xul
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This is why Canadian economy needs some sort of decoupling from US's if Canadian wants their country to be truly independence. Besides, just as I have pointed out in another post, the US is a big falling tree. It would be better and safer if anyone who used to live on the tree walked away with more controllable manner from it before it completely fell down. For example: Given current circumstance caused by Elon Musk to Tesla, if someone had a well-paid job in Tesla but have got fired recently, though it may be difficult to find another well-paid job in other companies so he may need to lower his salary expectation and get extra learning or training to fit a new job, is it still wise to begin seeking another job instead of waiting Musk to have mercy and recall him back?
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As for way #2, there is another example for further explanation: When two boats, one large and one small, stay side by side in calm water, you can see passengers scattering on either boats according to their preferences. But when a gust of wind makes the water rough, you will see everyone just wants to jump on the large boat. Trump's so-called madness, like putting tariffs on and off, moving their dates forward and backward, is a strategy which means to create uncertainty or instability. Upon economical instability, Businessmen will intend to move their business to the more stable economy which is less affected by the tariff stir, the larger boat, which is the US. To defeat this strategy, the owner of the small boat needs to prove his existing and potential passengers that his boat is stable too and can send passengers to its setting destination, not only going to where the wind blows to. If Canada government lets Trump to decide whether Canadian economy will stay being-bonded with US's or will stray away from US's, it will be no different from that a ferry captain lets wind to decide where his ship goes. No one would want to buy a boarding ticket for his ship.
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This is hyena trying to sell bear-spray to safari tourists in Africa. It's a wrong salesman selling wrong product in a wrong place.... It's kinda like, when a woman files for divorce, the man tells her "Once you leave this room and go outside, you will be raped by other men." Though Canada's economy is relatively smaller than US's, Canada's GDP is still on par with Italy and Brazil, close to France and UK. How can all these countries be independent from Russia and China but Canada can't?
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Actually, if F-35 is out of option, Canada should not buy any fighter jets right now. Europeans are seeking independence from US so they have to begin to develop their own 5G or 6G fighter jets soon. Why not saving $90 billion now and joining the party later to get more fair share from any new project?
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Trump said "A group of Ukrainian soldiers are actually surrounded." After Trump appeal, Putin says he will spare Ukrainians in Kursk if they surrender Though these claims are contradictory, my guess is that Zelenskyy's description is more accurate. The Ukrainian troops has not been completely encircled yet, but their logistics supply lines have been completely within the range of Russian artillery so they are virtually encircled.
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Proof Mark Carney will fail as a politician
xul replied to CdnFox's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
Is there any Canadian who shares my feelings that it might be good to Canada if a new PM failed as a POLITICIAN..ππ LOL, General Zod is the Kryptonian version of Trump, though his words are correct: " These law makers with their endless debates have led Krypton to ruin..." -
I agree with you that many laws, bylaws, rules, codes....were created by political-correctness over science and economics, so they should be reviewed under the currently new and ultimate political-correctness in Canada----make the economy more efficient and competitive. Without the change, diversifying market and independence from US's is just a Canadian dream which will never come to be true. On the other hand, a natural resource oriented economy is no good for Canada, period. Venezuela government is a resource oriented government. When oil price hit over $100 per barrel, it seems like working more than fine. But when oil price dropped under $30 per barrel, it was in big trouble. It is too risky for an economy to only count on a single industrial sector. Putin's war against NATO-backed Ukraine has lasted for 3 years. Canadian GDP is on par with Russian. Just imagine, if Russia was replaced by Canada to engage the war, how long would Canada last? Maybe just after 3 months Canada will need to declare bankruptcy due to the spending of imported weapons. Russia can last that long because its industries, though mostly rusty and outdated, still can produce most of what Russia need to continue the war. If Canada had all Russian industrial strength, I bet Trump even wouldn't dare to dream on annexing Canada.
