Nelson may have had fewer games against Western opponents than Eakins, but Nelson also has more wins against Western opponents (4 vs 1). Also, arguing that Eakins' record isn't that much different from Nelsons' requires adding the losses during the 5 game Craig MacTavish "transistional period" to Nelson's record, which isn't fair because MacTavish was running the practices and the bench during that time. Eakins was 7-19-5, MacTavish was 0-3-2, and Nelson is 13-17-6. And Nelson has had no Taylor Hall, no David Peron, and had Jeff Petry traded away. Trying to sell the injury to Nikitin as a positive for Nelson doesn't work when Nikitin's replacement was guys like Keith Aulie or Jordan Osterle, whoever that is.
A lot of good things have happened since Nelson has taken over. The powerplay is dangerous again. (Notice how we had a great power play under Kruger, then it became the worst in the league as soon as Eakins came to town, and now that Eakins is gone again, it's the hottest PP in the league.) Eberle and The Nuge are on fire. Yakupov has gone from impending bust to promising player again.
And it's just obvious from watching the games how different the players are. Last night was a good example. The Oilers give up a bad goal and the Flyers add 2 more in a hurry. Under Eakins, you could have turned off the TV right then, because the game would have already been over. They had no fight and no confidence under Eakins. Every time they were faced with adversity they crumpled. But last night, they managed to come back to tie it up before the period was over, and went on to win. Under Nelson the Oilers have won 5 games in which their goaltending save % was under .900, including last night. Do you know how often that happened while Eakins was coach? Never. Zero times in 113 games. Under Nelson, they have the confidence to fight back after giving up a bad goal, and under Eakins they always imploded. Nelson has imparted the team with intangibles that they were completely lacking when Eakins was in charge. They act like a real team again.
Obviously the team still has a lot of problems. But why screw around with the coaching yet again when we've somebody who is making progress for a change. Why repeat the mistake of replacing Kruger? What makes you think MacTavish isn't just going to go pick the next Eakins?
There's also the problem of who would actually want this job. Groucho Marx once said "I wouldn't belong to any club that would have me as a member" and I think that a similar problem faces the Oilers in trying to acquire a premier coach: no premium coach is going to come work for this ridiculous franchise. They won't get Mike Babcock. They might get some guy who got canned a few years ago and is desperate to get back into the NHL. Who else is out there? Wait for the Sharks to fire Todd McLellan for failing to get their loaded team into the playoffs?
The Canucks brought in a big name veteran coach prior to last season, and he just about ruined the whole franchise. They fired the guy last summer, replaced him with an AHL coach, and they're dramatically improved and going back to the playoffs. Todd Nelson has the players playing better, feeling confident, and developing in the right direction. Why fire him and risk bringing in the next Dallas Eakins or John Tortorella?
Eakins was a cancer and he had to go. There's no reason to replace Nelson right now, same as there was no reason to replace Kruger 2 years ago. Instead of keep screwing around with the coaching, maybe MacTavish should concentrate on fixing the terrible goaltending and defense. Too bad MacTavish is too stupid to do anything right. He's the second biggest problem with this team, behind Kevin Lowe). Nothing good is going to happen until both of those failures are gone.
Pretty funny to be having this discussion in the Playoffs thread. My kids will be in college before we see the Oilers in the playoffs again, and I don't even have kids yet.
-k