TheNewTeddy Posted March 6, 2012 Report Posted March 6, 2012 (edited) Thought maybe a thread on this might be useful. Here are my poll-based predictions. Virginia Romney - 100% chance of winning Vermont Romney - 80% Santorum - 20% Tennessee Santorum - 70% Romney - 30% Oklahoma Santorum - 70% Romney - 30% Ohio Santorum - 60% Romney - 40% Massachusetts Romney - 100% Georgia Gingrich - 100% Alaska Romney - 25% Santorum - 25% Gingrich - 25% Paul - 25% (no polls) Edit With no polls I have to go with my gut with Alaska. Romney - 40% Paul - 40% Santorum - 20% Edited March 6, 2012 by TheNewTeddy Quote Feel free to contact me outside the forums. Add "TheNewTeddy" to Twitter, Facebook, or Hotmail to reach me!
j44 Posted March 6, 2012 Report Posted March 6, 2012 No predictions per se from me but I'm looking at Tenn. And Ohio. I think Mitt can shut up at least some, if not most, of his critics if he wins some southern states and more of them if he wins some south and Ohio. I hope Newt loses Georgia so he backs out. Quote
Shady Posted March 6, 2012 Report Posted March 6, 2012 No predictions per se from me but I'm looking at Tenn. And Ohio. I think Mitt can shut up at least some, if not most, of his critics if he wins some southern states and more of them if he wins some south and Ohio. I hope Newt loses Georgia so he backs out. I agree. Mitt could definitely win Ohio, albeit close. And he's only a couple of points back in Tennessee. He might squeak that one out too. Especially if the big surge for him nationally over the last few days is any indication. He's up by 16 in the latest national poll. Quote
punked Posted March 6, 2012 Report Posted March 6, 2012 Maybe Mitt wins tonight but he is broken now. Quote
-TSS- Posted March 6, 2012 Report Posted March 6, 2012 (edited) Is it even theoretically possible for Romney to get past the 50%-mark in the delgate count and therefore make sure of his nomination? Edited March 6, 2012 by -TSS- Quote
bush_cheney2004 Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 Is it even theoretically possible for Romney to get past the 50%-mark in the delgate count and therefore make sure of his nomination? No, but he could sure put the big hurt on the others. Obama did this to Clinton in 2008, all but mathematically eliminating Hillary from getting the nomination. Quote Economics trumps Virtue.
j44 Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 Judas! Georgia has like 70 plus delegates? Quote
TheNewTeddy Posted March 7, 2012 Author Report Posted March 7, 2012 9pm update Georgia, 35% reporting Gingrich - 48.3% Romney - 22.4% Mass, 23% reporting Romney - 71.6% Santorum - 12.5% Ohio, 7% reporting Romney - 37.9% Santorum - 37.8% Oklahoma, 15% reporting Santorum - 35.0% Gingrich -27.2% Romney - 26.7% Tennesee, 6% reporting Santorum - 43.0% Romney - 28.2% Vermont, 37% reporting Romney - 40.2% Paul - 25.5% Virginia, 97% reporting Romney - 59.2% Paul - 40.8% Alaska, 0% reporting - - Idaho, 0% reporting - - North Dakota, 0% reporting - - Wyoming, 0% reporting - - http://elections.nytimes.com/2012 Quote Feel free to contact me outside the forums. Add "TheNewTeddy" to Twitter, Facebook, or Hotmail to reach me!
j44 Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 9pm update Ohio, 7% reporting Romney - 37.9% Santorum - 37.8% I know it is only 7% but that is frickin close. Quote
TheNewTeddy Posted March 7, 2012 Author Report Posted March 7, 2012 According to wikipedia, Wyoming already finished it's process, so wtf. Romney - 39.0% Santorum - 31.9% Paul - 20.8% Gingrich - 7.8% No other updates from polling etc. Paul could do well in ND. Quote Feel free to contact me outside the forums. Add "TheNewTeddy" to Twitter, Facebook, or Hotmail to reach me!