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No2. Keep economic policy stable. For example: How could Canadian deal with this beer can crisis? I think most Canadian would say: "It is easy. We have beer and we have aluminum. Our existing can makers will build new production lines to boost the can production, or even there will be new investors to build new factories to fix the issue within a few months." But in reality, no businessman would want to invest in anything if he couldn't see it was profitable. Which means if a businessman anticipates that Canada will kneel before US again once Trump is gone or once Trump recedes a bit, like lowering tariff from 25% to 12.5%, he won't invest in a beer-can factory. Trump is called ε·ε»Ίε½ by Chinese netizens for a reason. Both him and Xi convinced those Chinese private companies via the trade war that it is time to invest in high-tech products instead of buying them from US. If Trump didn't start the trade war, or if Xi didn't dare to take on him, no entrepreneurs would want to throw in billions of dollars to developing these amazing technologies:
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Putin will accept the ceasefire once Rubio submits the proposal to him. By the way, Putin will ask Rubio to travel to Russia by a ship since US aircrafts are currently banned entering Russian aerospace. So Russian generals will have plenty of time to accomplish their Operation Kursk..LOL
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How could RCAF be so sure since the software wasn't programmed by Canadian? Nowadays software can do many things which is beyond your wildest imagination. For example: If you are flying a F-35 or even a F-18, you will find that its radar screen no longer shows some bright green spots to represent the aircrafts which it detects like F-104's radar screen. It shows not only where these aircrafts are but also what (like Su-27 or F-16) they are. How could a radar do this? It is because the software running inside its signal processing computer constantly processes the signals from antenna and compares them with the known aircraft information in its storage. If the programmer embedded some codes in the signal processing software. When a certain signal pattern is received by antenna, it will trigger a certain reaction, then the programmer can gain control of the aircraft since all computers on board are connected by some kind of data bus. So if RCAF uses the aircraft for drilling, it will appear perfectly normal since the triggering signal isn't received. But if RCAF uses it against USAF, American pilot just need to push the red button, then...who know what the software inside RCAF's aircraft would do? Perhaps it will just let the screen black, or make the plane uncontrollably dive like a 737max, or it is even capable of showing RCAF aircrafts as USAF's to make RCAF pilots killing each other... Of course I don't know if F-35 or F-18 has such kinds of backdoors. But technically, it is possible if American wants.
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I think you confused two different things. For example: If a kid used to bully a weaker kid in his school, the weaker kid may have lots of sympathy words from other kids in the school, but he can't count on other kids to fight the bully for him, especially when the bully kid is cunning and always befriends with those kids who are strong enough to fight him. But if the bully kid tries to bully every kids in the school, it is a mater of time that he gets beaten by all other kids.
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Since Canada can produce far enough food and fuel to support its population, I think Canadian can survive many decades without importing TVs from China and perfumes from France. Besides, having the strongest naval forces doesn't mean US can bring Canada to its knees by blockade. The Cuba Missile Crisis for instance: If Soviet's goal was only to prevent Cuba from US invasion, the goal was achieved by its nuclear deterrence. The blockade can only take effective if other great powers in the world think Canada is so insignificant that it isn't worth them to risk a nuclear war. Obviously Canada isn't that type since if US annexes Canada, it will give US huge advantage over them. So the blockage will definitely trigger another Cuba Missile Crisis. And regardless how US fake news agencies like CNN, FOX.. may present the results of the crisis like they did to the old one, the blockade will be left and Canada will still be there intact.
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Invading a country of such large size isn't as easy as playing video games, otherwise Trump would have given order to Pentagon this evening and he would get the 51st state of US tomorrow morning. On the contrary, buying nukes may be far faster than US gathering enough troops for an invasion. There will be many great powers want to shield Canada with their nukes from an US invasion even if they are not friends of Canada at all.
