Nexii

T is a smaller minority within LGBT than LGBT is to the entire population. And a ton of LGBT activists aren't even LGBT themselves, it is almost like a religion to some. So yea T really isn't represented well. The issues raised aren't ones that really matter to most trans. The amount of elite trans athletes is vanishingly small. The locker room / bathroom thing, similar... most trans aren't going to even go those places until they're comfortable and far along. If there was a #1 issue it'd be what medical care the government does and does not provide. Varies a ton by province which pretty much means its political and not science backed.

The problem with a lot of this trans policy is that most of it isn't written by trans. We aren't common enough to be represented and that's not really going to change. That's why there is so much nonsense going around with it all, from both the right and left wings. If you transition as a young teen the advantage is probably not significant. Hormones do have a huge effect in halting growth. But most trans females that you see in sports today did not do that - they waited until adulthood. And 50th percentile height for men is like 98th percentile for women. That's a huge advantage no matter what some studies try to cook up and say. Of course, they aren't going to do something like common sense. The left wants to score points by painting the narrative that gender is entirely in your head and there is no biological component. The right say it's only biological. Both views are ridiculous as it's both, but that makes for more complex systems and talking points. A third league is perhaps the only good option, but, let's be real. Female sports don't get much attention and trans sports would get even less. This might change over time but I'm doubtful it completely will.

CPC could still shoot themselves in the foot over social issues. Though I think the fundamentals for their rise such as poor economic conditions, inefficient government systems, mixed climate record, etc will persist. Liberals don't seem to have a coherent plan to fix anything right now. Nor does the NDP, it's like they are asleep too. That being said it's hard to get too excited when things are this bad. Even if CPC somehow does a great job with reform we'll be lucky to get back to 1990s living standards

Kids learn all this stuff off the Internet anyways. The school debate is just silly to me. I knew what trans was at age 9, and the Internet wasn't nearly as big back in the 90s as it is now.

Yea but the problem is they mean 'born' sex by biological sex - even being post-op female and living as female is not 'female' to them. Similar issues with intersex - sometimes they make the wrong guess at birth. A lot of this confusion comes from conflating sex and gender, both sides do it. Even in Canada there's a ton of nonsense around this. Like to get a different gender marker on your licence, you need to get a birth certificate reissue. Which is nonsense, its retroactively changing the history of the sex you were born as. Further, licences and passports state gender so why does sex matter at all? FWIW I do think there should be more criteria, you should have to be transitioning or have transitioned to get a gender re-classification for government IDs. Currently the bar is a little lower than this and it should not be. At the same time, sex only matters in medical contexts and that our medical system doesn't really keep the correct history is not good.

I think the reasons are more economic, perhaps. They want to spend and spend which is fine for older people who don't have to worry as much about what that means for the future This got me interested in voter turnout by age - the common 'young people don't vote' stereotype. It's not quite true, turnout is about 55% for the youngest voters and 75% for older voters. So the youth vote definitely does matter.

Ah what I meant is eventually they'll quash these bathroom bills at the federal level. It's just segregation laws take two for the Deep South. Most of these laws are being shot down even at the state court levels. Because well they're ridiculous, and even worse than segregation v1 because they leave no bathroom to use at all. All this being said I don't think it'll last. DeSantis's popularity is tanking hard since this crusade

So they issue a warning but give no specific advice relating to laws in certain states, how lazy. Looked into this and it seems Florida does have some crazy (likely unenforceable) laws relating to being transgender and using public bathrooms. In reality, if you pass no one's ever gonna know. And you aren't going to use a public washroom unless you do. Eventually the fed courts will quash it all like allowing gay marriage, but that's probably 10-20 years out

Pretty good op-ed here written by a trans writer for NP: https://nationalpost.com/opinion/julia-malott-new-school-gender-policies-arent-anti-trans-theyre-pro-parent-child-relationship Gist of it is more or less what I said already, but it's another perspective. Goes into the double/fake life thing a bit which was good.

It was more a jab at psychology. Society looks to psychology as some sort of holy grail and it's not. I guess my point was that a more medical approach is needed, it's all too political and that stifles any progress. What treatments are provided and not are very political and not tied to any sort of research on how much they help dysphoria for the cost.

