Nexii

Only 36% of Gen Z & Millennials trust the mainstream media as per a recent Leger poll. That's a really bad score. What is the cause of MSM quality going down? Is it because they feel the need to sensationalize for the Internet audience? Or are they captive to government funding? Or are they overloaded with too many left to extreme-left journalists to have a balanced view? All of these to some degree, or something else? It's not easy to tell looking from the outside, but for sure it's ailing.

They're indiscernable from the Liberals now. Might as well merge parties. Sad to see, NDP used to be a worker's party that I could support. They're nothing like that anymore.

I'm saddened the Canadian courts haven't had more to say about civil rights through the pandemic. It's like they all just shut down with COVID as the excuse. Even the Nazis let the Jews emigrate (if you weren't rounded up first). What happened to the Charter? "Every citizen of Canada has the right to enter, remain in and leave Canada"

Somewhere around 25% of ICU cases are the unvaccinated. With 10% of the population being unvaccinated, that means they are occupying beds at 2.5x the rate of the vaccinated. It's certainly not the 10-20x the rate of previous variants. So at most if every single unvaccinated got the shot it'd be 25% less cases total. But nope, it's less than that because the vax is only about 60-70% effective. So that reduces vaccinating the last 10% of the population down to around 16% less ICU cases total. The real problem is hospital and ICU beds per capita has gone down over time. Canada used to have 7 per 1000 capita in the 1980s now we're at like 2.5 per 1000. There just isn't capacity I guess we're spending on everything but places for sick people to recover.

Well that's another thing. About a 25% of the hospitalizations are those that are under 50. So while it's mostly hitting seniors it's not only hitting the old/vulnerable. Don't get me wrong, I'm pro-vax but anti-mandate. I think that a roughly 70% reduction in hospitalization rate should encourage you to go get it. Far worse viruses don't have mandatory vaccination so COVID is being politicized.

It does ignore variance in vax by age but there isn't much... if anything older people are vax'd more. On the flip side, vax'ing the last 10% only reduces total hospitalizations by 16%. As they are only a small amount of the total people getting COVID at this point. So you can say that things would be much worse if no one was vaccinated, but vaccinating the rest of the population also won't have much effect.

Actually it can be calculated if you know hospitalization rates by vax status and how many were vaccinated. Assuming 90% vax rate, and 75% of hospitalizations being vaxxed, then if no one was vaxxed there would be 2.5x the total hospitalizations. Which is significantly more but not as much as the media makes it seem to be.

I think the Libs will have a much harder time next election. It's very rare for a party to do well after 10 years in power. Usually because they become like Trudeau's Liberals by then, out of touch with the average voter. Also by the time next election comes, the effects of rampant inflation will be felt a lot more. Most voters won't really care why there is inflation they will just vote for change.

Re: #1 it is kind of crazy we are pushing for mandatory vaccination for COVID. Far worse viruses have never had mandatory vaccination in Canada. A list would include: smallpox, polio, MMR, diptheria, tetanus, Hep B, meningitus, varicella, HPV. Unless I was over 75 I don't think there's a single one of these I'd choose to get over COVID. Even then it'd be a toss up.

Yea 100%. There is no fiscal conservative or libertarian-leaning party right now. Why would I vote CPC when they're also for big government only with a flavor of social prejudice? And I'm not a fan of Trudeau at all either. He uses minorities as a tool to seem virtuous while really doing nothing of substance to help anyone. But hey at least Canadians didn't elect a majority government, cause none of them deserve it.

Leger is quality. Of course supporting the convoy and ending restrictions aren't really the same question, as the convoy is about more than just ending restrictions. They want government to resign and are pushing legal boundaries by blockading. Hence the 30% and 50% support respectively.

More like March or April of 1933 but I get the point. By 1940, Germany was way further down the rabbit hole. History may be horrific but at least we can learn from it.

Something that always stuck with me from high school history lessons. That at extreme levels of authoritarianism there is basically no difference between right and left. The world is becoming more authoritarian, and this protest is a backlash against it.

Yes it's all Emmanuel Goldstein's fault.... err Trump.

Probably that if you're under 65 in the USA and poor you just don't get healthcare. Whereas seniors get emergency care under Medicare.

Well it is a minority government. If the Liberals poll low enough, the NDP will stab them in the back and call an election. I think the Libs would have to be under 25% for at least a month

Hormones are not surgery. Hormone blockers -> around age 8 Hormones -> around age 13 Surgery -> around age 18 Weird thing about that case is that by age 12 courts will generally go with what a minor desires for custody. You'd think they would just go the more clear cut route of just ending the father's custody.

For sex reassignment surgery in Canada one must be an adult.

It never stops because government can just print more money by issuing more debt. And passing off the issue to the next government. That is the downside of democracy, it's very short term focused as popularity now gets you in power. I do wonder if there could be a system where government is run more like a business with mandated balanced budgets by constitution. That might sound cold but we all pay for overspending in less overt ways like inflation and currency devaluation.

The medical and psychologist community doesn't even understand LGBT. As due to the excesses of psychology in the past, it's taboo today to do research in a proper way. In a sense, they are as belief-based as religion.

Freedom to have a religion, not coerce it onto unconsenting minors. For consenting adults I might agree, as ineffective/useless as such consel has proven to be. Though I would say the issue goes deeper in that minors are viewed more as property, as opposed to being given freedom of their own.

Recent Angus Reid poll has over half of Canadians wanting COVID restrictions/mandates to end. Divided perhaps but certainly not 'fringe minority' as Trudeau and the media portray https://angusreid.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/01/2022.01.31_Covid_Incidence_Restrictions.pdf

Will be interesting to see where the Cons go. Whether more libertarian or authoritarian right. Unfortunately I feel it's more likely to be the latter. It's strange that I'd consider PPC about now. They get a lot wrong about trans issues but so does the woke left which is overtaking the Lib and NDP parties. All the left-wing parties have gone so far authoritarian that it's getting scary. No good options right now sadly.

Hoping it's Pierre. I like that he had the courage to go talk to the truckers. Didn't hide in his ivory tower like Trudeau. Need a PM that's less talk more action. Don't care if they are left or right wing.

You can have systems such that parties have to distribute their candidate list regionally. STV would be better than PR. FPTP is the worst though