maplesyrup

The Globe has a great (historial to present) graph here: Poll Tracker Ipsos-Reid May 22/04 Canada Libs: 35%, down 4% Cons: 26%, flatlined New Dem: 18%, up 3% Bloc: 12%, up 1% Green: 5%, flatlined Oth: 4 % Total: 100% Environics May 26/04 Canada Libs 38%, down 1% Cons 29%, flatlined New Dem: 21%, up 2% Bloc: 11%, flatlined Oth: 1% Total: 100% EKOS May 28/04 Canada Lib 38%, down 3% Con 30%, up 2% New Dem 18%, up 2% Bloc 11% Oth 3% Total: 100%

EKOS May 28/04 Atlantic Region Libs: 61% Cons: 21% New Dem: 18% My seat projections: Libs: 20 seats Cons: 7 seats New Dem: 5 seats

EKOS May 28/04 Quebec Bloc: 45% Libs: 36%

EKOS May 28/04 Ontario Libs: 40% Cons: 35% New Dem: 22%

EKOS May 28/04 Manitoba/Saskatchewan Cons: 38% Libs: 36% New Dem: 23%

EKOS May 28/04 Cons: 55% Libs: 31% Oth: 14% (NDP?) Seats?

Environics did not make separate polling figures available for Alberta. Too bad.

A few fallacies or myths that need to be cleared up about the Green party. It is comprised of a mixed bag politically. The heirachy both federally and provincally are right wing. The federal leader is an ex-Tory, a right winger. There are right wingers involved with the Greens, as well as Liberals and New Democrats (maybe 50-50, right wing, left wing). It is a bit confusing, I know. Historically on election day, the Green party support collapses to around 1-2%.

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Environics poll released this week by the CBC Libs: 46% Cons: 29% New Dem: 22% Oth: 2% Total: 99% My seat projections: Libs: 62 seats Cons: 27 seats New Dem: 17 seats Oth: 0 seats Total: 106 seats

Could you be specific or is it that you just don't like the results?

Environics poll released this week by the CBC included Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba together, and did not show separate figures for Alberta. Manitoba: 14 seats Saskatchewan: 14 seats

Environics poll released this week by CBC Bloc: 48% Libs: 32% New Dem: 10% Cons: 10% Oth: 1% Total: 101% My seat projections: Bloc: Libs: New Dem: Cons: Oth: Total: 75 seats Anyone want to give it a shot?

Environics poll released May 26, 2004 by CBC Libs: 63% Cons: 24% New Dem: 12% Oth: 1% Total: 100% Now if we were to transfer these percentages of support into seats we get. My seat projections: Libs: 20 seats Cons: 8 seats New Dem: 4 seats Oth: 0 seats Total: 32 (10 + 11 + 4 + 7) seats

Canada is a country of regions, with a low population and a large geography. Attempting to extrapulate seats from national polling figures can be very misleading and inaccurate. If anyone is interested, post any regional polling here for BC, and then we can work on the seat distribution for BC here. We could do the same eventually for each region in Canada For example, the most recent Environics Poll, which came out this week, showed the following percentages of party support for BC: New Dem: 36% Cons: 34% Libs: 27% Oth: 3% Total: 100% Now BC has 36 seats under redistribution so equating percentage support with seat percentages we arrive at the following breakdown for seat projections in BC. My seat projections: New Dem: 13 seats Cons: 12 seats Libs: 10 seats Oth: 1 seat Total: 36 seats My specific seat projections: Lower Mainland: 21 seats New Dem: 7 seats Burnaby Douglas Burnaby New Westminster New Westminster-Coquitlam: Port Moody-Westwood-Port Coquitlam: Vancouver Centre Vancouver East Vancouver Kingsway Cons: 5 seats Abbotsford: Chilliwack - Fraser Canyon Delta-Richmond East: Deudney - Alouette Langley: Libs: 9 seats Fleetwood-Port Kells: Newton-North Delta: North Vancouver: Richmond: South Surrey-White Rock-Cloverdale: Surrey North: Vancouver Quadra Vancouver South West Vancouver - Sunshine Coast: Interior: 9 seats Cons: 6 seats Cariboo-Prince George: Kelowna: North Okanagan-Shuswap: Okanagan-Coquihalla: Prince George-Peace River: Southern Interior: New Dem: 3 seats Kamloops-Thompson: Kootenay-Columbia: Skeena-Bulkley Valley: Vancouver Island: 6 seats New Dem: 3 seats Nanaimo-Alberni: Nanaimo-Cowichan: Victoria: Cons:1 seat Vancouver Island North: Libs: 1 seat Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca: Green: 1 seat Saanich-Gulf Islands:

If we are going to get rid of the Liberals, both the Cons and the NDP are going to have to decide which has higher priority: 1 Integrity in government or 2 Tax structure that each party supports. The only way we are going to get rid of the Liberals is to chose Integrity, and for both parties compromise on the taxes. I think the ball is in the Cons & the New Dem courts.

Layton widens attack I think the average Canadian is beginning to see they have in the Jack Layton, a political leader who is going to challenge the big rich powerful interests in Canada.

Les défis de Stephen Harper

Martin s'est trompé de clou Interesting article explaining that Quebeckers are least concenrned about ethics & the scandals, and most concerned about social programs. The media are quite misleading at times.

The Liberals find a winning issue: Clarity If you enjoyed the previous Paul Wells message, you'll love this.

Lapierre vanishes! Mais il ne disparaît pas! Gotta like this!

Martin attacks other leaders on languages issue

Question: After Duceppe, who is more fluent in French, Martin or Layton?

Bloc Quebecois targets young in Quebec

Punish Martin's Liberals, Layton urges Ontario We definitely need to restore integrity in our federal government.