impartialobserver

Proving that someone deliberately lied is not quite as easy as some make it seem. We tried the same and finally just gave up. We figured out how the person did the fraud but could never prove his intentions. A bit maddening but that's how it goes.

Have to admit that this is pretty funny. On a side note.. why you would ruin a well made steak with A1 sauce is beyond me? Mostly ate venison and elk growing up. It did not need any extra stuff on top.

I would prefer that Republicans lose in the midterms and therefore lessen Trump's impact and then in 2028, he mostly goes away and on to the next chapter.

Your avatar may be humorous but your posts ooze of intensity, passion, and emotion. I do not buy that you respond purely out of humor.

yet you respond. Hmm.. for not caring you have a funny way of showing that.

The real data that you should look at is QCEW. However, it is highly lagged due to insane amounts of data. Look for this in early 2026. If the factories are actually coming and jobs are up.. this will show it.

The GDP number on april 30 is going to be a day of reckoning. It will or will not give quantitative teeth to the anti-tariff argument. As for jobs, you will have to wait until later this year or even 2026. That timing may work in favor of those who oppose Trump

It takes time to build factories, hire employees, and procure the inputs. In the case of existing factories ramping up production, they will most likely do so but without significant job gains (automation). Its very likely that if a Democrat wins in 2028, they will undo the tariffs and this will be somewhat for nothing.

And you think that all of this can be done in 2 to 4 years? Interesting. When folks talk about manufacturing they are referring to the Rosie the Riveter stereotype. Someone who repetitively follows instructions, shows up, is on time, and so on. The folks who simply watch the machines and ensure that things go smooth are important but nearly as many of them are needed as in the past.

Even if they cost less hence no tariffs.. it matters not. American trucks are wider than the cargo vans that they use. This matters more than cost.

Manufacturing jobs in America... have been increasingly automated and will continue to be even more so. The glory days of you showing up, giving max effort, and being rewarded with high paying but very secure and predictable employment are in the past. Tariffs do not change this reality.

Legally, this is the correct ruling. It may not line up with some people's values and feelings. If they do not like this ruling, then you need to work on changing the laws that made this a reality. The laws that made this ruling happen date back to the Nixon era.

Precisely. the manufacturing base going elsewhere is due to labor costs. Not only wages but benefits, pensions, and regulations. American workers demand higher wages, paid time off, health insurance, and so on. Also, there are other costs to employing someone here; unemployment insurance, workers compensation, FICA, federal income tax, state income tax, and a few others. Someone in Vietnam does not have those costs associated with their employment. Also, a worker in Vietnam has few if any other options and so is going to be very dependable (always show up).

you are correct when it comes to the narrow roads. Went to Edinburgh, Scotland in 2008. I do not know how you would get a F-250 through some of those narrow roads coupled with 90 degree turns.

Most likely when the GDP number comes out on April 30, 2025.. it will not look good. A slight decline in GDP will illuminate the cost of this policy in a better way than the stock market. Not that he cares but this policy is going to have a profound impact on the ports in the Western US. Going to see some job losses

I am a iifelong atheist and think that God is a figment of the imagination. So God and anything he supposedly says can be anything you want. Its like an imaginary friend. However, to cut you off.. I do not care if anybody else is religious. If you are then cool. If not, that's ok as well

the usual thought process with tariffs is that it incentivizes domestic production and makes importing more expensive. This comes with the assumption that domestic production can increase in the short term. This relies on the assumption that you have everything in place to simply increase production. Depending on the industry.. that is simply not the case. The reason that you import is not simply being charitable to country X. They can produce good X at a relatively lower opportunity cost than you. Sure we could produce Tequila in the US but doing so means that we have to use factors of production (land, labor, and capital) that were previously used for something else. instead of using the time, water, etc. to produce other drinks or grow crops, we would dedicate it to tequila. Inevitably, this would raise the cost of that good where if we import it.. the cost remains relatively low.

sometimes I wonder if this is some strange buy low, sell high game. The stock market tanks and then he does something and now metrics go up. He then can tout his remarkably recovery.

Agreed. one reason that I got so tired of the topic so quickly. "the sky is falling"... over and over again. It loses its impact on the second repetition let alone the 9,345,600th. Now, had Shingles during this time and that lives up to the hype.

the best thing about covid is that it is over. Wife had it twice and I had it once. it sucked but was not as bad as it was supposed to be.

you could say that anyone /anything is guided by God.

Was in Mexico for 8 days recently. It was refreshing to not hear one syllable about politics, tariffs, or Trump. According to folks on here.. they are going into meltdown. Well.. not even close.

This was a surprise to me. Was pleased to see Crawford win but I thought that she would lose when battling Musk.

Going to be interesting to see how far the DJIA and the S+P can fall. My unscientific prediction is that the DJIA will probably finally level out at 34K. That will affect folks retirements. It could rebound but not likely for awhile.

isolationist policies do not work anymore. They worked pre-WWII because of low demand for certain goods made elsewhere. That being said.. wanting the US to make the goods instead of importing them is sensible in most cases. Some goods simply can't be produced without undue effort.