TheNewTeddy Posted March 7, 2012 Author Report Posted March 7, 2012 I know it is only 7% but that is frickin close. Right now we have 17% in, and it's 38.5% for Santorum for 36.5% for Romney. Poll averaging still has Santorum winning. Quote Feel free to contact me outside the forums. Add "TheNewTeddy" to Twitter, Facebook, or Hotmail to reach me!
TheNewTeddy Posted March 7, 2012 Author Report Posted March 7, 2012 Ohio 24% S-38.7 R-36.0 (I hope that's understandable) ND 4% S-52.4 P-21.1 WY 4% R-50.6 S-49.4 (looks like a run-off) Quote Feel free to contact me outside the forums. Add "TheNewTeddy" to Twitter, Facebook, or Hotmail to reach me!
j44 Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 I think I just heard Santorum compare the fight for freedom against the Nazis to the fight for 'freedom' against Obama. Quote
TheNewTeddy Posted March 7, 2012 Author Report Posted March 7, 2012 So wait, Obama is a Black Nazi Muslin? Also Ohio 56% S 38.1 R 36.5 ND 52% S 39.7 P 27.1 R 25.0 Quote Feel free to contact me outside the forums. Add "TheNewTeddy" to Twitter, Facebook, or Hotmail to reach me!
Battletoads Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 So wait, Obama is a Black Nazi Muslin? Also Ohio 56% S 38.1 R 36.5 ND 52% S 39.7 P 27.1 R 25.0 Can I get a link to the source of your numbers? Quote "You can lead a Conservative to knowledge, but you can't make him think."
TheNewTeddy Posted March 7, 2012 Author Report Posted March 7, 2012 http://elections.nytimes.com/2012 Idaho 5% R 66.0 Ohio 61% S 38.2 R 36.4 Quote Feel free to contact me outside the forums. Add "TheNewTeddy" to Twitter, Facebook, or Hotmail to reach me!
olpfan1 Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 Santorum shouldn't be winning any of the states Quote
j44 Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 So wait, Obama is a Black Nazi Muslin? Black Nazi KENYAN Muslim. Who wants to jump in with thoughts on what it will mean if Sweater Vest wins Ohio? Quote
j44 Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 Santorum shouldn't be winning any of the states Wha? Quote
TheNewTeddy Posted March 7, 2012 Author Report Posted March 7, 2012 No no, Muslin! Quote Feel free to contact me outside the forums. Add "TheNewTeddy" to Twitter, Facebook, or Hotmail to reach me!
j44 Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 because he is insane I think he is doing great considering that his campaign is dwarfed by Romney's in money and establishment support. He is also showing that he is a more skilled politician than Romney...at least in some ways....although that isn't that difficult at times. Quote
TheNewTeddy Posted March 7, 2012 Author Report Posted March 7, 2012 (edited) Virginia All votes are counted. Romney has won, 59.5% to 40.5% for Paul. Wyoming Wont finish counting until the end of the week. Massachusetts I do not think there are enough outstanding votes, period, for anyone to overtake Romney. Georgia There *may* mathematically be just enough outstanding votes to overtake Gingrich, but it wont happen. North Dakota Santorum has been ahead 40-25-25 all night. With 63% counted I'm going to call this one for him. Undecided Idaho Romney is doing well but it's still early. Alaska 4 way tie at 0 votes each. Ohio The race to watch. A Romney win could boost his campaign. 75% of ballots counted. Santorum holds a narrow 0.7% lead at 348K votes to Romney's 342K votes. Gingrich is far behind in 3rd. Edit - Margin changed while posting. Now the gap is 0.3%, Santorum at 360K and Romney at 357K Edited March 7, 2012 by TheNewTeddy Quote Feel free to contact me outside the forums. Add "TheNewTeddy" to Twitter, Facebook, or Hotmail to reach me!
olpfan1 Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 I think he is doing great considering that his campaign is dwarfed by Romney's in money and establishment support. He is also showing that he is a more skilled politician than Romney...at least in some ways....although that isn't that difficult at times. His political views are insane and will scare away millions of potential voters Quote
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