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Everything posted by Matthew
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Mass deportation is purely theatrics for the ignorant. The capacity to aprehend tens of millions of people does not exist. And that's the easiest part. The logistics of what to do with them next is far more limited and expensive. Even if it were possible to remove tens of millions of workers, it would destroy the economy and food supply. So the best they can hope for is emotionally pacifying maggot supporters with aggressive and militarized scenes of raids, even though the scale of what they are doing is still laughably low.
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Waters Interviews DOGE
Matthew replied to gatomontes99's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
I'm questioning whether even a billon in savings has been confirmed. I don't need a source to ask a question lol. What we do know is that the doge bs has been wasteful--taxpayers paying hundreds of millions to fire and rehire tens of thousands of people. 75,000 buyouts involving 8 months of full pay and benefits (while doing no work). Meanwhile cutting 40% of the IRS which will mean hundreds of billions in lost revenue from lack of enforcement of tax law. And these are just a few simple direct costs. -
Waters Interviews DOGE
Matthew replied to gatomontes99's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
Because the maybe 1 billion is half of a percent of what they claimed they were going to be able to do and more like a negligible quarter of a percent of actual federal spending. -
Lets see, if you're wanting to send everyone you don't like to a foreign concentation camp then the thing you would need to do is get rid of immigration courts. Just claim everyone you don't like is MS13 or some shit and kick them out right? No part of the process in your way to question any facts or consider evidence?
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Waters Interviews DOGE
Matthew replied to gatomontes99's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
For all the theatrics, chaos, costly economic uncertainly, and privacy violations caused by the entire DOGE stunt, the actual budget savings is practically nonexistent. Has there even been $1 billion in savings from anything (let alone fraud and waste)? Literally everything trump and musk teams have claimed about DOGE savings has so far turned out been a lie. -
Checking in with our November 2024 predictions. As of today, the headline is: U.S. economy shrinks 0.3% in first quarter If it shrinks again this next quarter economists will call it the start of a recession. Combine that with a spike in trumpflation and it could be the beginning of a dismal and costly period.
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Yeah I just read a story today on the NYT about how the right wing social media bubble still has a love affair with ivermectin, with influencers claiming it reverses cancer, autism, etc.
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You would lose that bet. They some kind of doctor at their megachurch who would host a clinic during the pandemic where he would dole out ivermectin and hydroxychloroquine. So she did that instead of going to a real doctor, at least before her condition escalated.
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My aunt believed this shit. She died of covid. Turns out the horse dewormer medcation she got from her church did not help.
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No problem, bud. They have 1.4 billion people and a mixed economy with a large, decades-long poltical program of intense economic development. That many people going from agricultural poverty to high tech manufacturing in a 50 year span means it will eventually overtake US gdp. However the average person in China is still quite poor by currect US standards. US GDP per capita is 83k, while China's GDP per capita is 12k. So if you're argument is that tarrifs are good because look how great China's citizens are faring, that's going to be a weak argument. Finally, they have the most diversified economy in the world and manufacture goods for every corner of the world. Tarrifs on imports mean very little to China because they domestically manufacture so much. It's basically a luxury tax for them. The 12% share they export to the US is important but they are not utterly dependent upon it.
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Will Republicans have a legislative agenda?
Matthew replied to Matthew's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
Tell that to the republican Senators who feel pretty certain that the House bill makes a clear pathway for drastic medicaid cuts and are not wanting that section 409 language included. Their bill doesn't specify any spending reductions. The word "cuts" appears zero times in the 86 page resolution. The whole thing is general policy statements. And with that in mind, their policy statement about Medicaid leaves it open to being changed, while it's language about medicare leaves no room for it being changed. Hence Senate Republicans not yet having condensus on a budget plan. -
1. Siding with Russia, conceding all of their demands immediately, parroting their propaganda, and denegrating their president, and making colonial style resource demands as a condition for an overwhelmingly pro-Russia surrender by Ukraine. 2. On Feb 24th, the US voted in the UN against a resolution condemning Russian agression, together with North Korea, Russia, Sudan, Haiti, and several other shitty countries. 3 & 4. On Feb 14th Vance met with Germany's AfD leader and also gave a speech implying that the German limits against neo-nazis hate speech are a bigger threat to Europe than Russia.
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Will Republicans have a legislative agenda?
Matthew replied to Matthew's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
Section 409 blasts Medicaid as a bloated program with too many recipients. Compare that Section 406 that defends Medicare spending as essential and needing to be protected. Many Republicans including Johnson and Trump are defending Medicaid precisely because there is a debate among Congressional Republicans about the prospects of making drastic changes to it, whether those be work requirements, recinding the Medicaid expansion in the ACA, or replacing the funding system with capped block grants. These are ideas Johnson himself supported just a few years ago. -
Will Republicans have a legislative agenda?
Matthew replied to Matthew's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
Let me help you out. Congressional Republicans have not passed a budget. The House passed their version of it, which the Senate Republicans don't much care for. Cutting medicaid, which almost 20% of Americans rely on, to fund more tax cuts for the rich is probably not a winning strategy but don't let that stop you. Republicans control house senate and presidency until midterm election at which point the house is almost always lost to the other party. -
Will Republicans have a legislative agenda?
Matthew replied to Matthew's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
Oh wow so you're not even really paying attention then? -
Normally the main domestic policy function of a modern US president is to lead legislative initiatives. Trump seems rather occupied with trying to use more superficial tactics like EOs and whatever tf DOGE is. Is he leading the Congress towards a clear legislative vision? The clock is still ticking on Republican's 2 years of having a trifecta and ability to pass any law they want. At this point it doesn't even seem certain that they will be able to keep the government open in two weeks as the different factions of republicans can't agree on what to do for a budget, tax cuts, cutting medicaid etc.
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Who do you think is governing right now?
Matthew replied to Matthew's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
So can DOGE currently access Treasury Department records? Right. You're obviously unprepared to talk about any specific case, with your three generic and inaccurate talking points. The Supreme Court so far in a preliminary brief has ruled that Trump cannot remove Dellinger until the case is resolved. That's after multiple previous appeals in which Trump has already lost. So yeah courts so far have 3 times sided with Dellinger.