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Everything posted by WestCanMan
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What a great way to illustrate that you don't understand 'statistics'! You have obviously never heard of 'standard of deviation'.... When pollsters say "92%" and especially "At this point, even a large polling miss would not be enough for Mr. Trump to win — it will take a sudden and striking change in the fundamentals of the presidential race", and then Trump blows her out by a lopsided margin like 306-232 - it's actual proof that they didn't know wtf they were talking about. They didn't get bit by the randomness bug, they were just wrong. This isn't a case where they said 'this had a chance to go either way'. This is a case where they're saying, "we checked into it - we know exactly what's going to happen in this specific instance" and they had it upside-down. They yapped like liberals (= they looked like total fools). For your edification: 1) people don't have "a 1% chance of ever being in a car accident in their lifetime". It's actually much higher than that. It's almost an eventuality. 2) This isn't really about true randomness, and you can't judge it as if it was just a binary option. Being close counts in this type of measurement. It's like "There's a 92% chance your child will be 4'9" tall" and they wind up being 7' tall. They weren't just wrong, they were clueless. They were so far outside of the SDev that their prediction was useless. If the kid was 4'8 or 4'10 you'd give them a pass but they failed, utterly. You'd never tell a family member to go ask for their opinion again.
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It’s not like 2016 was ‘the dark ages’, it’s actually still the best indicator we have of polling accuracy. Their excuses for being wrong don’t mean jack shit to me, they were just completely out to lunch.
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Utter bullshit. MSM pushed Hillary as having an 85% chance of winning, 88%, and as high as 92% leading up to the election. Here's the NYT saying 91% https://www.nytimes.com/newsgraphics/2016/10/18/presidential-forecast-updates/newsletter.html but their chart, which must be really scientific (because it's a chart and charts don't lie, right?), says 92%. You can blather all you want Boges, facts aren't your friend and they never have been. What you're reciting now is the pre-emptive strike against the collective disbelief of millions of voters who know that Trump should definitely win their state, but will be shocked to find that mail-in ballots favoured Joe Biden 2-1 and Trump was handily defeated. I don't really care what online polls currently have as their 2019 predictions, I was alive back then and I remember quite well what they were predicting, and it wasn't neck and neck. Your historic polling is total bullshit. Just refer to the pre-election polling on this site. I was the only person here predicting the PC had a chance, because the polls were dead against it, and I was wrong as could be. My faith in Canadians was completely undeserved. Here's current polling that says the Liberals have a 93.4% chance of winning Canada-wide, it was at 100% for quite a long time. https://338canada.com The polling on this same site has the Liberals with a 21% chance of winning the most seats in Alberta. Are you f'ing kidding me that polling is realistic? The Conservatives got 70% of the vote in Alberta in 2019 and the Liberals got less than 14%. If there's one place on planet earth where there's a 100.00000% chance of a specific election result it's in Alberta and they peg it down to 79%?????? There's a far better chance that Trudeau doesn't even bother going to Alberta during the election campaign than that he wins that province. The slimy god-damned piece of garbage doesn't give a shit about western Canada.
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The Dems were actually caught cheating 3 times in the 2016 election. Now the biggest election cheaters in the western world are busy championing every voter-fraud-friendly scheme known to man, and you're right under their wing without a care in the world lol. All the liberal toadies in North America still look back on the 2016 and 2018 elections as if Trump was the cheater, it's stupidity on a level that boggles the mind. I couldn't care less about one small, specific instance of voter fraud. The fact is that the Dems have an overall strategy to use mail-in ballots to steal this election or they wouldn't be pushing it so hard.
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Theories abound but whatever the reason, pollsters overestimated the liberal voters in the states and canada by quite a bit in the most recent elections. The Liberals actually lost the popular vote here when the polls had them quite far ahead, and Hillary was supposed to cruise to a win in the last election but she got crushed. I personally think that the pollsters favour liberals because a big part of our MSM political coverage is abot how awesome Trudeau is, or how bad Harper is, in the States it's the same but with Biden/Trump. Polls that show a Canadian Conservative leading rain on the media's 4-yr-long parade that's dedicated to our dear leader. CNN would rather explode than show Trump leading. It would make their whole idiotic drivel narrative meaningless.
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He got the state right. This was a win for Biden.
