Odds of an Obama Win?

[William Ashley]

So what do you think Obama's chance of a win are?

[Mr.Canada]

100% Hussein Obama will win the election. Then we will how fair this man is. See if the more than 20 years of Black Liberation Theology and Liberation Theology mentoring at the hands of Rev Jeremiah Wright had any lasting effects. Hopefully he will be able to control himself.

[stignasty]

100% Hussein Obama will win the election. Then we will how fair this man is. See if the more than 20 years of Black Liberation Theology and Liberation Theology mentoring at the hands of Rev Jeremiah Wright had any lasting effects. Hopefully he will be able to control himself.

wow.

[Oleg Bach]

100% Hussein Obama will win the election. Then we will how fair this man is. See if the more than 20 years of Black Liberation Theology and Liberation Theology mentoring at the hands of Rev Jeremiah Wright had any lasting effects. Hopefully he will be able to control himself.

This is going to be real touch and go for a while till things settle. This could be the birth of salvation globally - or Obama may turn out to be the devil incarnate. One thing that must be remembered is that it will not be wise or kind or civlized to persecute the old white rich guys...If he does there could be a persecutive trickle down effect that will harm the middle and lower classes that are white. Some liberals will think if this happens that we had it coming...no body is to blame at this point - we are human and defective. Rev. Wright if he understands the doctrines of Christian mercy will know that GRACE is the undserved mercy of God - this is true class - and fairness and forgiveness...I hope Obama shows some noble attributes and is not out for vengence.

[sharkman]

Even with the MSM pushing hard for Obama, he's only got about a 50% chance. Fact: in 2004 there were 50 something polls taken in the month of October. This October there is over 3 times that, and we're not done yet. Many have wild results for Obama, but the poll that came closest to the actual result in 2004 is giving Obama only a slight lead, within the percentage of error. Many polls gave Kerry the lead too, but they were all proven wrong.

The only poll that means anything is the one taken on election day. That's why ACORN is trying so hard to hi-jack it.

[bush_cheney2004]

Even with the MSM pushing hard for Obama, he's only got about a 50% chance. Fact: in 2004 there were 50 something polls taken in the month of October. This October there is over 3 times that, and we're not done yet. Many have wild results for Obama, but the poll that came closest to the actual result in 2004 is giving Obama only a slight lead, within the percentage of error. Many polls gave Kerry the lead too, but they were all proven wrong.

Good observation....many of the polls are flawed because of projection with outdated profile models. Some are even predicting a landslide (defined as a +10% point win)....but this is very unlikely. Obama finished very weak in the primaries, but will try to close the deal this week with massive ad buys.

The only poll that means anything is the one taken on election day. That's why ACORN is trying so hard to hi-jack it.

Absolutely.

[Oleg Bach]

The worst thing that could happen is that McCain will suffer incapacity due to old age and Palin will be the pres...Just hope she has a good and kind nature.. Bush if he were allowed to be himself would have made a great grass roots president - but I can here his childhood training session echoing from the past "George - we are on the top of the useless leaders - we are superiour - YOU have to be hard - tough - a leader can not have sympathy or empathy....If you have to sign the death order of some poor black prisoneer - you have to do it - this is how we rule"! What a mistake.

[Liam]

My best guess is that Obama is about 90% likely to win. I watch the polls a lot and cannot recall a single poll for at least a month showing McCain with any kind of a lead. The situation is the same in the swing states (and even within swing districts within those states). It seems that the stars have aligned in Obama's favor.

Now, I think there is a slim outside chance McCain could win, but those scenarios range from the lacking credulity (that ALL the polls have been wrong and the public has been waging a mass conspiracy in misleading pollsters and news organizations about their intent to vote a certain way), to the unfathomable (a new 9/11 in the week leading up to the election).

Barring international catastrophe, I just don't see how McCain has a realistic chance of winning in eight days.