I would say 14 for hormones, 18 for surgery. Hormones are much more reversible. And yea, it's not realistic to successfully transition as a minor without parental support. It's far more than just going by another name and pronoun as the media tries to portray. That's not near enough for anyone highly transgender - you need everyday clothes, hairstyling, specialty clothes, hair removal, etc. The list goes on and on

It's actually much more complicated than this. Like sexuality, transgenderism exists on a spectrum from very mild to very extreme. If you're taking a population that is from mild to moderate, I'd wager the desistence rates are quite high. But I'd say that on the higher end of the scale, desistence is very rare. Because the level of transgenderism one has does not change all that much over one's life like sexual orientation. The first problem is, the medical system doesn't really differentiate that well between those levels of transgenderism. The questions asked are very dated and in the past mindset of researchers like Blanchard. Very focused on things like sexual orientation, IQ, social status, gendered interests and soforth that have little correlation to positive outcomes. They don't really measure levels of dysphoria or the will one has as far as they desire to transition. It's very much a piecemeal 'as you go' approach which I don't think is very good. Part of the reason for this strange approach is that in the past, there was very much a 'no True Scotsman' approach, you had to fit very narrow and strict criteria to transition. And so transsexuals learned that they had to meet or pretend to meet the stereotypes to transition (being attracted to males is the big one). Then the pendulum swung the other way, instead of being gatekeepers it became a more carte blanche approach. Anyways, I don't think there's been many great studies on why those with high levels of transgenderism go through with it or not. Was it lack of family support, medical side effects from hormones, lack of money for optional surgeries, or did they no longer desire to transition because they felt differently? They never ask those sorts of questions in studies. I think because the left has too much hubris to admit they don't know, and the right would rather pretend we don't exist. So nothing really changes

Does anyone else find it ironically funny that we can't even build a nice home for our PM during this housing crisis

They should demolish it and build a nicer but smaller home. 12k sq ft is a bit excessive, half that would do Most Canadians do not feel a strong sense of attachment to 24 Sussex

Could say there's also no alternative to the radical right either. FWIW I'm not for MAID the way it's set up right now or free hard drugs. But if you lived being trans, you probably wouldn't say 18 is acceptable to do anything about it. Nor that most trans kids are suffering confusion or whatever weird narratives the right cooks up. I knew exactly what I was by age 9 and it never changed. Some middle ground like 14 for hormones and 18 for surgery is probably reasonable. Teenagers are not kids. Our society's view that 17 is a kid but you magically turn an adult at 18 is super weird. Especially considering all the other laws like age of consent being 14 in Canada for almost all of its history, 16 as the driving age, by 12 you can decide which parent to live with in divorce, mature minors can make major medical decisions, etc..

Homosexuality was considered a medical condition until the 1970s Same with trans, it's being declassified bit by bit by psychologists For sure the left wing carte blanche approach is dangerous. But the right wing 'can't transition in any way until 18' approach is even worse. Problem is, the science is poor, politically loaded stuff just doesn't get funding in research circles. And if it does it's often with a political agenda that isn't helping trans achieve better outcomes. A lot of the views and questions asked are like something out of the 1970s when starting transition. And same goes on with the rest of it down the medical line

IMO the media is as bad, despite how left-leaning it is Most people aren't even informed as to what the age of consent for hormones and surgery are today But yea, CPC is definitely going to shoot themselves in the foot on certain social issues. Harper was smarter and just avoided giving in. He had their votes anyways so who cares

Transportation costs too, gas is almost double what it was in 2015

It was always 15% or so, Kinsey studies in the 1950s showed that

It's probably about right given increases in crime, decline of healthcare, and massive increases in cost of living with little economic growth.

I think the jury's still out on the 'many regret transitioning' narrative. The media cherrypicks. The truth is there haven't been good studies done on much of it because both sides would rather play political football than find out. Can anyone say the % definitively that detransition post-surgery? Post-being on hormones for a year? I'd bet it's very low for those that start in adulthood. And probably not much higher for teens. That being said there's not medical argument against just going by a different name or pronoun. That doesn't require medical intervention It's a little disturbing tbh the social conservative view that parents can treat their children like chattel until they're 18. Yea of course kids shouldn't be getting surgery till they're adults, and that's already the case. But it's not like teens can't make responsible decisions either.

I have a feeling that the CPC is going to shoot itself in the foot yet over social issues. They did not learn from the last two kicks at the can. I suppose we'll see what comes out of the upcoming party debates.

It's worse than that IMO. It completely distracts from the issues with First Nations today. The implication is that because terrible things happened in the past, we need to pour even more money into the apartheid system that we've created. Yes, South Africa came up with apartheid based on Canada's reserve systems. It collapsed there not because of social justice but because it was too expensive. China isn't entirely wrong when they say we aren't much better than them

The worst part is for all the billions we spend, Indigenous People still live in horrible conditions. First Nations life expectancy is in the 60s, that's Africa levels of suffering But saying we have to reform it all is somehow racist so nothing improves. It's funny to me that we still call it the "Indian Act" that should tell you how racist the government still is

Yea a lot has to be overregulation (I'd say in a lot of government things but that's an aside). You could make a lot building large buildings and renting them out at current prices. Clearly the market isn't self-correcting We are in such housing debt that short of centrally planned mass housing, it's only going to get worse