberal" seems to sound negative to people. Horvath's government is really, really scarey! It'll be worse than the Liberals. I think with the NDP surge, people are scrutinizing the platform of Horvath........ and they're beginning to realize she's living in a dream world - a dream world for her, but a terrible nightmare for Ontarians. But.......let's not be complacent about this. Let's not assume it's a slam dunk. Make sure we all go out, and vote! Edited May 29, 2018 by betsy 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Centerpiece Posted May 29, 2018 Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 Here's the actual CBC Poll Tracker..... https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/onvotes/poll-tracker/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Hardner Posted May 29, 2018 Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 To those of you left-wing conspiracy types, please note that the CBC tracker has always shown a PC majority and still does so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted May 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 48 minutes ago, Michael Hardner said: To those of you left-wing conspiracy types, please note that the CBC tracker has always shown a PC majority and still does so. On what basis are you assuming that there is such a group? A poll is a poll is a poll, that's all it is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted May 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 Where the hell is the data behind this poll? https://globalnews.ca/news/4236201/ontario-election-poll-ndp-soften-pc-lead/ I've looked everywhere. I don't want the fluffy all up stuff in the article, I'm looking for the detailed report. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Hardner Posted May 29, 2018 Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 35 minutes ago, angrypenguin said: On what basis are you assuming that there is such a group? A poll is a poll is a poll, that's all it is. A group that decries fake news when they don't like what it is saying ? Jeez, Penguin, stick around and watch ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Hardner Posted May 29, 2018 Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 By the way, I see selective acceptance of MSM information as the ultimate sign of vanity in a public individual. You can see it everywhere here and in my forms. One is to decry "the people" as sheep or stupid when they make a choice you don't like, and lauding them when they make a choice that you do. I like to focus on ensuring we agree on quality information. The best conservatives pay attention to political polls, but also budgets & deficits, laws and service levels which are hard information. The best liberals pay attention to polls querying public attitudes, economic statistics, constitutional discussions and service levels. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OftenWrong Posted May 29, 2018 Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 3 hours ago, betsy said: Horvath's government is really, really scarey! It'll be worse than the Liberals. I think with the NDP surge, people are scrutinizing the platform of Horvath........ and they're beginning to realize she's living in a dream world - a dream world for her, but a terrible nightmare for Ontarians. I basically agree, would prefer a Liberal or PC government over the NDP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capricorn Posted May 29, 2018 Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 30 minutes ago, angrypenguin said: Where the hell is the data behind this poll? https://globalnews.ca/news/4236201/ontario-election-poll-ndp-soften-pc-lead/ I've looked everywhere. I don't want the fluffy all up stuff in the article, I'm looking for the detailed report. https://www.ipsos.com/en-ca/news-polls/Global-News-Ontario-Vote-Horserace-Poll-May-28-2018 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CITIZEN_2015 Posted May 29, 2018 Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 (edited) It seems Ontario Conservatives are ahead at 37% and NDP close second at 34% and Liberal way behind at 22. I don't know who to vote. NDP brings back the dark memories of Bob Rae and Conservatives reminds me of corrupt scandalist Harper and the Liberals have done so many bad deeds past many years in Ontario. Maybe best vote would be a protest vote. None of the above. Edited May 29, 2018 by CITIZEN_2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted May 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 38 minutes ago, CITIZEN_2015 said: It seems Ontario Conservatives are ahead at 37% and NDP close second at 34% and Liberal way behind at 22. I don't know who to vote. NDP brings back the dark memories of Bob Rae and Conservatives reminds me of corrupt scandalist Harper and the Liberals have done so many bad deeds past many years in Ontario. Maybe best vote would be a protest vote. None of the above. Corrupt scandalist Harper? Are you kidding me? If you're even comparing Harper to the Liberal days of the sponsorship scandal, please do tell, how much did both governments cost the taxpayor? You're literally comparing a prostitute's sexual number versus a virgins. They're not even on the same planet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted May 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 https://innovativeresearch.ca/election-tracking-wave-4-the-ndp-move-ahead/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CITIZEN_2015 Posted May 29, 