sharkman Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 (edited) Remember those asteroid movies? Scientists are saying that in 11 months, an asteroid will come very close to the earth, and the gravitational pull could suck it into impact. It would have the explosive power of a nuclear weapon. Russian Scientists have released data indicating a large 60-meter asteroid (2012 DA14) is plummeting towards earth with an expected collision date by February 2013 stating, [sic]… time to build a spaceship to confront it, has run out. No need to panic, but a very interesting development. Edited March 5, 2012 by sharkman Quote
Boges Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 Remember those asteroid movies? Scientists are saying that in 11 months, an asteroid will come very close to the earth, and the gravitational pull could suck it into impact. It would have the explosive power of a nuclear weapon. No need to panic, but a very interesting development. Bruce Willis and Ben Affleck will handle this! http://www.lovelylivtyler.com/movies/armageddon/armageddonPoster_big.jpg Don't wanna close my eyesDon't wanna fall asleep 'Cause I'd miss you, baby And I don't wanna miss a thing 'Cause even when I dream of you The sweetest dream would never do I'd still miss you, baby And I don't wanna miss a thing Quote
olpfan1 Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 if earth was in danger they would not tell us anyway Quote
DogOnPorch Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 if earth was in danger they would not tell us anyway Not like you can tell with some orbits. Quote Nothing cracks a turtle like Leon Uris.
GostHacked Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 There is a doomsday asteroid scenario every year. Quote
olpfan1 Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 Whichever countries are pin pointed to be in the impact zone should be mandatory evacuated Quote
DogOnPorch Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 There is a doomsday asteroid scenario every year. Yup...last biggie was 1908...and it missed hitting civilization. There is cause for long range predictions, though. We do have some rather large neighbors. Quote Nothing cracks a turtle like Leon Uris.
olpfan1 Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 Yup...last biggie was 1908...and it missed hitting civilization. There is cause for long range predictions, though. We do have some rather large neighbors. 40 million live in Siberia now.. I think now if it impacts any part of the earth there will be casualties Quote
olpfan1 Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 what kind of earthquake/Tsunami would it cause if it hit the ocean Quote
DogOnPorch Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 40 million live in Siberia now.. I think now if it impacts any part of the earth there will be casualties Yah figure?? Quote Nothing cracks a turtle like Leon Uris.
bush_cheney2004 Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 Dr Ray Stantz: Are you okay? Louis: Who are you guys? Dr Ray Stantz: We're the Ghostbusters. Louis: Who does your taxes? Dr Ray Stantz: You know, Mr. Tully, you are a most fortunate individual. Louis: I know! Dr Ray Stantz: You have been a participant in the biggest interdimensional cross rip since the Tunguska blast of 1909! Louis: Felt great. Dr. Egon Spengler: We'd like to get a sample of your brain tissue. Louis: Okay. Quote Economics trumps Virtue.
olpfan1 Posted March 5, 2012 Report Posted March 5, 2012 (edited) I'm in the mood to watch disaster movies now (my favourite) Edited March 5, 2012 by olpfan1 Quote
sharkman Posted March 6, 2012 Author Report Posted March 6, 2012 Hopefully the public is kept up to date on this threat. I had to dig and dig just to get a semi-reliable looking site to link to. This story seemed to have a pretty small presence for such an important situation. Quote
olpfan1 Posted March 6, 2012 Report Posted March 6, 2012 Hopefully the public is kept up to date on this threat. I had to dig and dig just to get a semi-reliable looking site to link to. This story seemed to have a pretty small presence for such an important situation. They're not going to panic the public, it'd be anarchy..I assume they first want to pin point where it will possibly explode if it does come to that ..this probably won't happen but they could evacuate the areas where they think it could hit .. but probably not Quote
Wild Bill Posted March 6, 2012 Report Posted March 6, 2012 I read the link. There's a definite "National Inquirer" aura to that site! "Close" flybys happen all the time. A direct course of impact is relatively rare. Just because an asteroid's orbit brings it close is no reason to panic. What's more, observations allow close predicting of an orbit's path. The trajectory is not likely to suddenly change, other than a very small amount due to escaping gases if the asteroid feels some heat from the sun or whatever. However, if you want to sell newspapers, a headline saying a collision is not a lie! A lawyer's trick, maybe but not legally a lie! Quote "A government which robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul." -- George Bernard Shaw "There is no point in being difficult when, with a little extra effort, you can be completely impossible."
