Federal Election Polls

[GWiz]

Environics polling done March 30-April 5, no link yet

C - 38%

That's the only one that counts...

[ToadBrother]

That's the only one that counts...

It puts them back at the 2008 levels of support.

[GWiz]

It puts them back at the 2008 levels of support.

Harper's own words, "majority or bust" (abridged)... BUST it is (at least right now)!

[GWiz]

It puts them back at the 2008 levels of support.

It's only week 2, lots of TIME left before the only poll that really counts...

[Jerry J. Fortin]

It's only week 2, lots of TIME left before the only poll that really counts...

This election is a very strange one. Harper numbers are currently falling and Iggy's numbers are rising. The same applies to the parties, more strangeness. Perhaps the apathetic voter is waking up, who knows?

[GWiz]

Perhaps the apathetic voter is waking up, who knows?

One can only hope...

It seems that at least the YOUTH (18 to 30), students in particular, of this country have been awakened by the ousting of those two students in London which exposed Harper for what he really thinks about the Canadian public, even if the ouster of his Government because of Contempt of Parliament, meaning contempt for Canada/Canadians in my view, didn't...

Since he also ousted a couple of Candian Veterans from his public rallies as well, seniors at that, he's really starting to show is real colours (red, white, and blue) and intentions to a wide demographic of Canadians...

[Harry]

Forum Research Poll, April 5-6, 2011

C - 38%, down 3%, which is the same result as 2008 election

L - 26%, up 2%

N - 20%, up 1%

G - 9%, up 1%

B - 8%, down 2%

PM Harper should be more open to media on campaign hustings: Forum Research poll

Controversies over Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s transparency, accessibility, and government accountability have struck a chord with voters as significant election concerns, a new poll suggests.

http://www.hilltimes.com/dailyupdate/view/pm_harper_should_be_more_open_to_media_on_campaign_hustings_forum_research_poll_04-07-2011

[GWiz]

Forum Research Poll, April 5-6, 2011

C - 38%, down 3%, which is the same result as 2008 election

L - 26%, up 2%

N - 20%, up 1%

G - 9%, up 1%

B - 8%, down 2%

Very good analysis in that poll IMHO...

[Harry]

Forum Research Regionals

Ontario

C - 42%

L - 33%

N - 17%

Quebec

B - 27%

N - 23%

L - 23%

C - 20%

Edited April 8, 2011 by Harry

[eyeball]

...transparency, accessibility, and government accountability have struck a chord with voters as significant election concerns, a new poll suggests.

What!

Hallefreakinlujah!

Nah...it's gotta be a blip. Maybe I'm just being too cynical, whaddya think?

[Bonam]

...transparency, accessibility, and government accountability have struck a chord with voters as significant election concerns, a new poll suggests.

As if voting for any of the other available parties would really improve on any of these aspects of our government.

[eyeball]

Hah, another cynic.

[GWiz]

What!

Hallefreakinlujah!

Nah...it's gotta be a blip. Maybe I'm just being too cynical, whaddya think?

I think we'll have a better idea of what's gonna happen around April 16th and a FULL understanding of this election by the 3rd of May 2011...

[Harry]

What gives here - how could the NDP possibly be in 2nd place in Quebec?

NDP in second spot in Quebec

Stunning poll; No surprise to us, party official says

Read more: http://www.montrealgazette.com/news/second+spot+Quebec/4579385/story.html#ixzz1IvJvwZ7x

[Harry]

Environics Poll, March 30 - April 5

Canada

P / 08 GE / Apr 5 / Change

C - 38% / 38% / No Change

L - 26% / 25% / Down 1%

N - 18% / 20% / Up 2%

B - 10% / 8% / Down 2%

Ontario

P / 08 GE / Apr 5 / Change

C - 39% / 42% / Up 3%

L - 34% / 29% / Down 5%

N - 18% / 21% / Up 3%

Quebec

P / 08 GE / Apr 5 / Change

B - 38% / 34% / Down 4%

N - 12% / 21% / Up 9%

L - 24% / 18% / Down 6%

C - 22% / 17% / Down 5%

'The most significant shift since the last election is in Quebec.'

http://www.environicsresearch.com/media_room/pdf/Environics%20Federal%20Vote%20Press%20Release%20-%20April%207-2011.pdf

Edited April 8, 2011 by Harry

[Evening Star]

What gives here - how could the NDP possibly be in 2nd place in Quebec?

Social democratic option for federalists with a brilliant high-profile Quebec MP? The Liberals are also campaigning as such but perhaps their conversion is less convincing in Quebec? To be honest, I was surprised the NDP didn't do better in Quebec before.

[GWiz]

Social democratic option for federalists with a brilliant high-profile Quebec MP? The Liberals are also campaigning as such but perhaps their conversion is less convincing in Quebec? To be honest, I was surprised the NDP didn't do better in Quebec before.

More vote splitting in Quebec just plays into the hands of the BLOC just as the more vote splitting between the Liberals and NDP in the rest of Canada plays into the hands of the CONS...

[Wild Bill]

Am I the only one getting bored with this election already?

It just seems that no leader is setting the world on fire with their campaign. I'm about ready to fall asleep!

The polls are a bit interested but not that much. After all, they are hovering in the same territory as last election. True, the regional mix has changed. Harper may have shed some of the popular vote out West (where he can well afford it without losing a seat!) in favour of more votes in Ontario, which might give him his majority. Still, even there we aren't seeing anything but some vague changes.

I'm ready to change the channel. Who's up for some Women's Volleyball, sponsored by the "Ah Bra Company"?

