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Posted
Just now, DUI_Offender said:

Ohio swings back to Trump. 

Trump is leading in Virginia.

It looks like Trump is going to win.

VA probably won't go Trump because the counties that arent fully reported tend to be blue and the counties that are 100% are red. I'm not saying he can't. But, without exit polls, there is no way to know who won...yet.

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Posted
1 minute ago, DUI_Offender said:

Ohio swings back to Trump. 

Trump is leading in Virginia.

It looks like Trump is going to win.

Pennsylvania is still the key state so far - if things keep going the way they look then whoever wins Pennsylvania wins the election. 

Posted
Just now, CdnFox said:

Pennsylvania is still the key state so far - if things keep going the way they look then whoever wins Pennsylvania wins the election. 

If Trump takes VA, PA because less important.

GA still looks ok, but neither Atlanta area counties have reported a single vote. However, exit polling had Trump increasing his share of the black vote. I saw one poll that said he got 25% of the black male vote in GA. If that is true, it will dampen the results in the Atlanta area.

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Posted
7 minutes ago, gatomontes99 said:

If Trump takes VA, PA because less important.

 

Yeah but he'd still be short unless he flips something somewhere else. 

I'm a little surprised to see kansas is still showing blue. Still close and lots of room for change but still

Posted
4 minutes ago, CdnFox said:

Yeah but he'd still be short unless he flips something somewhere else. 

I'm a little surprised to see kansas is still showing blue. Still close and lots of room for change but still

OH is now Trump.

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Posted
Just now, gatomontes99 said:

OH is now Trump.

very very early but minnesota leaning trump :)  That would be a shock. Trump way out ahead but hardly any polls reporting yet. we'll see. 

Posted
3 minutes ago, DUI_Offender said:

Latinos are voting for Trump in record numbers.

That tracks with the polling. Really, the polling seems to be about spot on. Trump improved with Latino/Hispanic men and black men and Harris isn't doing better in women than Biden. The map doesn't look good for her if she doesn't outperform some where and that just isn't happening. Women is what they hung their hat on and it isnt paying off.

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Posted
4 minutes ago, gatomontes99 said:

That tracks with the polling. Really, the polling seems to be about spot on. Trump improved with Latino/Hispanic men and black men and Harris isn't doing better in women than Biden. The map doesn't look good for her if she doesn't outperform some where and that just isn't happening. Women is what they hung their hat on and it isnt paying off.

I was right. I have said before that the USA would never elect a woman president. The fact that Biden chose a loser, as a VP is coming back to bite him. I still think if the Dems had gone with Pete Buttigieg, they would have won the election.

Posted

Pensylvania moving towards trump.  He's at 198 called so far, it's starting to look very positive for him

 

15 minutes ago, DUI_Offender said:

I was right. I have said before that the USA would never elect a woman president. The fact that Biden chose a loser, as a VP is coming back to bite him. I still think if the Dems had gone with Pete Buttigieg, they would have won the election.

They couldn't.  They already bent a lot of 'rules' going with harris, to try to have a mini nomination race in the last 2 weeks would have been death. 

Posted
2 minutes ago, CdnFox said:

Pensylvania moving towards trump.  He's at 198 called so far, it's starting to look very positive for him

 

They couldn't.  They already bent a lot of 'rules' going with harris, to try to have a mini nomination race in the last 2 weeks would have been death. 

NYTs is saying Trump is 3/4 chance of winning. Projecting 287.

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Posted
2 minutes ago, CdnFox said:

 

 

They couldn't.  They already bent a lot of 'rules' going with harris, to try to have a mini nomination race in the last 2 weeks would have been death. 

This is all Biden's fault.

There is no way he did not know he was in cognitive decline. He should have done the right thing, and announced he was stepping down, so that the Democrats could have picked a more competent leader. 

Posted
2 minutes ago, DUI_Offender said:

This is all Biden's fault.

There is no way he did not know he was in cognitive decline. He should have done the right thing, and announced he was stepping down, so that the Democrats could have picked a more competent leader. 

Well that's true but i think the people around him share at least an equal blame.  I mean you expect someone with cognitive impairment to make bad calls but everyone else had to know that there was no way he could serve another term and they did nothing during the nomination. 

Posted

Friend of mine in PA hust sent me a text. "We can't even decide if it is soda or pop and now we have this kind of pressure?!"

  • Haha 1

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  6. If all else fails, just be angry.
Posted
4 minutes ago, gatomontes99 said:

NYTs is saying Trump is 3/4 chance of winning. Projecting 287.

287 is precisely what real clear politics predicted - so that would be impressive. he's now leading in a lot of surprising places.  And i mean places with a significant percent counted, not like oregon :)   like he might just win Wisconsin. And the same day vote tends to favour him. 

Posted
Just now, DUI_Offender said:

90% chance of Trump winning the election, as of this minute...

Despite all the talk about the polls adjusting things to account for the fact that they often underestimate him, it looks like he's going to overperform again

Posted

Jeebus...OH went decisevly to Trump.

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Posted
1 minute ago, gatomontes99 said:

Jeebus...OH went decisevly to Trump.

Virginia's back and play but it's tight as crazy and I suspect that there's still a bunch of same day votes to be counted and those will probably favor trump

Posted
1 minute ago, CdnFox said:

Virginia's back and play but it's tight as crazy and I suspect that there's still a bunch of same day votes to be counted and those will probably favor trump

Maybe. I don't know. I have no insights that would be anything other than wild ass guess.

The Rules for Liberal tactics:

  1. If they can't refute the content, attack the source.
  2. If they can't refute the content, attack the poster.
  3. If 1 and 2 fail, pretend it never happened.
  4. Everyone you disagree with is Hitler.
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  6. If all else fails, just be angry.
Posted
1 minute ago, gatomontes99 said:

Maybe. I don't know. I have no insights that would be anything other than wild ass guess.

Well many of these states have a habit of releasing the mail ends in clumps here and there. Conventional wisdom is that the mailings tend to pay with democrats lately whereas Same day tends to favor the republicans. There's a bunch of same day yet to be counted, there might be some mailing yet I'm not sure but chances are the next couple batches are going to be same day and we'll see it flip back to trump's favor. But I mean it's tight as hell

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