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Everything posted by SpankyMcFarland
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Poilievre doesn’t have to mention Carney and the Liberals every time he talks about Trump. It’s mixing domestic and foreign policy in an awkward way. He’s already seen as too divisive, partisan and extreme by many in the centrist target group he needs to win over and not a committed Team Canada player. Let people draw their own conclusions about how he measures up to Carney on the Trump file. By contrast, he can talk about affordability and the Liberals as much as he likes. That’s a regular election issue where he has credibility across a wide swathe of the political spectrum. Just my opinion.
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I didn’t like the way Trudeau wanted to deal with the capital gains tax issue, including for medical corporations. I’ve never had a corporation myself and I’m agnostic as to whether medical professionals should be considered as small businesses, given that the business risks they run are much, much smaller than your average guy opening a restaurant or store who faces the prospect of customers disappearing on a daily basis, but once you set up up tax rates that people make long-term decisions on, then arbitrarily increasing them by a large amount seems like a bad idea to me. Anyway, Carney says such changes will not happen which I think is a wise move.
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Liberal Party Takes Lead in Polls
SpankyMcFarland replied to TreeBeard's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
Let’s not be too tough on the pollsters. They are in a fiendishly difficult line of work. It’s like watching a soccer game at field level behind one set of goalposts - you just see people chaotically running about most of the time. Some pundits are saying what you’re saying and I think some of them are pollsters too, so in the event of a Tory win they’ll explain that they weren’t all that wrong. We all know the Liberal rise is new and what rises so fast can fall again just as rapidly. Mark McQueen’s recent piece in the Toronto Star points out that affordability polls as a substantially bigger issue than Trump in one poll. https://www.thestar.com/opinion/star-columnists/the-conservatives-have-a-plan-but-the-liberals-have-something-you-cant-plan-for/article_5b4b9f9d-d3ac-43e4-84ee-22ade456b562.html -
The trade war is back on
SpankyMcFarland replied to CouchPotato's topic in Canada / United States Relations
At least we’re not alone now. Trump has made the fateful decision to take on the rest of the world and for the moment we’re all singing from the same songbook. The US tech industry must be worried. In most markets, they’ve wiped out advertisers and local media while providing very little local work or income and have accentuated polarization and alienation among young people. What’s not to dislike for foreign governments? Many of them must be thinking about digital services taxes at the moment, if only to pay for the damage these arrogant, unaccountable foreigners are wreaking. -
I would say I’m a Blue Grit politically but the smallness of Newfoundland blurs the partisan lines. Provincially, I can go either way as there’s no difference in the two main parties on anything really. Federally, I’ve generally voted Liberal although I donated to the campaign of a friend of mine who ran for the Conservatives. I had to break it to him afterwards that I wasn’t a true member of his tribe. It has also happened that I wasn’t a big fan of the candidate whose party I’d like to vote for, one of FPTP’s many, many failings. You can get to know people close and personal down here, sometimes too much so. Beyond policy, I think I liked Erin O’Toole the most of the recent federal leaders. He had an almost anti-charismatic feeling about him, no theatrics.
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Liberal Party Takes Lead in Polls
SpankyMcFarland replied to TreeBeard's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
It’s such an odd campaign, dominated by the whims of a delinquent foreign octogenarian. Many of the new Liberal supporters have misgivings about the party and its troubled stewardship of the country this last decade. Carney is definitely striking a more centrist tone on policy and ducking a debate shows he also has insight into his limitations. He’s a very old dog to be learning new tricks at this stage. -
Bloody hell, the amount of fentanyl seized by the US last year that is definitely attributable to Canada may be less than one pound! Did you get that, Republicans? One frigging pound. We’ll use your weirdly anachronistic system of weights so as not to confuse you. Great work by the Globe here. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-new-fentanyl-data-undercuts-white-houses-portrayal-of-canadas-role-in/
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Both FL Reps win
SpankyMcFarland replied to gatomontes99's topic in Federal Politics in the United States
What matters in general elections is who wins. What usually matters more in special elections, or by-elections, is the swing. America is one of the few democracies with only two big parties. This is problematic for many reasons but at least makes swing assessments between them easy. And the swing in these Florida elections was significant. Any Republican politician who won by less than 15 points will be taking interest and wondering quietly whether Trump’s real agenda of tariff taxes, chainsaw cuts to government and antagonizing every friendly country on earth is really for them. -
Liberal Party Takes Lead in Polls
SpankyMcFarland replied to TreeBeard's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
Another politically clueless press conference by Danielle Smith. In the event of a Grit win she should pen a memoir along these lines: Pierre Poilievre My Part in His Downfall. -
Liberal Party Takes Lead in Polls
SpankyMcFarland replied to TreeBeard's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
This remains my favourite deselection story which may say more about me than I care to think about: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/jerry-bance-marketplace-1.3217797 -
Liberal Party Takes Lead in Polls
SpankyMcFarland replied to TreeBeard's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
The vetting of candidates is going to become challenging as more of their lives are documented than ever before. We’re dealing with people who are passionate about politics already and who may have held extreme views in the past. The Conservatives dealt with this disturbed person swiftly: https://www.ctvnews.ca/federal-election-2025/article/conservative-candidate-gets-boot-after-ctv-news-uncovers-audio-of-him-supporting-public-hangings-joked-trudeau-should-receive-death-penalty/ I’d say all parties are just praying they don’t have to drop people later in the campaign. -
Liberal Party Takes Lead in Polls
SpankyMcFarland replied to TreeBeard's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
They are also saying he is part of the ‘elite’, very weird for a part of the political spectrum that used to celebrate success. I don’t know anybody who is saying that ‘Canadian conservatives are identical to 'maga'’ but there is an overlap which is quite different. It is undeniable that some Tory voters approve of Trump. I meet Canadians like that all the time. Generally speaking, they have no big problem with Trump’s grotesque history of outright fraud. -
Liberal Party Takes Lead in Polls
SpankyMcFarland replied to TreeBeard's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
Anyway, thank goodness he is gone. I hope no more like him lurk among the candidates of any party. -
Liberal Party Takes Lead in Polls
SpankyMcFarland replied to TreeBeard's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
As it happens, I prefer PMs to be experienced MPs first but we’ve seen a complete shift in what Tories value. In this campaign they encourage suspicion of a successful executive with experience in foreign countries. Obviously, one tries to paint the other guy as badly as possible but who would have imagined such attack lines from our right-wing party a generation ago? And then there’s the Trump angle. Some Tories remain MAGA fans who loved the line that Trump ‘wasn’t a politician’ when he came down the escalator and dismissed any concerns about his literally criminal business empire. Yet now some of the same people claim to be ‘troubled’ by Carney’s Brookfield associations. It’s a strange world. -
Liberal Party Takes Lead in Polls
SpankyMcFarland replied to TreeBeard's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
The Chiang episode was damaging. He should have been fired immediately. There are no ‘jokes’ permissible on that subject. Our problems with CCP interference are going to get a lot worse so let’s put down a few markers now. -
Liberal Party Takes Lead in Polls
SpankyMcFarland replied to TreeBeard's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
OTOH expectations are lower for Carney. He’s benefiting from the ‘not a politician’ tag at the moment.
