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Predict how Canada will look like in 4 years


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6 minutes ago, Smallc said:

Canada halved it's debt to GDP ratio and doubled the size of its economy.  That's what happened.  A $30B deficit for a few years is nothing.

And what happens if Canada's economy takes a nose dive and interest rates go way up.....reality works both ways does it not...

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21 hours ago, Smallc said:

Chretien did it in two years.  In constant (today's) dollar terms, he reduced the deficit by more than $30B in 1 year (1994 - 1995).  Harper could have eliminated the deficit.  A return of the GST to 7% and a cut back of program spending like the Chretien Liberal did would have more than taken care of it.  You can't have it both ways.

Personally, I think he did the right thing, minus the GST cut and the austerity during post 2012 slow growth.  Canada would not be any worse off economically if it had been running a $10B deficit last year.  

Paul Martin cut health, education,  and infrastructure so badly we still haven't recovered. They stole 53 billion from EI then made it impossible for people to get which  the Supreme Court deemed illegal.  I'll take Harper anyday.

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1 hour ago, drummindiver said:

Paul Martin cut health, education,  and infrastructure so badly we still haven't recovered. 

Those are, funnily enough, provincial responsibilities.  

There was no choice in what was done.  The budget had to be balanced, and now.  That's not the case at the moment, and isn't in the conceivable future.  That's the point I'm making.

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6 hours ago, Wilber said:

I can understand that some people don't like the idea of a monarchy but what exactly is broken? Hard to get a specific answer on that score.

I think it's the ability to change anything that leads to people feeling like their vote actually matters that's broken.

I doubt anyone hates the Queen or anything but people are basically becoming sick to death of politics and the monarchy is just guilty by association.  I would have thought it would be the Monarchs job to keep the governments of the Realm in check but apparently not. If anything I'd change that.  If we can't get at the politicians from below maybe we could get some help from on high.  Unless I'm mistaken the common man used to look to the church, given its assumed moral authority and whatnot - to assure us from time to time that our wicked overlords would eventually get their just desserts in the end.

 

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10 hours ago, Smallc said:

Those are, funnily enough, provincial responsibilities.  

There was no choice in what was done.  The budget had to be balanced, and now.  That's not the case at the moment, and isn't in the conceivable future.  That's the point I'm making.

Such a huge outcry when Flaherty cut increases,  but Martin actually decreased dollar amoubts.

The Canadian Encyclopedia 

 Determined to reduce the Canadian deficit, he cut the spending of virtually every federal department, reducing government expenditures by more than $25 billion (spread over three years) and eliminating 45 000 public service jobs. Federal transfer payments to the provinces for health and education were slashed by $7 billion.

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16 hours ago, Argus said:

So what exactly is your point again? Chretien didn't eliminate the deficit in two years. He reduced it by about $30b (according to your cite) at a time of enormous economic expansion for Canada and a flood of money coming in through the GST. Harper similarly reduced the deficit by about $30 billion in two years, though without the huge upsurge in revenues.

They used 53 billion ftom EI and continued to use it as a cash cow by making it almost impossible for people to get. Which the SC deemed illegal.

 

edit-I'm speaking of 

 

Chretien and Martin.

Edited by drummindiver
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11 hours ago, Smallc said:

If they actually felt that strongly, they would have had an election.

The tea leaves said otherwise.  It would have been the third election in three years and the people would have been outraged.  They played politics and won a majority in 2011 which resulted in the deficit being slayed at the end.  Harper actually kept his promise on it.  Trudeau lied about how big the deficit would be.  Trudeau is vague about ending the deficit as he blew his promise greatly.

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2 hours ago, drummindiver said:

Such a huge outcry when Flaherty cut increases,  but Martin actually decreased dollar amoubts.

The Canadian Encyclopedia 

 Determined to reduce the Canadian deficit, he cut the spending of virtually every federal department, reducing government expenditures by more than $25 billion (spread over three years) and eliminating 45 000 public service jobs. Federal transfer payments to the provinces for health and education were slashed by $7 billion.

Right - I don't actually know what I said that you're responding to.

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10 minutes ago, blueblood said:

The tea leaves said otherwise.  It would have been the third election in three years and the people would have been outraged.  They played politics and won a majority in 2011 which resulted in the deficit being slayed at the end.  Harper actually kept his promise on it.  Trudeau lied about how big the deficit would be.  Trudeau is vague about ending the deficit as he blew his promise greatly.

The economy blew the deficit.  No lie was necessary.

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Just now, Smallc said:

The economy blew the deficit.  No lie was necessary.

 I didn't approve Harper going that far into the red, but he had a plan and got out of his big deficit.  However Trudeau is trying to buy a seat at the un, is spending on waste, imposing a tax which makes us uncompetitive.  There's deficit because funds are dried up, and then there is waste.  Trudeau doesn't even have a plan to get us out of deficit and when the USA is going to slash their rates, we are very uncompetitive.  There's going to be no carbon tax in Australia and the USA.  Look at what Gerald Butts ideas have done to Ontario - spending piles of money with nothing to show for it.  

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You seem to have a far better crystal ball than most people.

 

he deficits fall every year after next year.  That suggests they are headed towards balance.  The deficits we're talking about are inconsequential anyway.  Ask any economist.

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22 minutes ago, Smallc said:

You seem to have a far better crystal ball than most people.

 

he deficits fall every year after next year.  That suggests they are headed towards balance.  The deficits we're talking about are inconsequential anyway.  Ask any economist.

 

Economists come in all shapes and sizes.  We both know that.

The deficit grew this year.  And commodities are going to trade sideways until the USA takes off.  The deficit is a problem as it money from the budget has to pay it back.  Interest rates won't stay low forever.  I remember double digit interest and things could very well go back that way when the USA grows and has to curb inflation.  A 65 cent dollar is back on the table which in itself is a tax of sorts on consumers.  A 65 cent dollar with a carbon tax which makes our products even more expensive is a problem.  Going into deficit for the sake of going into deficit is foolish.  Ontario is bleeding industry and in Alberta industry is biding their time until notley gets out.  It's going to be a tough decade...

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10 minutes ago, Argus said:

Are you dyslexic? 

1994-95     -36.6

1995-96    -30

1996-97   -8.7

Can you read?

https://twitter.com/JordanPWBrennan/status/712417069548044288/photo/1?ref_src=twsrc^tfw

Now take that and turn it into constant 2015 dollars, as CBC does:

http://www.cbc.ca/news/multimedia/canada-s-deficits-and-surpluses-1963-to-2015-1.3042571

Between 94 - 95 and 96 - 97, the deficit went from $43B to a surplus of $4B.

Edited by Smallc
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2 hours ago, drummindiver said:

Education is gravy?

Anyways, point being, they made cuts that are still felt today. By cutting this things I mentioned.

Point being missed, apparently - education money from Ottawa is money the provinces aren't entitled to, but are lucky to have.

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