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Moonbox

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Posts posted by Moonbox

  1. 3 minutes ago, Michael Hardner said:

    1. Ok.  As a former statistician, I don't put as much faith in the polls as many.

    Not putting a lot of faith in them is reasonable.  Pretending they're meaningless is another.  As a former statistician, I'm sure you can appreciate what a ~10 point lead means, and how hard that is to gap via polling variables.  

    3 minutes ago, Michael Hardner said:

    2. Ok, but your subjectivity influences your view here.  I'm not saying I disagree but pure information is hard to find these days.

    Not sure where this sort of comment leads us.  Other than polls, which you've already said you don't much faith in, we don't actually have any objective information, so where does this thought lead us?  

    3 minutes ago, Michael Hardner said:

    3. Lots of people like this man.  Lots.

    Not a very useful point either, I would say.  "Lots" of people still liked Trudeau, but when your net favorability is -25% and 60% of the population actively dislikes you, you have to hope they like the other guy even less.  

    I think it Army Guy who said his pet hamster could beat Trudeau, and he was probably right.  The problem is that the hamster might have been able to beat Poilievre too...  🤔

    • Like 1
  2. 21 minutes ago, CdnFox said:

    Lots, but they all like common sense and reason and have a healthy disdain for stupidity so you wouldn't like them

    Two problems:

    1) If you had any friends, or anyone in your life at all, you wouldn't be battlemoding 24/7 on an internet forum.  

    2) A healthy disdain for stupidity rules you out for any of these imaginary friends of yours anyway.  

    🤣👍

  3. 40 minutes ago, Michael Hardner said:

    2. Brave prediction.  Are you saying this because 1 ) The current polls are wrong or 2 ) Some wave of realization or Liberal collapse will happen in the next 18 days ?

    Short of an actual (rather than a desperately fabricated) scandal, I don't see it happening.  The CPC always performs better than it polls, but the gap is so wide right now it's hard to imagine.  

    Pierre Poilievre spent 2 years plugging his dumb Trumpish slogans, and he mistook the CPC's relative strength as his own success, rather than it being about Justin being a useless twat.   Now that Justin's gone, his image as a juvenile sloganeer is all that's left.  

  4. 8 minutes ago, myata said:

    And again: are these people naive, dumb or just lying? Why couldn't they just state facts - as opposed to "leads", fumings and insinuations, etc?

    It's just the stupidification of "conservative" politics - a veritable race to the bottom.  After the Carney and Epstein story died out as the nothingburger it was, little PP has been flailing for a new angle.  He needs that hot new slogan...People's Party Carney maybe?  It can't be more than 3 words, otherwise his audience loses interest.  

    • Like 1
  5. On 4/6/2025 at 10:51 AM, I am Groot said:

    But that you'd find this shocking just so drearily exemplifies the rigid, hierarchical dictatorship of parties that has become largely the custom in Canada - and almost nowhere else. The party leader is the absolute dictator and how dare anyone disagree in even the slightest way.

    This is where I kind of turned away from the federal conservatives.  The PM's office has always been powerful, but under Harper it solidified into the state it's in today.  Mop head said he'd change that, but he was just as bad but dumber, so actually probably worse.  

    My MP is Michael Chong.  He is a common-sense, principled Conservative and won my everlasting respect standing up to Stephen Harper (don't even remember for what now) and lost his Cabinet position over it.  That's when I realized the individual MP barely matters.  The election is about the Party Leader.  

    • Like 1
  6. 6 hours ago, betsy said:

    Lol - you better understand why I say I admire Trump as..........PRESIDENT OF THE USA!

    PUTTING USA and citizens FIRST.  I've said that before.

    Ignoring the fact that he's not even doing that, you're still here talking about people needing to get over partisanship while lauding the most partisan BS'er the world has probably ever seen.  🤷‍♂️

    • Thanks 1
  7. 2 hours ago, BeaverFever said:

    Interesting interview with conservative columnist Andrew Coyne on the conservative platform The Hub. I don’t agree with all of  Coyne’s opinions but I often find his analyses informative and thoughtful and most importantly fair

     

    Andrew Coyne on Poillievre vs. Carney, Trump, and the future of the conservative movement 

    Coyne's excellent.  He's one of the main reasons I ever got a Globeandmail subscription.  This is a conservative that didn't join the circus.  Where are they now in politics?  

    • Like 2
  8. 5 hours ago, Michael Hardner said:

    chart1-en.svg?rev=8e573be5-0b52-421b-90a

     

    https://www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/blog/2024/what-canada-potential-capacity-housing-construction

    We do more than that but our immigration has been much higher.

    Sweden's population was around 7 million at the time.  What Sweden did would be the equivalent of Canada building over 6 million homes over the next 10 years.  Even Carney's plan doesn't match that, but 500,000/year would at least have an effect. 

    I think we need to abandon the illusion that platitudes about skills training, subsidies and  tax incentives are going to solve this problem.  Out of control immigration made the problem worse than it needed to be, but the status quo on house-building in Canada has been broken for a long time.  

  9. Sweden built a million homes from 1965 to 1974 when they faced a housing crisis. 

    If a much smaller country with technology and methods from 50+ years ago could do it, there's no reason we shouldn't have been able to get going with this.  At a certain point, you just have to get it done, and agonizing over the details and planning is something that cities should have worked out already if they were managed properly.  🤷‍♂️

     

     

    • Like 1
  10. 56 minutes ago, CouchPotato said:

    Well, I don't think anyone is saying there is a law against it, but if all his ideas were wrong and he has to plagiarize at the last minute, it speaks to his capability to form any good ideas of his own.

    It speaks to his recognizing it was an unpopular policy, and nothing else.  You're basically trying to argue that not doing the stupid thing that everyone knows is stupid is plagiarizing, because someone else called it stupid already.  🥴

     

    • Like 1
  11. 2 hours ago, CouchPotato said:

    But they were all in favor of the carbon tax until the last minute. So it calls into question how committed they are to actually getting rid of the tax. 

    True enough, and Carney's been pro taxing carbon for a long time. 

    Even so, is Carney a "thief" for ditching an unpopular Liberal policy, and not giving Poilievre the easy target he'd prefer?  

     

    • Like 1
  12. 1 hour ago, Nationalist said:

    Was it the carney's idea? No. It was Poilievre's idea and platform.

    The carbon tax was unpopular.  The only "idea' Poilievre had was to campaign against it, and it was good fodder for him.  Now that Trudeau is gone and Carney has walked away from the carbon tax,  PP is just punching at air, and that's what you're probably more upset about than anything. 

    Now he has to come up with something better than a low-brow 3-word slogan. 

    To say it's "stealing" to abandon bad policy is really weird logic.  

    • Like 1
  13. 1 hour ago, WestCanMan said:

    I said "I heard a rumour", which leaves the reader with the full knowledge that what I'm about to say is still just at the hearsay level.

    I heard a rumour that Pierre Poilievre isn't actually a biological male, and that he goes to furry conventions.  It might not be true, but we should definitely talk about that too.  🤡

    • Haha 1
  14. On 3/30/2025 at 5:30 PM, eyeball said:

    I don't know why the other parties don't do more to goad his supporters.

    Napoleon said, "Never interrupt your enemy when he's making a mistake". 

    Up until a couple days ago, PP was still spending millions on pamphlets and advertisements squawking juvenile three-word slogans in a political environment deeply and negatively focused against the master of juvenile three-word slogans.  

    This sort of self-inflicted injury is a gift to his opponents, and they're wise to just step back and let him hurt himself as long as it lasts. 

    • Like 2
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