M.Dancer Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 (edited) 308 seats up for grabs....308 points to score. Subtract 1 point for each seat off your prediction... NO "OTHER"...either independant or party name Tie Breaker....% voter turn out PREDICT EARLY AND PREDICT OFTEN>>>> I get to go first... Conservatives....162 Liberals...............91 Bloc Quebecois....40 NDP................... 14 Independent..........1 Total.................308 Voter turn out...47% (46% if it rains) EDIT: Change from green to independent http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2...arthur0908.html Quebec's colourful independent MP André Arthur won't face any Conservative opponent in the upcoming election.The Tories confirmed they decided last week not to field a candidate against the former radio DJ, once known as "King Arthur," who represents Portneuf-Jacques-Cartier in the Quebec City area. Edited September 8, 2008 by M.Dancer Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
Topaz Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 I don't know yet but I don't think the rep. from Essex, ON even with the millions of $$$ from Harper, he's going down! I'm not sure the Minister of Finance will be back either. A Con supporter from this area said its NDP and Libs in the area so he's NOT going to vote! I'm old enough to know, you can't predict when it comes to the Canadian voter. You may see a minority NDP gov't, who knows. Quote
M.Dancer Posted September 8, 2008 Author Report Posted September 8, 2008 I don't know yet but I don't think the rep. from Essex, ON even with the millions of $$$ from Harper, he's going down! I'm not sure the Minister of Finance will be back either. A Con supporter from this area said its NDP and Libs in the area so he's NOT going to vote! I'm old enough to know, you can't predict when it comes to the Canadian voter. You may see a minority NDP gov't, who knows. Is the prediction format too complicated? Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
Moonbox Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 (edited) Actually I think we can rule out the NDP. Layton is an idiot. He's so full of hot air and rhetoric it's not even funny. Sure, he talks like your average Joe and makes promises out of his wazoo, but the vast majority of Canadians know he's 100% full of balogna. He can promise whatever he wants knowing he won't form a government...and he does know he won't. Anyways: Conservatives....153 Liberals...............100 Bloc Quebecois....25 NDP................... 30 Green...................0 Total.................308 I think the Bloc is going to slowly peter out and the NDP will take its place in Quebec. I don't predict a conservative majority but I wouldn't be surprised if your prediction is more accurate than mine. I know Dion's blowing it for the Liberals but I still think there are enough people in Ontario who vote Liberal no matter what to ensure they still have an okay showing. Edited September 8, 2008 by Moonbox Quote "A man is no more entitled to an opinion for which he cannot account than he is for a pint of beer for which he cannot pay" - Anonymous
M.Dancer Posted September 8, 2008 Author Report Posted September 8, 2008 Actually I think we can rule out the NDP.Layton is an idiot. He's so full of hot air and rhetoric it's not even funny. Sure, he talks like your average Joe and makes promises out of his wazoo, but the vast majority of Canadians know he's 100% full of balogna. He can promise whatever he wants knowing he won't form a government...and he does know he won't. Anyways: Conservatives....153 Liberals...............100 Bloc Quebecois....25 NDP................... 30 Green...................0 Total.................308 I think the Bloc is going to slowly peter out and the NDP will take its place in Quebec. I don't predict a conservative majority but I wouldn't be surprised if your prediction is more accurate than mine. I know Dion's blowing it for the Liberals but I still think there are enough people in Ontario who vote Liberal no matter what to ensure they still have an okay showing. I would say there's a good chance there will be 3 leaderships up for grabs after this...Layton Dion and Duceppe. Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
Ontario Loyalist Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 (edited) Conservatives....162Liberals...............91 Bloc Quebecois....40 NDP................... 14 Green...................1 Hmmm... a Green? Now what riding would this be? Guelph? A couple days before the election I may do a riding by riding prediction of at least southwestern Ontario... Edited September 8, 2008 by Ontario Loyalist Quote Some of us on here appreciate a view OTHER than the standard conservative crap. Keep up the good work and heck, they have not banned me yet so you are safe Cheers! Drea
Moonbox Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 I would say there's a good chance there will be 3 leaderships up for grabs after this...Layton Dion and Duceppe. I'd have to go along with you on that. I'd bet money on it. Quote "A man is no more entitled to an opinion for which he cannot account than he is for a pint of beer for which he cannot pay" - Anonymous
guyser Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Conservatives....148 Liberals..............108 Bloc Quebecois....38 NDP................... 12 Green...................2 Total.................308 My only guarantee is mikedavid wont vote if its rainy. If the sun shines, then perhaps an 8% chance of him turning the TV off and doing the civic duty. Quote
Riverwind Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Conservatives....138 Liberals..............127 Bloc Quebecois....28 NDP................... 15 Green...................0 Total.................308 Quote To fly a plane, you need both a left wing and a right wing.