sharkman Posted March 6, 2012 Author Report Posted March 6, 2012 I read the link. There's a definite "National Inquirer" aura to that site! "Close" flybys happen all the time. A direct course of impact is relatively rare. Just because an asteroid's orbit brings it close is no reason to panic. What's more, observations allow close predicting of an orbit's path. The trajectory is not likely to suddenly change, other than a very small amount due to escaping gases if the asteroid feels some heat from the sun or whatever. However, if you want to sell newspapers, a headline saying a collision is not a lie! A lawyer's trick, maybe but not legally a lie! But that's what I mean! This story is big enough that several nations are commenting on it and NASA is commenting on it yet there is no presence of it in the media. A media that runs all kind of nonsense not running this seems odd. As far as impact goes, the issue is what effect the earth's gravitational pull would have on its course. Quote
Wild Bill Posted March 6, 2012 Report Posted March 6, 2012 As far as impact goes, the issue is what effect the earth's gravitational pull would have on its course. No, the earth's gravitational pull has been affecting the course for months if not years now! In weightless space, gravity becomes a significant force over vast distances. It doesn't just suddenly jump out and grab something when it gets close, like a spider and a fly! The earth's pull has long since affected the asteroid's orbit. Astronomers who take observations can clearly chart where that asteroid is going. If it were going to hit the earth we would see it NOW! If it's going to miss the earth we could see that as well. It's path is already long laid out. Quote "A government which robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul." -- George Bernard Shaw "There is no point in being difficult when, with a little extra effort, you can be completely impossible."
olpfan1 Posted March 6, 2012 Report Posted March 6, 2012 The earth's pull has long since affected the asteroid's orbit. Astronomers who take observations can clearly chart where that asteroid is going. If it were going to hit the earth we would see it NOW! If it's going to miss the earth we could see that as well. It's path is already long laid out. They have been seeing it... for 3 years Quote
sharkman Posted March 7, 2012 Author Report Posted March 7, 2012 (edited) I'll just say that the scientists seem less certain than you are, Wild Bill. Don't suppose you found any other news sites on this topic? Edited March 7, 2012 by sharkman Quote
Bonam Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 No, the earth's gravitational pull has been affecting the course for months if not years now! In weightless space, gravity becomes a significant force over vast distances. It doesn't just suddenly jump out and grab something when it gets close, like a spider and a fly! The earth's pull has long since affected the asteroid's orbit. Astronomers who take observations can clearly chart where that asteroid is going. If it were going to hit the earth we would see it NOW! If it's going to miss the earth we could see that as well. It's path is already long laid out. Indeed. In fact, gravitational forces are the vastly dominant factors when it comes to the motion of bodies in the solar system. The pulls of the Sun and the planets control their trajectories, with only very slight corrections due to radiation pressure, solar wind, etc. Computer models can very accurately calculate forward in time the positions of objects such as asteroids, provided that their current position and velocity is known. Quote
DogOnPorch Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 Indeed. In fact, gravitational forces are the vastly dominant factors when it comes to the motion of bodies in the solar system. The pulls of the Sun and the planets control their trajectories, with only very slight corrections due to radiation pressure, solar wind, etc. Computer models can very accurately calculate forward in time the positions of objects such as asteroids, provided that their current position and velocity is known. Variations séculaires des orbites planétaires or VSOP is a typical calculation to get orbital elements. Quote Nothing cracks a turtle like Leon Uris.
Wild Bill Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 I'll just say that the scientists seem less certain than you are, Wild Bill. Don't suppose you found any other news sites on this topic? Why should I? It's not my premise to defend and I don't think it's worth my spending MY time to try to prove the OP's point! Quote "A government which robs Peter to pay Paul can always depend on the support of Paul." -- George Bernard Shaw "There is no point in being difficult when, with a little extra effort, you can be completely impossible."
Guest Manny Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 In the past 2-3 years there have been several of these, asteroids that were going to make a very close pass near Earth and some of them were observed very far off. There is still considerable uncertainty about the trajectory of such asteroids because they don't know its precise velocity or mass, and they don't know its composition. So while it may appear to be heading straight for us, the exact trajectory will be revised a number of times as it gets closer in. Fact is these occurrences are probably quite common, happen all the time but it's only recently that we've even been looking. Since then we've seen several asteroids come close, some of them even passing between the Earth and Moon. Quote
sharkman Posted March 7, 2012 Author Report Posted March 7, 2012 Well that suggests that one day we will hit the lottery, doesn't it? Quote
DogOnPorch Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 This rock is bigger than the average neighborhood space rock. 60m doing 8+km a second can make quite the mess. So it should be watched carefully. It will be back in time if it doesn't hit... Quote Nothing cracks a turtle like Leon Uris.
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