Yzermandius19

It's called a back up plan, he's still Plan A, they are simply hedging their bets, just in case he falls off a cliff. A weak frontrunner is still a frontrunner, ask Mitt Romney. Even if Biden falls off a cliff, Bloomberg won't be the one who benefits, that will probably be Buttigieg. Bloomberg is going nowhere in this primary, he was foolish to jump in, guess he's just looking for a way to blow a tiny little bit of his fortune, for shits and giggles. If he thinks he actually has a chance, he's straight up delusional.

Bloomberg can't win the primary, regardless of cash, especially given his skipping all the primaries until Super Tuesday, so irrelevant. Stop and Frisk has him dead on arrival, deader than Kamala Harris even, pathetic. He's not even close to a top tier candidate, he's like Andrew Yang or Corey Booker with more money, polling in the same ballpark, he's not going anywhere.

Michael Bloomberg is polling behind Kamala Harris, and is skipping all the early primary states, slow clap. He's not even a speed bump in Joe Biden's way. His money isn't going to save him. Biden should not be doing much better, he's still weak, everyone else is just weaker. Biden is doing well enough right now to win with ease, if little changes from now until the primary gets under way, the voting isn't going to be a surprise. The other candidates have to do something to change the dynamic of this race, or it's over, Biden doesn't have to do anything but not fall off a cliff.

Never claimed he did have a magical advantage, or that he cannot lose. My claim is that this field is so weak, he can actually win this time, and today's circumstances are more advantageous to him, than any other candidate running, and the circumstance a few months from now are likely to play to his advantage more than any other candidate as well. Writing him off before the voting even happens, is a mistake.

You know what's not very confidence inspiring? Polling under 20% nationally, with the frontrunner ahead in the vast majority of states, by larger margins than you are ahead in states that are your strongest territory. Like I say, the other candidates are in a much weaker position, you simply haven't stopped to notice this, because you are tunnel visioning on Biden's weaknesses and have written him off before you even compare him to the competition. Biden has won nothing to date, because he wasn't in a field this weak running as Obama's former VP in 1988 and 2008. Not because he can't win no matter what. 1988 was a pretty weak field, hence Dukakis, but 2020 makes it look strong by comparison.

I don't get this trying to pretend a candidate isn't a frontrunner when they are leading in most of the states and nationally, regardless of the margin in some of those states and nationally. His margins are quite large in the South, all the candidates winning in states that Biden isn't winning in aren't winning by much, even in their strongest territory, they aren't polling much better than Biden. Like I say, all other candidates are in a much weaker position than he is, they have far more work to do than he does. Stop focusing on Biden's weaknesses for a little while, and start looking into the weaknesses of the other viable candidates, and you'll begin to see what I am getting at.

Indeed, that's the only way he can lose. Problem for Warren, Sanders and Buttigieg is, that once they get out of the white rural states, their support drops off dramatically and Biden is leading in all of the demographically diverse urban/rural states.

Right and once he starts cleaning up in the South, the snowball effect will have him earn it. The only way he loses, is if he loses both Iowa and New Hampshire and one of other candidates win both, and then he loses his grip on the south somehow as a result. But none of the viable candidates has any black support, and even if one of them wins both Iowa and New Hampshire, that is unlikely to move the needle much in the South, the demographics are completely different.

Biden seems likely to win before a brokered convention, due to having the South on lock and the superdelegates are more likely to side with him than against him, should it get to that point, that's a deadly combination. Like he's winning in every state that isn't Iowa or New Hampshire, he could be the first candidate since 1972 to lose both and still win the nomination, that's how weak this field is.

They are all weak, there are not a few who are not, fake news. Could go either way, but Biden should be the clear favorite. Half McGovern, Full McGovern, makes little difference, Trump will smash them either way. The Dems have run too far away from center, especially in this primary, to make up the ground in the general election, if they even try, and even if they run Biden or Buttigieg.

I want Biden to lose, I want the Democrats to go Full McGovern, I just don't think that is the most likely scenario. I am not in the bag for him, I acknowledge Biden is a weak candidate, but you don't seem willing to acknowledge just how weak the other candidates are, relative to him, and that's what will carry him to victory. Against a strong or even average field, Biden would get wrecked, but the Democrats have a mighty thin bench, apparently you haven't noticed due to tunnel visioning on Biden's weaknesses. My assessment is not based on wishful thinking, the Biden haters who think he's doomed seem to be engaging in an awful lot of wishful thinking on the other hand.

