maplesyrup

Isn't it about time for the Conservatives to take responsibility for their mistakes? The attack ads didn't have much to do with it. Conservatives mainly did it to themselves by the following: 1 - Ralph Klein's comments about medicare 2 - Social Conservatives in Conservative party making outrageous comments that are just so far beyond the pale, and Harper's response or non-response to them. 3 - Harper talking about winning a majority, and transition teams, and all those kind of comments. And you thought the Liberals were arrogant. 4 - Harper's love affair with George Bush. Harper may have to go if the Conservatives are ever to win power.

The only combinations for a majority are as follows: Don't forget to remove one for the speaker, because one cannot assume the speaker will come from the opposition ranks: Lib + Bloc - speaker = 135 + 54 - 1 = 188 Lib + Cons - speaker = 135 + 99 -1 = 233 That's it. The numbers are not there for any other combination. Libs + New Dem + Ind - speaker = 135 + 19 + 1 -1 = 154 (not enough as 155 required for majority) Cons + Bloc + Ind - Speaker = 99 + 54 + 1 - 1 = 153 (once again not enough for majority) BTW Cadman is a Conservative - he just lost his Cons nomination battle to a mass sign-up process.

Voters rejected Harper and Martin, the right wing parties. Just look at the popular vote. The Conservatives are way too right wing for Canadians. Watch now for some aditional right of centre parties to emege such as PC Party & CHP & the Greens.

Let's see who the actual winners and losers are. Here is a comparison of the results of the differences between Canada's 37th and 38th elections. Popular vote Party/2000/2004/Change Libs: 40.8%, 36.7%, down 4.1% Cons: 37.7%, 29.6%, down 8.1% Bloc: 10.7%, 12.4%, up 1.7% New Dem: 8.5%, 15.7%, up 7.2% Oth: 2.3% (2000) Grn: 4.3% (2004) CHP: 0.3% (2004) It appears at first glance that the left has increased its support, and in particular the New Democrats are the big winners in Canada's 38th election.

As political scientist Richard Johnston said hopefully this puts the idea to rest the idea that BC is a Conservative bastion similiar to Alberta. So let's bury that one, once and for all.

Party/% of Vote/No. - % of Seats/Difference Libs: 36.7%, 135 - 43.8%, Benefitted by 7.1% Cons: 29.6%, 99 - 32.1%, Benefitted by 2.5% Bloc: 12.4%, 54 - 17.5%, Benefitted by 5.1% New Dem: 15.7%, 19 - 6.2%, Screwed by 9.5% Grns: 4.3%, 0 - 0%, Screwed by 4.3%

I wonder what percentage of the Green vote came from the Conservatives. Although they did not elect anyone they will now have a lot of money to fight the next election.

I hope everyone remebers that Martin campaigned on the left for the last two weeks of the campaign, saying how similar the liberals are to the NDP. Well now Mr Martin will have an opportunity to government with some fresh NDP ideas.

What role can the New Democrats play now?

Lib & NDP = 151 seats so far Might be ideal situation for NDP - if so, PR here we come! Lib minority being projected.

Pop vote is strong so far for the NDP. This bodes well for the New Democrats for the next election, which may come sooner than we think, at $1.75 per year, per vote.

First Quebec result - Liberal loss!

Seat results so far: Party/2000/2004/Change Libs 19, 22, up 3 Cons: 9, 7, down 2 New Dem: 4, 3, down 1

I think the Greens are right wing and that they will take votes primarily from the Conservatives. My rationale for the above analysis is I was listening to a talk radio show a couple of evenings ago, and 99% of the callers are right wing. The host was doing a poll and Conservatives were far ahead of any other party, however the Greens were running second.

Good luck to everyone on Monday, Canada's 38th election!. It's been a slice discussing, and debating the pros and cons of many issues. I hate to admit it but i have learned things especially from those, with whom I disagree. Have a great day, and I hope your candidate wins, as long as he or she is, just kidding. Have fun!