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America under President Trump
WestCanMan replied to betsy's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
At least 3 senators have gotten covid, and that's not including Senators who were infected but remained asymptomatic, or Senators who were exposed to the virus but fought it off without getting infected. People like Chris Cuomo and Trudeau, who like to pontificate to the rest of the world about what to do and what not to do re: covid, have been infected with covid. I'm not really interested in what any covid preachers have to say. McConnell operates in an environment where they can take a sick day, or a sick week, or a sick month to avoid covid. On the few days they work, they can take exhaustive measures to keep themselves safe. The Whitehouse operates 24/7, and people need to come and go frequently. There's no sick minute for the Prez. Trump gets no afternoons off. He's on call every second of every day. Some people are too busy to take exhaustive measure to protect themselves every second of the day from a virus with a 99.96% survival rate. Lots of Americans and Canadians have to take chances. People work in gas stations, convenience stores, hospitals, they're cops, security guards, waitresses, lab techs, IT people, plumbers, etc. None of them have working conditions that meet the safety standards that Senators have the luxury of working in. McConnell is being a huge pussy. He's not someone I have a lot of respect for to begin with. -
Jake Tapper just told the truth on CNN. It's like he missed every single morning memo from the last 4 years. He must be going senile.
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The Presidential Debate
WestCanMan replied to Infidel Dog's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
You're openly discriminating against leftists with your blatant display of facts -
A truth as monumental as this is ignored/shunned by the leftists, but when Trump says "MS-13 are animals" and the MSM twists that sentence into "Trump said that immigrants are animals" it's somehow entirely meaningful to them and it needs to be propagated. I'm not a person who says "leftists and conservatives can't be friends" but I am a person who believes wholeheartedly that people who lie to me are by definition not my friends.
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What you just said boils down to: Leftists will riot if they lose and leftists will riot if they win. Leftists consist of 3 groups: losers who stand to gain from a system where hard work is meaningless, ultra-wealthy people who own large corporations who don't want competition from small businesses, and idle dreamers who were brainwashed in liberal cullteges and cultiversities.
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The Presidential Debate
WestCanMan replied to Infidel Dog's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
I forgot to mention, bad behaviour is a 29 yr old girl dating a prominent 60 yr old politician to sleep her way into extremely lucrative and influential government jobs. Makes ya think twice about why Sniffy Joe picked Kamala after she brought up all those unfortunate truths about him. -
The Presidential Debate
WestCanMan replied to Infidel Dog's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
On the right side of the aisle people talk about things that are actually true, or they talk about ongoing investigations into things that might eventually be proven. On the left they make up stories which are instantly accepted as fact and then they lie about them once they're disproven. Rule of thumb is, if their lips are moving they're lying. -
The Presidential Debate
WestCanMan replied to Infidel Dog's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
Are you really talking about bad behaviour now? Honest to god you don't even know what that is. Bad behaviour is cheating during the Dem primaries by rigging them against Bernie Sanders. Bad behaviour is cheating by getting the debate moderator to give you the questions ahead of time so that you can prepare a lengthy answer. Bad behaviour is getting Russians to compile a fake dossier so that you can get the FBI to do a fake investigation into a political opponent based on the false info in it. Bad behaviour is inciting racial violence, rioting and looting when you're doing a commencement speech to high school kids. Bad behaviour is getting your kid a $30K/mo job from Burisma and then threatening to withhold $1B in loan guarantees from the Ukranian gov't unless they stop an investigation into that company. Trump says things that you don't like, boohoo. You'd rather have repugnant criminals in the WH starting wars overseas and then letting Americans just die without aiding them at all? Obama turned the US into a racially divided shitshow and turned the ME into a genocidal terrorist heaven, stocked with slaves for tha rapin'! That's worse than bad behaviour, that's criminally bad governance. -
First two months against covid: Trump - blocked travellers from China, neutral on masks. Trudeau - allows flights right out of Wuhan, no screening at the airport, tells Canadians not to wear masks, gives away most of our PPE to China. Somehow our government never figured out that the WHO gave the worst advice possible, even though a lot of Canadians knew it the second we heard it. Now we have given the WHO ver $1B for the advice that made Canada top ten fastest in the world for getting to the 5,000 death mark. 40th in the world in population, 187th lowest pop density, one of the fastest countries to hit 5,000 deaths. For some perspective, the New York City MSA has 21M people, and it's only 35,000 sq km. That's like if we took the whole population of Quebec, BC, Alberta, Yukon, Nunavit, NWT, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Newfoundland & Labrador, and PEI, put them all on Vancouver Island, and the mayor of a city with 8M people there told the 4.3M daily subway riders to carry on as usual. America's problem at the beginning of the outbreak was people like DeBlasio and Pelosi actively giving the worst advice possible to Americans and Cuomo stuffing covid patients into care homes. NY State would be top ten in the world for covid deaths, just counting care home deaths. FYI Fox News doesn't make comparisons between the USA and Canada re: covid. They don't care about our situation. No one had to tell me this, I'm not and idiot and I figured it out myself. People who think that Trudeau rocked the 'fight' against covid and Trump screwed up are just complete morons. Trudeau did nothing. Canada's built-in social distancing saved our bacon. People from Flin Flon can't infect people from Saskatoon as thoroughly and as quickly as people from NYC can infect people in Newark.