They do when the field is this weak. The process going forward is unlikely to force his expected faults in a way that costs him the nomination, though could still happen, because it's Joe Biden. He has proven more durable under pressure than all the other candidates. You are tunnel visioning on Biden's weakness and diminishing the weaknesses of his opponents relative to him.

It's still possible he blows it, I'm not saying don't bother with the primary, but I am saying that nothing that has happened to this point will be his undoing, only new developments could achieve that. He is still the frontrunner, all the other candidates are weaker than him, writing him off just because he has screwed up before is a mistake.

Please. At this stage in the game, it's baked into the cake, you are engaging in wishful thinking. The Democrats are aware of the gaffes and the "dementia", it's not a new development, and they don't care. If they did care, it would have shown up by now, not had zero effect whatsoever. That stuff plays with swing voters, but not a good chunk of Democrat primary voters, and a chunk large enough to win the 2020 Dem nomination rather easily I might add.

Democrats have weighed it already, and the gaffes and alleged dementia haven't moved the needle at all. It's not like it's a new development dude.

Yes I've seen Biden on the campaign trail. I have also seen his competition on the campaign trail and they are shell of his current self. Again, stop looking at Biden's flaws in a vacuum, start looking at Biden's flaws compared to those of his competition. He is actually the best candidate for the primary and general election, because his competition is worse than he is. He's still going to lose, but the others would lose even worse. Now if Democrats were smart, they just go with champion of the AOC crowd and tank to discredit the Democrats leftward lurch, but Democrats are not that smart, and they are deluded to think they can actually win, so they won't do that, which results in Biden by default.

Canada going it alone without the hegemon is doomed to failure, and Canada trying be the hegemon is doomed to failure. The sweet spot is being the best colony of the hegemon, and the best way to do that is to stop putting up barriers preventing it from fully exploiting the gravy train of the hegemon. Stop trying to Keep The Americans Out, start embracing Letting The Americans In.

Without America's approval, that good life you talk about wouldn't be a thing. Canada's good life is the result of Canada dining out on America's gravy train. Canada's good life has always been about dining out on the gravy train of a hegemon, first the British, then the Americans. No hegemon, no good life for Canada. My advice, don't look a gift horse in the mouth. Canada will never be a hegemon, and it shouldn't try to be one, it is de facto colony of the hegemon, and it should try to be the best colony it can be, trying to put a square peg in a round hole is a fool's errand.

He has survived it up until this point, what makes you think he can't? It's not like any of these other candidates has a better chance of survival. If you examine Biden in a vacuum, you'll be under the false impression that he's been doomed since he announced and can't win the nomination, if you grade him on a curve against his actual competition however, you'll see he's the obvious frontrunner, because the competition just ain't that tough. Candidates don't run in a vacuum, they run against other candidates, and the other candidates are far more "doomed" than he is in this nomination process.

Go ahead, put your head back in the sand and live in your little bubble. Ignore the entire point and get butthurt that someone pointed out how wrong you were.

Biden faced tougher fields in 1988 and 2008, and in neither of those races did he have Obama's VP on his resume. The 2020 Dem Primary contenders are as soft as baby poop. There is no Obama, there is no Clinton in this field. He doesn't need to be a hero of the AOC crowd to win this primary, apparently he just needs to have been Obama's VP and more electable than the rest of the chumps, which remains true.

Those hits haven't effected his support among Democrat primary voters, they haven't moved the needle at all. The circular firing squad is dragging Biden to the left, but they are hurting him with swing voters and independents, not with Democrats. The Democrats are giving him a pass, or at least a good chunk of them are, enough to probably win the nomination, if Biden brings himself down in these primaries, it will be because of something he has yet to happen, not something he has already happened. Claims of Biden having no chance have been greatly exaggerated, dude is the clear frontrunner.

See the swing voters will walk away from Biden, but the Democrats look like they are giving him a pass, none of this Ukraine stuff has cut into his support at all in the primaries, he's remained remarkably stable. If his opponents were stronger they'd be able to take advantage, but they are weak.

It being broken doesn't prevent some parts of it from being a nice place to live, it just means if it wasn't for the broken country, those parts would be even nicer to live in, Confederation is holding us all back.

Your Canada is a Post National Zombie Confederation. Down with Confederation, Down with your Canada.