MiddleClassCentrist Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 (edited) Same goes for the Liberals. It is not very likley that Rae will receive my vote in 3 years. The Liberal party needs to find a new leader, Rae is getting older and doesn't have the longevity factor. Maybe it will be another Green party "throw away" vote for me. Edited March 7, 2012 by MiddleClassCentrist Quote Ideology does not make good policy. Good policy comes from an analysis of options, comparison of options and selection of one option that works best in the current situation. This option is often a compromise between ideologies.
TheNewTeddy Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 308 results are in. Conservative support went down by 2%. NDP and Liberals remained steady in second and third place. CPC - 33% NDP - 28% LIB - 24% http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-zeiUSqdvk_o/T1YlsSOim4I/AAAAAAAAHWg/gCD-CgPJbCc/s1600/Monthly+Federal+Polls.PNG Seat distribution is as follows: CPC - 133 seats NDP - 74 seats LIB - 75 seats BLOC - 25 seats http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-H_JWt7zN_Uo/T1YoNwsKIUI/AAAAAAAAHWo/az8BHupL7Yw/s1600/2012+February+Seats.PNG 308 was further off than any other major projector in the election. My website, RidingbyRiding was #1 for anyone who did seat based projections. Sadly I had to shutter it due to financial issues. If you want an accurate projection, however, based on these polls, just let me know. Quote Feel free to contact me outside the forums. Add "TheNewTeddy" to Twitter, Facebook, or Hotmail to reach me!
mentalfloss Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 308 was further off than any other major projector in the election. My website, RidingbyRiding was #1 for anyone who did seat based projections. Sadly I had to shutter it due to financial issues. If you want an accurate projection, however, based on these polls, just let me know. Link? Quote
Shakeyhands Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 308 was further off than any other major projector in the election. My website, RidingbyRiding was #1 for anyone who did seat based projections. Sadly I had to shutter it due to financial issues. If you want an accurate projection, however, based on these polls, just let me know. Link? Is there a cached version? Quote "They muddy the water, to make it seem deep." - Friedrich Nietzsche
Newfoundlander Posted March 7, 2012 Author Report Posted March 7, 2012 Link? Here's ThreeHundredEight's final projection. http://www.threehundredeight.blogspot.com/2011/05/final-projection-conservative-minority.html Eric was off a good bit, but so were the polls. It's not easy to predict results when the polls are off. Quote
mentalfloss Posted March 7, 2012 Report Posted March 7, 2012 Here's ThreeHundredEight's final projection. http://www.threehundredeight.blogspot.com/2011/05/final-projection-conservative-minority.html Eric was off a good bit, but so were the polls. It was the robo non-voters. Quote
madmax Posted April 13, 2012 Report Posted April 13, 2012 Bringing back the polling thread... http://www.canada.com/news/Conservative+popularity+falling+wake+recent+criticism+poll/6449592/story.html Ipsos Reid - April 12, 2012 CON 34% (-3 from 37) NDP 33% (+4 from 29) LIB 21% (-2 from 23) BQ 7% (same) GRN 4% (same) Quote
punked Posted April 13, 2012 Report Posted April 13, 2012 (edited) 308 was further off than any other major projector in the election. My website, RidingbyRiding was #1 for anyone who did seat based projections. Sadly I had to shutter it due to financial issues. If you want an accurate projection, however, based on these polls, just let me know. You ran riding by riding? PS I the national post is reporting a new poll out today. Edited April 13, 2012 by punked Quote
cybercoma Posted April 13, 2012 Report Posted April 13, 2012 You ran ridding by ridding? What are we getting rid of? Quote
madmax Posted April 27, 2012 Report Posted April 27, 2012 http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/story/2012/04/26/pol-ndp-tories-statistically-tied-nanos.html CPC 34 NDP 32 LPC 23 Harper numbers plummet on trust, competence, vision Quote
madmax Posted April 27, 2012 Report Posted April 27, 2012 Also today NDP leading CPC NDP 36 CPC 33 Lib 22 http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1168871--forum-research-poll-puts-ndp-ahead-of-the-conservatives Quote