[Harry]

Nanos

C - 40.6%, up 1.0%

L - 31.1%, up 0.7%

N - 14.9%, down 2.3%

B - 8.7%, up 0.4%

G - 3.4%, up 0.2%

Tories ahead, NDP at low mark in campaign

http://www.nanosresearch.com/election2011/20110407-BallotE.pdf

EKOS

Canada

P / Apr 6 / Apr 8 / Change

C - 37% / 36.2% / Down 0.8%

L - 27.8% / 27.7% / Down 0.1%%

N - 16.1% / 16.6% / Up 0.5%

G - 9.3% / 8.5% / Down 0.8%

B - 6.9% / 8.3% / Up 1.4%

Ontario

P / Apr 6 / Apr 8 / Change

C - 38.1% / 38.7% / Up 0.6%

L - 34.6% / 36.2% / Up 1.6%

Conservatives lead nationally,

Ontario battle now a dead heat

http://ipolitics.ca/2011/04/08/conservatives-liberals-neck-and-neck-in-ontario/

Edited April 8, 2011 by Harry

[normanchateau]

EKOS April 8, 2011

36.2% CPC

27.7% LPC

16.6% NDP

8.5% Green

8.3% BQ

2.8% other

http://www.ekospolitics.com/wp-content/uploads/full_report_april_8_2011x.pdf

University-educated Canadians:

31.5% CPC

35.4% LPC

15.2% NDP

9.1% Green

6.8% BQ

2.0% other

[Dave_ON]

Nanos

C - 40.6%, up 1.0%

L - 31.1%, up 0.7%

N - 14.9%, down 2.3%

B - 8.7%, up 0.4%

G - 3.4%, up 0.2%

EKOS

Canada

P / Apr 6 / Apr 8 / Change

C - 37% / 36.2% / Down 0.8%

L - 27.8% / 27.7% / Down 0.1%%

N - 16.1% / 16.6% / Up 0.5%

G - 9.3% / 8.5% / Down 0.8%

B - 6.9% / 8.3% / Up 1.4%

Ontario

P / Apr 6 / Apr 8 / Change

C - 38.1% / 38.7% / Up 0.6%

L - 34.6% / 36.2% / Up 1.6%

Hmm if the CPC support in Ontario continues to soften at this rate we'll likely see a parliament closer to the 2006 layout as TB had mentioned in another post. This I hope would be sobering for the CPC, but if the past is any indicator, it likely will not be. This of course leaves Mr. Harper is a very sticky position. The NDP is loosing support to the LPC, so with fewer seats for both CPC and NDP, the CPC is going to have to start getting cozy with the LPC or the BLOC. They won't be operating from a position of strength. It looks at this point like the CPC is to lose seats and the LPC is set to gain This election is getting quite interesting. I'm wondering if the trend will continue.

[Jack Weber]

Hmm if the CPC support in Ontario continues to soften at this rate we'll likely see a parliament closer to the 2006 layout as TB had mentioned in another post. This I hope would be sobering for the CPC, but if the past is any indicator, it likely will not be. This of course leaves Mr. Harper is a very sticky position. The NDP is loosing support to the LPC, so with fewer seats for both CPC and NDP, the CPC is going to have to start getting cozy with the LPC or the BLOC. They won't be operating from a position of strength. It looks at this point like the CPC is to lose seats and the LPC is set to gain This election is getting quite interesting. I'm wondering if the trend will continue.

Would'nt that be a treat...

After all of Harper's scare tactics,him having to cozy up to the Bloc to get legislation passed...

The same dirty seperatists that are also not that different than the NDP...

The comedy of that is too sweet!

Edited April 8, 2011 by Jack Weber

[Evening Star]

More vote splitting in Quebec just plays into the hands of the BLOC just as the more vote splitting between the Liberals and NDP in the rest of Canada plays into the hands of the CONS...

Let me guess: The solution is for everyone to vote Liberal. There is a fair amount of fluidity between CPC/LPC support as well as between BQ/NDP support.

[ToadBrother]

Hmm if the CPC support in Ontario continues to soften at this rate we'll likely see a parliament closer to the 2006 layout as TB had mentioned in another post. This I hope would be sobering for the CPC, but if the past is any indicator, it likely will not be. This of course leaves Mr. Harper is a very sticky position. The NDP is loosing support to the LPC, so with fewer seats for both CPC and NDP, the CPC is going to have to start getting cozy with the LPC or the BLOC. They won't be operating from a position of strength. It looks at this point like the CPC is to lose seats and the LPC is set to gain This election is getting quite interesting. I'm wondering if the trend will continue.

I have a feeling the Tories knew this was coming. They seemed very unenthusiastic about the thought of an election.

They seemed to have abandoned, for the most part, the coalition rhetoric and are now concentrating on the economy. Smart move, in my opinion. The whole "anti-coalition" schtick was more like preaching to the choir, and not really bumping their numbers.

Edited April 8, 2011 by ToadBrother

[GWiz]

Hmm if the CPC support in Ontario continues to soften at this rate we'll likely see a parliament closer to the 2006 layout as TB had mentioned in another post. This I hope would be sobering for the CPC, but if the past is any indicator, it likely will not be. This of course leaves Mr. Harper is a very sticky position. The NDP is loosing support to the LPC, so with fewer seats for both CPC and NDP, the CPC is going to have to start getting cozy with the LPC or the BLOC. They won't be operating from a position of strength. It looks at this point like the CPC is to lose seats and the LPC is set to gain This election is getting quite interesting. I'm wondering if the trend will continue.

One can only hope...