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International Elections


TheNewTeddy

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http://www.voanews.com/english/news/Turkmenistan-Holds-Presidential-Election-139180204.html

The polls have not closed but I'm declaring this over.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Turkmenistani_presidential_election,_2012

There is a single party that is running all 8 Candidates, and there is no way the incumbent, Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedow, will lose.

So congrats from me to Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedow on an election well fabricated and a result well deceived!

Maybe 97% of the people love him.

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Japan, China, Russia and Europe, Brazil, the rest of the world, know little of "democracy".

In Brazil there have been peaceful handoffs. And in Canada, Martin handed off to Harper with a minimum of violence.
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I've tried to parse the Burma results. It is confusing, but here is what I have. These are the post-election new totals in Parliament.

Lower House

341 - Pro Administration

37 - New Democratic Opposition

57 - Others*

Upper House

185 - Pro Administration

4 - New Democratic Opposition

35 - Others*

* = Others include...

Small parties that may be pro-administration

Regionalist parties that may be pro-administration

Regionalist parties that are anti-administration

Small parties that are anti-administration

Small parties that there is no enough information to classify

Independent members

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LePen was never a threat for the second round.

most recent polling averages show Sarkozy (UMP) and Hollande (PS) tied. This is a huge improvement for Sarkozy who, until a month ago, was expected to lose the first round.

Second round Hollande is still leading by 9 or so points.

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  • 2 weeks later...

Current counting, French Presidental Election.

28.8% - Hollande - Socialist

26.1% - Sarkozy - Conservative

18.5% - LePen - Nationalist

11.7% - Melenchon - Communist

8.8% - Bayrou - Moderate (Liberal)

2.3% - Joly - Green

1.8% - Dupont-Aignan - Gaulist

1.2% - Poutou - Anti-Capitalist

0.6% - Arthaud - Marxist

0.2% - Cheminade - Pro-LaRouche

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Even though Sarkozy is a loud-mouthed brat I think Hollande winning would plunge the EU into even a deeper crisis as he has promised to open the stability-pact and that would lead to a new series of endless arguments.

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The New Totals in Councils, after the recent UK election.

WALES

576 - Labour

158 - Plaid

105 - Conservative

71 - Lib-Dem

2 - UKIP

SCOTLAND

424 - SNP

394 - Labour

115 - Conservative

71 - Lib-Dem

14 - Green Party of Scotland

ENGLAND

8762 - Conservative

5588 - Labour

2557 - Lib-Dem

136 - Green Party of England and Wales

22 - UKIP

17 - Liberal

7 - RESPECT

3 - BNP

1 - English Democrats

1 - Social Democratic Party

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This is a happy night; That arrogant sarkozy will be booted out of office by his nation.

The French have a history of taking a populist result. The results, often, have been disastrous. See events from 1791 to 1798 and the post-WW II French Fourth Republic.

They'll be no happier with Hollande.

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Greece update

Things are... very complicated and confusing. However, I've been able to pear it down to these simple numbers

Government - 163 (Pro Austerity)

Opposition - 133 (Anti Austerity)

In those "Opposition" numbers are a "usual" NAZI party, IE a party that everyone outside the party says is neo-NAZI but who those inside the party claim it is not, and more worrying, a real NAZI party, that self-identifies as neo-NAZI. They are on track to win 20 seats.

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More in-depth numbers.

55 - ND - Right(-wing) Pro(-Austerity)

49 - SYRZIA - Left Anti

42 - PASOK - Left Pro

31 - IndGrk - Right Anti

25 - Communist (anti)

20 - NAZI (anti)

16 - DemLeft - Left Pro

4 - Laos - less NAZI (Anti)

4 - Green - Green (???)

4 - DemAll - Moderate (???)

Remember these are estimates based on exit polls and current ballots cast.

The winning party in the election wins an additional 50 seats. Thus ND would win 95 seats on these numbers.

50%+1 of Greeks have voted for parties that are anti, and 40% for parties that are pro (the remaining 10% I cannot classify)

Edited by TheNewTeddy
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An exit poll was just released (in Greece they release them hours into counting it seems)

108 ND (I had 95)

47 SYRZIA (49)

38 PASOK (42)

30 Ind G (31)

25 Comm (25)

19 NAZI (20)

17 Dem L (16)

8 LAOS (4)

8 Grn (4)

0 DemAll (4)

Note that 8 seats is the threshold, but some/none/all of those 3 parties I have listed at 4 may not make the threshold.

Further note that my numbers are based on 2 OTHER exit polls.

My new projection is thus.

Government: (current coalition, pro-austerity)

104 ND (right)

40 PASOK (left)

TOTAL: 144

Swing: (Pro-Austerity, may remain with Government)

17 Dem L (left)

TOTAL: 17

Opposition: (Anti-Austerity)

49 SYRZIA (left)

31 Ind Grk (right)

25 Communist

20 NAZI (like, self-proclaimed NAZI)

4 LAOS (accused of being NAZI)

TOTAL: 129

Others: (I'm unable to determine their position on Austerity)

4 Grn (Green)

4 Dem All (moderate)

TOTAL: 8

Edited by TheNewTeddy
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Another exit poll from Greece. Adding it to my projection (which is really just an average of all exit polls so-far

Government: (current coalition, pro-austerity)

106 ND (right)

42 PASOK (left)

TOTAL: 148 (150 needed for Majority)

Swing: (Pro-Austerity, may remain with Government)

17 Dem L (left)

TOTAL: 17

Opposition: (Anti-Austerity)

49 SYRZIA (left)

31 Ind Grk (right)

25 Communist

20 NAZI (like, self-proclaimed NAZI)

4 LAOS (accused of being NAZI)

TOTAL: 129

Others: (I'm unable to determine their position on Austerity)

4 Grn (Green)

0 Dem All (moderate)

TOTAL: 4

Sorry for the multiple posts, but things are moving fast and furious, and the results of the Greek election could have a direct impact on Canada's economic recovery, so I hope this is okay.

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