Fletch 27 Posted April 27, 2012 Report Posted April 27, 2012 Yes, A poll coming from the Star is VERY trustworthy. Mayor Smitherman and Prime-Minister Ignattief can attest to that! Quote
Michael Hardner Posted April 27, 2012 Report Posted April 27, 2012 Yes, A poll coming from the Star is VERY trustworthy. Mayor Smitherman and Prime-Minister Ignattief can attest to that! The Star reported the poll, which was conducted by Forum Research Inc. Quote Click to learn why Climate Change is caused by HUMANS Michael Hardner
Fletch 27 Posted April 27, 2012 Report Posted April 27, 2012 And your point? There are tens of polls every day... Easy to pick what one you like to suit your motives... Quote
waldo Posted April 27, 2012 Report Posted April 27, 2012 And your point? There are tens of polls every day... Easy to pick what one you like to suit your motives... it's a polling thread... polls are reported and discussed. and your point? Other than that you, apparently, don't like this particular poll. Here's a thought... put up a poll... you do like, hey? Quote
madmax Posted April 27, 2012 Report Posted April 27, 2012 (edited) And your point? There are tens of polls every day... Easy to pick what one you like to suit your motives... Hello Fletch 27 This is the polling thread... we post polls in it. Post any polls you find regarding the federal sphere of government. While you may disagree with the messenger.. the source "FORUM" is the same source that said , roughly a week or 2 ago that Rob Ford would coast to victory in Toronto if an election were held today. So.. while we all have opinions about polls...I could have made a thread marking the FIRST TIME the NDP has lead in a Federal Poll in 24 years... Edited April 27, 2012 by madmax Quote
cybercoma Posted April 28, 2012 Report Posted April 28, 2012 (edited) Forum Research poll puts NDP ahead of Conservatives (leaders' approval ratings in brackets) NDP 36 (Mulcair 40) CPC 33 (Harper 34) LPC 22 (Rae 35) BQ 6 GPC 2 Margin of error 2.4% 19/20. The Conservatives and NDP are no longer statistically tied, according to Forum Research. What's even more interesting is that Mulcair's approval rating has surpassed Stephen Harper's. In the past, it seems that the party's rating tends to be pulled along with the approval rating of the party leader. Mulcair's boost is probably a result of the leadership campaign and recent exchanges in the House between Mulcair and Harper. However, it remains to be seen if the numbers will stick. It looks good, given Mulcair's approval, but it will take a few months to see. Edited April 28, 2012 by cybercoma Quote
TheNewTeddy Posted April 28, 2012 Report Posted April 28, 2012 (edited) Here is as close as I can get to the link asked for earlier http://calgarygrit.blogspot.ca/2011/05/predicting-unexpected.html http://web.archive.org/web/20110503193236/http://www.ridingbyriding.ca/ Edited April 28, 2012 by TheNewTeddy Quote Feel free to contact me outside the forums. Add "TheNewTeddy" to Twitter, Facebook, or Hotmail to reach me!
CPCFTW Posted April 28, 2012 Report Posted April 28, 2012 I guess people are really buying into Mulcair's message: he's gonna take on Stephen Harper... and win! Jack's vision is in good hands! Quote
BubberMiley Posted April 29, 2012 Report Posted April 29, 2012 I guess people are really buying into Mulcair's message: he's gonna take on Stephen Harper... and win! That seems definitely to be the case. I'm looking forward to the next polls now that Harper is answering legitimate questions by saying people love Hitler. Quote "I think it's fun watching the waldick get all excited/knickers in a knot over something." -scribblet
madmax Posted May 15, 2012 Report Posted May 15, 2012 The latest Ipsos poll: Canada: CPC 37%, NDP 35%, Libs 19% http://www.globalnews.ca/federal+liberals+losing+support+as+ndp+tories+battle+for+top+spot+poll/6442640892/story.html?utm_source=facebook-twitter&utm_medium=link&utm_campaign=community Quote
madmax Posted May 22, 2012 Report Posted May 22, 2012 (edited) An Abacus poll, their first since January, conducted May 15-16: Cons: 37% NDP: 35% Lib: 17% Edited May 22, 2012 by madmax Quote
Newfoundlander Posted May 22, 2012 Author Report Posted May 22, 2012 Will Bob Rae clue in now that's he's not the Liberal Party's savior? Quote
waldo Posted May 22, 2012 Report Posted May 22, 2012 previous weeks Harris Decima poll... was missed: - NDP @34% - CON @30% - LIB @20% Quote
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