I wish to revise my seat projections. They are as follows: Libs: 110 seats Cons: 108 seats Bloc: 50 seats New Dem: 40 seats Grn: 0 seats Total 308 seats

EKOS polling results released June 26 (Mother of all poll)s, over 5,200 interviews Canadawide) British Columbia Party/Jun 26 Cons: 34% Libs: 30% New Dem: 27% Grn: 7% Tomorrow should be interesting especially with the Liberals rebounding in Quebec (see today's Leger poll)

Another gaffe by the Conservatives? It must be as Randy White's comments about what the Conservatives plan to do after the election were on the front page of the Vancouver Sun, Saturday, Jun 27. When will ever end? - as Jack Layton said - Harper better go to Home Depot and get some some more duct tape to put over the mouths of the Cons candidates and write on the duct tape - Do not open until Jun 29. Do you think we can get through the day today, the last day of the campaign, without another gaffe? No hidden agenda, my ass.

Conservatives will tax the poor and give tax breaks to the rich and run deficit budgets - look at what Mr Harper's idol George Bush as done!

Was it the Stephen Harper Conservatives accusing Layton & Martin of being soft on child pornography? Was it Jack Layton suggesting the Martin Liberal government policies lead to the death of homeless people? Was it Paul Martin not uniting the Liberals after his leadership coronation? Maybe you don't think the above were gaffes. What do you think was the worst gaffe of the campaign?

This dynamic husband-wife duo may be the first-ever couple elected the House of Commons on Monday. Olivia is a political powerhouse in her own right. Who do you think will get the most votes: Olivia or Jack? Layton predicted to win riding

Layton predicts record seat total Looks like Jack is really on a roll these last few days of the campaign. I think the New Democrats with Jack Layton at the helm are going to exceed their wildest expectations.

Mr Harper seems to be a big fan of the policies of US President George Bush. A lot of his ideas seem to be similiar to the ideas of President Bush. So I am asking is Stephen Harper Canada's George Bush?

EKOS polling results June 26, 2004 compared to the EKOS poll reults for May 28, just as the election was called. Canada Party/May 28/Jun 26/Change Libs: 38%, 33%, down 5% Cons: 30%, 32%, up 2% New Dem: 18%, 19%, up 1%

Motoro.....thanks Canada Company Date----------LI CO ND BL GN OT UD EKOS 26/06/2004 33 32 19 11 05 ?? 19........5,254 interviews SES CPAC 25/06/2004 34 30 20 12 04 ?? 21........1,200 interviews Ipsos-Reid 24/06/2004 32 31 17 12 06 Compas 24/06/2004 34 31 15 SES CPAC 24/06/2004 34 30 21 12 03 ?? 20 Environics 23/06/2004 33 33 18 11 04 01 20 SES CPAC 23/06/2004 34 31 21 12 03 ?? ?? SES CPAC 22/06/2004 34 31 21 10 04 00 21 Ipsos-Reid 22/06/2004 34 28 16 SES CPAC 21/06/2004 33 33 18 12 05 EKOS 19/06/2004 29 31 21 14 04 00 07 SES CPAC 18/06/2004 34 29 22 10 05 ?? 20 Ipsos-Reid 18/06/2004 29 32 16 ?? 07 Compas 18/06/2004 35 34 17 11 SES CPAC 17/06/2004 32 32 21 12 4 ?? 19 Pollara 17/06/2004 31 36 16 12 Leger Marketing - Sun Media 17/06/2004 34 35 16 12 ?? ?? 17 SES CPAC 16/06/2004 32 34 19 12 03 ?? 18 SES CPAC 15/06/2004 32 33 19 12 04 ?? 15 Ipsos-Reid 15/06/2005 31 32 17 12 06 ?? ?? SES CPAC 14/06/2004 33 34 18 11 05 00 15 SES CPAC 11/06/2004 33 34 18 11 05 ?? 24 EKOS 10/06/2004 30 34 19 ?? ?? ?? ?? SES CPAC 10/06/2004 32 37 17 10 05 ?? 22 Leger Marketing - CP 09/06/2004 33 30 19 12 ?? ?? ?? Ipsos-Reid 09/06/2004 32 31 16 ?? ?? ?? ?? SES CPAC 09/06/2004 33 37 15 10 05 ?? 22