White Doors Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Conservatives....172 Liberals..............72 Bloc Quebecois....30 NDP................... 34 Green...................0 Total.................308 Quote Those Dern Rednecks done outfoxed the left wing again.~blueblood~
madmax Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 I would say there's a good chance there will be 3 leaderships up for grabs after this...Layton Dion and Duceppe. There will be two and only two. Duceppe is done after this one. Dion is done if the CPC gets a Majority or Minority. Harper is on shakey ground with another minority or loss of government. The NDP has not been a party to usher out their leader regardless of the outcome. Quote
Smallc Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 The NDP has not been a party to usher out their leader regardless of the outcome. That, and according to polls, Jack is far more popular than his party. Quote
jdobbin Posted September 8, 2008 Report Posted September 8, 2008 Didn't see this thread till now. Conservative Party - 192 Liberal Party - 42 Bloc Quebecois - 35 New Democratic Party - 38 Green Party /Independent - 1 Total 308 I may be overestimating the amount of Bloc and Liberal seats. Quote
betsy Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 (edited) Conservative - 185 Liberals - 70 NDP - 33 Bloc - 20 Green - 0 Edited September 9, 2008 by betsy Quote
geoffrey Posted September 9, 2008 Report Posted September 9, 2008 Back to lock in my prediction... CPC -> 171 Liberal -> 61 NDP -> 35 Bloc -> 40 Independant -> 1 Turnout 45% Quote RealRisk.ca - (Latest Post: Prosecutors have no "Skin in the Game") --
M.Dancer Posted October 8, 2008 Author Report Posted October 8, 2008 308 seats up for grabs....308 points to score. Subtract 1 point for each seat off your prediction...NO "OTHER"...either independant or party name Tie Breaker....% voter turn out PREDICT EARLY AND PREDICT OFTEN>>>> I get to go first... Conservatives....162 Liberals...............91 Bloc Quebecois....40 NDP................... 14 Independent..........1 Total.................308 Voter turn out...47% (46% if it rains) EDIT: Change from green to independent http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2...arthur0908.html Time to change the prediction. I predict with the release of the Conservativbe platform the slide will reverse as the news cycle will be dominated by the release. Conservatives....158 Liberals...............93 Bloc Quebecois....42 NDP................... 14 Independent..........1 Total.................308 Voter turn out...49% (46% if it rains) Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
Smallc Posted October 8, 2008 Report Posted October 8, 2008 Voter turn out...49% (46% if it rains) Why do you think voter averages will be so much lower than the normal average? Quote
M.Dancer Posted October 8, 2008 Author Report Posted October 8, 2008 Why do you think voter averages will be so much lower than the normal average? Lower? the 2006 election was less than 48% Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
Vancouver King Posted October 8, 2008 Report Posted October 8, 2008 Lower?the 2006 election was less than 48% Actually, it was 64.7%. http://www.nodice.ca/elections/canada/voterturnout.php Quote When the people have no tyrant, their public opinion becomes one. ...... Lord Lytton
Smallc Posted October 8, 2008 Report Posted October 8, 2008 Actually, it was 64.7%.http://www.nodice.ca/elections/canada/voterturnout.php Yes, it was actually higher than the election before it (or maybe the two elections, I can't remember). Quote
M.Dancer Posted October 8, 2008 Author Report Posted October 8, 2008 Actually, it was 64.7%.http://www.nodice.ca/elections/canada/voterturnout.php That's registered voters, not the % of Canadians. http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/historical-turnout.html Quote RIGHT of SOME, LEFT of OTHERS If it is a choice between them and us, I choose us
Smallc Posted October 8, 2008 Report Posted October 8, 2008 (edited) That's registered voters, not the % of Canadians.http://www.sfu.ca/~aheard/elections/historical-turnout.html AFAIK, its eligible voters, not registered...and who cares about the percentage of Canadians, some of which can't vote? Edited October 8, 2008 by Smallc Quote
kengs333 Posted October 8, 2008 Report Posted October 8, 2008 308 seats up for grabs....308 points to score. Subtract 1 point for each seat off your prediction...NO "OTHER"...either independant or party name Tie Breaker....% voter turn out PREDICT EARLY AND PREDICT OFTEN>>>> I get to go first... Conservatives....162 Liberals...............91 Bloc Quebecois....40 NDP................... 14 Independent..........1 Total.................308 Voter turn out...47% (46% if it rains) EDIT: Change from green to independent http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2...arthur0908.html What about Casey and McHale? Quote
kengs333 Posted October 8, 2008 Report Posted October 8, 2008 Conservatives....172Liberals..............72 Bloc Quebecois....30 NDP................... 34 Green...................0 Total.................308 LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL Quote
kengs333 Posted October 8, 2008 Report Posted October 8, 2008 Didn't see this thread till now.Conservative Party - 192 Liberal Party - 42 Bloc Quebecois - 35 New Democratic Party - 38 Green Party /Independent - 1 Total 308 I may be overestimating the amount of Bloc and Liberal seats. Oh, those were the days when people actually thought that the Cons had a chance at a majority... LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL Quote
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