2018 Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 6 minutes ago, angrypenguin said: Corrupt scandalist Harper? Are you kidding me? If you're even comparing Harper to the Liberal days of the sponsorship scandal, please do tell, how much did both governments cost the taxpayor? You're literally comparing a prostitute's sexual number versus a virgins. They're not even on the same planet. I can write a book about the scandals and corruptions during Harper's regime especially last 4 years when he had a majority. Happiest day of my life when he and his regime was kicked out of office in a disgraceful manner in October 2015 by intelligent voters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted May 29, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 Just now, CITIZEN_2015 said: I can write a book about the scandals and corruptions during Harper's regime especially last 4 years when he had a majority. Happiest day of my life when he and his regime was kicked out of office in a disgraceful manner in October 2015 by intelligent voters. Sure, write said book, and I may just take the time to write the book on the Liberals track record. Idiots voted him out of office. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CITIZEN_2015 Posted May 29, 2018 Report Share Posted May 29, 2018 (edited) 5 minutes ago, angrypenguin said: Idiots voted him out of office. You just called close to 40% of Canadians idiots. Shame on you as the only idiot here is you who makes such a call. Edited May 29, 2018 by CITIZEN_2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted May 30, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 30, 2018 (edited) 2 hours ago, CITIZEN_2015 said: You just called close to 40% of Canadians idiots. Shame on you as the only idiot here is you who makes such a call. Too bad, I was looking forward to reading your so called novel. Well, technically, that number was a lot higher than 40% if you really think it through, but clearly numbers aren't your forte. And based on today's poll, calling those individuals an idiot is actually not that far off, given the fact that many Liberal supporters have changed their voting intentions. Edited May 30, 2018 by angrypenguin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted May 30, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 30, 2018 May 30th info has come in. Two new polls added in the last 27 mins. New info is: 71.9% Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning a majority 11.6% Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning the most seats but not a majority 9.2% Probability of the NDP winning a majority 6.1% Probability of the NDP winning the most seats but not a majority Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted May 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 31, 2018 So at what point do the Liberals lose their status as a party in the House? E.g. how many seats does one have to be an official party in the House? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted May 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 31, 2018 May 31st projections: http://www.tooclosetocall.ca/2018/05/projections-update-of-may-31st-2018.html Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted May 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 31, 2018 New poll just released. (not accounted for at the CBC poll tracker as of yet) May 31st, 1023am EST http://poll.forumresearch.com/post/2848/ontario-horserace-may-28/ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted May 31, 2018 Author Report Share Posted May 31, 2018 CBC poll tracker updated. May 31st, 1041am with Forum research poll results. Probability of winning 81.5% Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning a majority 5.6% Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning the most seats but not a majority 8.4% Probability of the NDP winning a majority 3.6% Probability of the NDP winning the most seats but not a majority Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
betsy Posted June 1, 2018 Report Share Posted June 1, 2018 (edited) 10 hours ago, angrypenguin said: CBC poll tracker updated. May 31st, 1041am with Forum research poll results. Probability of winning 81.5% Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning a majority 5.6% Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning the most seats but not a majority 8.4% Probability of the NDP winning a majority 3.6% Probability of the NDP winning the most seats but not a majority I know......I know what I've said about polls..... .....but this is still exciting, nevertheless. Edited June 1, 2018 by betsy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Hardner Posted June 1, 2018 Report Share Posted June 1, 2018 In other words. If the polls work for my guy then they are accurate and great. If not, it's leftist propaganda and fake news. FWIW - the numbers haven't ever shown Ford close to 50% chance of majority. It has ranged from 70% to 95%. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
angrypenguin Posted June 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted June 1, 2018 Updated today: 82.9% Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning a majority 4.9% Probability of the Progressive Conservatives winning the most seats but not a majority 7.8% Probability of the NDP winning a majority 3.3% Probability of the NDP winning the most seats but not a majority Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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