As Canada’s fertility rate declines, the debate over how to respond will get ugly

[CdnFox]

https://archive.ph/d7qJK

Canada grew by more than a million people in 2022, because we took in just under 470,000 immigrants and almost 700,000 non-permanent residents, mostly students and temporary workers. That’s significant, because at just 1.33 children per woman last year, this country’s total fertility rate (TFR) is far below the replacement rate of 2.1 needed to maintain population stability absent immigration.

Prof. Kerr notes the “quite striking” variation in fertility rates among provinces. Ontario had a fertility rate of 1.27 last year and British Columbia was all the way down to 1.11, close to the TFRs of South Korea and other developed Asian nations, which have some of the lowest fertility rates on Earth. Quebec and Alberta, on the other hand, were considerably higher, at 1.49 and 1.45 respectively.

Governments sometimes suppress fertility unwittingly. Ontario Premier Doug Ford, for instance, sought to open parts of the Greenbelt surrounding the Greater Toronto Area to development. Many of the new homes would have been three-bedroom houses with a backyard and a garage. That’s the kind of place couples who are planning to have children generally prefer. But he backtracked in the face of popular outrage, and now promises never to build on Greenbelt land.

Development will now focus on denser housing constructed on existing lands within established communities. Many of those properties will be apartments, where it’s harder to raise children than in a house with several bedrooms and a yard.

[CdnFox]

The reason for the different fertility rates in the provinces is also do to age of population. For example - a large percent of alberta's population retires to bc.  They ain't having kids.  So bc with an older average population will have fewer children per person on average.  You'd have to measure each province by female/age.

 

Bottom line is that we ARE making it harder and harder to have children and that's a problem.  It IS very difficult to raise a kid in an apartment compared to a townhouse for example.  High density units are also more expensive to build per sq ft and cost more - which means you need two incomes just to afford one. Taxes don't favor couples overly much if one isn't working. national daycare has been a flop and daycare spaces are very hard to come by in many provinces. Food inflation is really making it hard on families and people see that and don't want to have a kid and worry about feeding them.

The fact is it's bad to have a serious declining population and to rely only on immigration. The liberals have done nothing at all to help with this, if anything they've made it worse.

 

[WestCanMan]

I have no idea why less babies are being born:

[CdnFox]

57 minutes ago, WestCanMan said:

I have no idea why less babies are being born:

 

There are those who claim that the most effective form of birth control is today's women  

[Legato]

Well it is quite close to Halloween.

AOC must use a Medieval amourer when her Portcullis needs fixing.

[WestCanMan]

20 minutes ago, Legato said:

Well it is quite close to Halloween.

AOC must use a Medieval amourer when her Portcullis needs fixing.

That's the most unusual euphemism I've ever heard lol

 

[impartialobserver]

this is true in most developed nations. Declining birth rates, increase in cost of housing, day care getting increasingly pricey due to lack of staff, etc. 

[Michael Hardner]

14 minutes ago, impartialobserver said:

this is true in most developed nations. Declining birth rates, increase in cost of housing, day care getting increasingly pricey due to lack of staff, etc. 

I have been following this for years and also telling people.. it's not just the developed world.

 

Bangladesh no longer has a replacement rate above two, therefore it's population will be declining.

 

https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/BGD/bangladesh/fertility-rate#:~:text=The current fertility rate for,a 1.2% decline from 2020.

 

If there's anything likely to bring Marxism, it's this.

Edited September 28, 2023 by Michael Hardner

[CdnFox]

1 hour ago, Michael Hardner said:

I have been following this for years and also telling people.. it's not just the developed world.

 

Bangladesh no longer has a replacement rate above two, therefore it's population will be declining.

 

https://www.macrotrends.net/countries/BGD/bangladesh/fertility-rate#:~:text=The current fertility rate for,a 1.2% decline from 2020.

 

If there's anything likely to bring Marxism, it's this.

Yeah - the article notes that i believe it's only africa that's actually above the replacement rate.