Newfoundlander

New polling shows gains for the Liberals and Wildrose at the expense of the PCs. Wildrose are at 29% compared to 34% for the PCs.

Cullen seems to be building a lot of momentum.

The Green Party had 8%, who know what will happen to the BC Conservatives between now and then.

If a party can form a majority in FPTP then that system is working for them and they won't care about fixing it.

There was only a 4 point difference in 2009 and a 14 seat gap.

The only two parties with real support in Alberta are the PCs and the Wildrose.

Hmmm...

I understand that they appear to have taken in a big chunk of the Liberal vote to create a more centrist party, but I still don't think it's impossible for Danielle Smith to move ahead. People thought Harper was very right wing but he still managed to get Progressive Cnservatives and Liberals to vote for his party. The PCs are clearly the frontrunners and would be tough to beat, but I think Smith could perform well during the campaign. I doubt any opposition party in Canada is as organized as the Wildrose, if they can bring that organization into their campaign I think they could do quite well.

I prefer Cullen over Layton.

If she didnt step down after being unable to get anadequate level support in a leadership review I highly doubt her caucus would put up with it.

Why?

How so?

The Wildrose have continued to gain support in recent months though, and I think it could go further in a campaign. It all depends on how Albertans feel about Redford trying to buy the election.

C[c]onservatives still know though that they have a conservative finance minister, and a premier that is being more conservative. I don't see why they'd want to strategically vote to try and have a minority NDP government, it'd be way to risky because the NDP do well when the right is split and could definitely form a majority. The NDP are in majority territory now even though they've gained little to no support since 2009. The NDP governments had less support in 1990's then they do now. They should plug their noses, vote Christy and try to get her out in a leadership review.

Cullen is the most likable not by far, I had thought it was Dewar at the beginning of the race but not no more. I think Cullen will be the frontrunner in the next leadership race, I can't imagine him winning this one but you never know. Cullen seems to have strong grassroots support in BC, other candidates are now embracing cooperation, and polling shows Dippers and Liberals are up for working together. It would be interesting to go from a leader representing a riding in the most urban of urban areas in the biggest city to a leader from rural northern BC.

I would hope Conservatives come to their senses and not allow Dix to become premier. NDP support seems to be maxed out in the low 40's in BC so as long as the right of centre stick together they can win the next election, and then work at ousting Clark before 2017.

You're just seeing that now?

With so many parties in Alberta it will be hard to defeat the PC Party because they still have a strong base, though I do think the Wildrose could do well in the campaign.

So what are people going to be protesting?

In the wise words of Kathy Dunderdale: “Our primary function is not as an employment agency, our primary function is to provide service to the people of the province.”

No government is interested in that though.

Most likely won't but they'll probably end up with it.

The Reform Party was probably better then the current Conservative Party.

Andrew Coyne rarely says anything I disagree with.

Yes, and hopefully people vote for the most attractive looking!