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Trudeau's Friends in Big Trouble Again
WestCanMan replied to WestCanMan's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
Nothing would surprise me less than to find out Trudeau is caught up in another scandal. -
The Presidential Debate
WestCanMan replied to Infidel Dog's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
LMAO. You edited this post because of a spelling error and you left "crimminal" in it? After 3 years of "Trump colluded with Russia, Trump slapped a quid pro quo on the free military aid to Ukraine, Trump called soldiers losers, Trump put kids in cages, they made women drink out of the toilet, Trump called all immigrants animals, Trump obstructed justice, Trump said that he would refuse to relinquish the WH if he loses the election", etc being posted here do you think I give a rat's ass if I made an accusation against Biden that "didn't have ultimate proof" right now? Everyone here knows that Biden sniffs and smooches kids inappropriately. It's gross. Obviously I was joking that he'd have an 8 yr old intern, but it's still pretty funny. Given. -
Not 'organizations' though, mind you. They're 'random people coincidentally showing up together at meetings and protests, and because they're awesome they share the signs and weapons that mysteriously show up at those protests and use them to attack police, burn down buildings, and smash windows so that they can loot'. Not to be confused with an 'organization', which would be different somehow.
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There's centralized planning, and funding. They show up to riots with pallets of bricks waiting for them, there are rental trucks dropping off signs and weapons for them, etc.
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OMFG, I hear violins (dumb ones). Antifa is a group, because people are members. They use the same logo as the German communists of the same name, who were in a group, and it's not by coincidence. FWIW Antifa may see themselves as communists, but they are actually fascists at the present time. How is he an "Antifa dude" if Antifa is just an idea, and not an organized group? Wouldn't he just be "a fascist with a nickname"? Something that people wouldn't have if Antifa got their way.
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The Presidential Debate
WestCanMan replied to Infidel Dog's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
Reports say that he was one of Biden's interns in the '70s, they just don't say how old he was. Hopefully he wasn't some 8 yr old kid getting sniffed & smooched and bouncing on Biden's knee. -
Trudeau's Friends in Big Trouble Again
WestCanMan replied to WestCanMan's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
$2Billion? Last I knew it was $675M to CBC and $600M to "select media [sic]outlets" (spelled 'sycophants' wrong). -
No, the second stimulus package, which was proposed by G W Bush did that.
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He's a person who has made and lost billions, and regardless of what you think about his business acumen, he's managed to keep himself in the penthouse lifestyle and his company holds billions worth of real estate. That's far more useful life experience than "part-time teacher, part-time snowboard instructor" or "created some racist laws in the '90s and bilked Ukraine, China and Iraq for billions".
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1) Maybe you're not a liar, maybe your reading comprehension is what's holding you back. Saying the only way he'd lose is if Biden cheated is not the same as saying "I will stay in the WH no matter what". FYI the Dems were caught cheating 3 times on the last election, now that it's 100% certain that the investigation was a fraud. The FBI wa involved in a conspiracy. They were busted for doing things that all add up to "being in on some kind of conspiracy". Then they wiped 33 cell phones, accidentally, because you know how sometimes you just do it. Everyone does, right? Kevin Clinesmith from the FBI pleaded guilty to intentionally providing false evidence to the FISA court. He altered evidence. In addition to that, there were 17 SIGNIFICANT errors and omissions in the FBI's submissions to the FISA court. Andrew McCabe and Petr Strzok were fired. The top FISA court judge said that the FBI's misconduct in this case was so egregious that it cast a shroud of doubt over every case the FBI ever worked on. I've posted a link to that here multiple times. None of what I'm saying is CNN-type conspiracy bullshit (the type of thing that you like to base your opinions on). Every single thing that I've said here is a verifiable fact. The fact that you don't know these things just shows your blatant, willful ignorance. Lie, get pilloried, then cry if you want. IDGAF. If people want to rip on Trump there are lots of truthful things that can be said. Just stick to the truth. It's ugly at times. Trump has a disqualifying record as a human being. Just remember that Hillary had an even more disqualifying record as a human being, and so does Biden. Being beholden to the Chinese gov't is probably the worst thing an American politician can have on their rap sheet. Dude the leftists are pure liars, top to bottom, inside and out. You can't name a single topic that CNN didn't "mostly lie about". I have as much respect for islamic state as I do CNN and the Dems. Sure islamic state is worse, I just don't have any respect at all for any of those groups. I'm not afraid to know what people are saying. I'd rather see people's lies and call them out for what they are than just let them spew unchallenged.