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Taking precautionary measures after American president threated to annex Canada = choose to become American's permanent enemy? Such kind of American mindset is the root cause that Trumpism will outlive Trump himself. If Trump time-travelled back to 1945 and became the 33rd US president instead of Harry Truman, he would also open American domestic market to Europe, Canada, Japan...and even China if Mao allowed him to build a Trump Tower in the mid of Tiananmen Squareπ, to buy friends to win the cold war against the Soviet Union. In 2020 when Biden became US president, the US national debt is $23.2 trillion, but by the end of 2024 when Sleepy Joe got kicked off the White House, US governmental debt had reached $36.4 trillion. No empire can last long with such amount of debt increasing. Trump just does what US needs to do to survive. I truly don't think people, Canadian, European, Chinese...should hate Trump or US for what it is doing, but US should also not hate other countries for doing in their best interests. You are right on almost everything except....just assume US is able to pull all its military forces from other regions in the world off and uses them on Canada, for both invasion and blockade for prevention of military interventions from other great powers. What Canada needs to do is just to buy some nukes from Kim Jong Un before the blockade is established, then what US needs to do is to weigh up the options of being a peace loving country with only 50 states or being a giant frozen Cuba with no future at all.π If things were that easy, Trump could just say these to Mexico then annex it; then to Brazil and other South American countries to annex them; then African countries; then European countries; then India, Russia, China....then Trump would make US the empire of the world... Just think why he doesn't do these? Obviously it isn't because he has higher moral compass.
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A few weeks ago in an Indian internet defense forum, under the topic in which Indian netizens were arguing whether IAF should buy F-35 or Su-57 to fight Chinese J20, I joked that IAF should definitely buy F-35 because the AI residing inside its computers would continue fight China to the bitter end at its true master's bidding, even if its Indian pilot had bailed out off the plane. π In the age of mechanical weapons, when an American soldier picked up an AK47 to shoot Vietcong in Vietnam, the weapon was still as good as in his enemy's hands. But nowadays, a weapon which is fully controlled by many computers and uplinked by satellite networks to somewhere in US, whether it is a 5 generation aircraft or a -5 generation aircraft (which means it may turn against you at its true master's bidding) completely depends on whom your enemy is.π’ Still given current circumstance Canada may indeed need to buy some F-35s.....for studying how to defeat them, just in case someday hundreds of them fly over the border to annex Canada....
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China has just imposed retaliatory tariffs on Canadian goods
xul replied to xul's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
It isn't always necessary that consumers pay the tariffs. Since China has many other sources importing agriculture product from, like Brazil, Russia, Ukraine, India..., the vacancy of the tariffed goods will easily be compensated. The better option is on the south side of USA: Obviously Mexican played the game smarter than Canada Government due to the fact that US doesn't treat Canada better than Mexico for Canada's sacrifice, just like Ukraine hasn't got better treatment from US for their sacrifice. Even Elon Musk has a Tesla Gigafactary in Mexico. And regardless how giga the factory is, it just can't produce all parts of a vehicle, so you can image where other parts are from and why Elon put it there instead of in US... China set the starting date of the tariff on Mar 20. Obviously China wants that Canada government reconsiders its trade strategy after having a new PM and after being treated badly by US. -
China has just imposed retaliatory tariffs on Canadian goods
xul replied to xul's topic in Federal Politics in Canada
If every mom and dad taught their kid this, the world would be far better than the current one. But there still are hopes. If mankind was incapable of joining their efforts together to achieve great things instead of fighting each other, the UN should consist of millions of tribes, not only 193 member states. -
Now Canada is in tariff wars with its #1 and #2 trade partners. An article published by the state-owned tabloid Global Times implies that it is also a warning to those countries which want to make up to US at the expense of interests of China, like this guy: Now it seems like Canadian politicians like Doug Ford have got what they want:
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I agree. To these relatively smaller economy (I mean comparing to those economies which have large domestic markets like US, EU, China), the multilateral trading system is always in their best interest. Depending on another single trade partner to replace US is like choosing another elephant to sleep with to replace the old one. It doesn't make sense at all.
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Indeed. I guess his, or probably some of his advisors' calculation is: Phase 1: The price of cars will rise on both side due to the tariff and reciprocal tariff since car makers can not move productions of parts of cars from Canada to US or US to Canada within a few months. But consumers will have to accept the new price since they have no other options. Phase 2: Automakers begin to move their productions over border to avoid tariffs. But since US market is far bigger than Canadian, automakers will intend to move their production from Canada to US instead of from US to Canada. Since the phase 2 will happen gradually, Trump may think that Canadian may eventually not react the job loss as strong as what you described. Besides, he can divide Canadian by offering a deal only in favor of certain industrial sector. For example, put 25% tariff on cars but 0% on oil, and expect the unified Canadian resistance collapsing. I agree. Actually it will be an opportunity for Canada if Canadian are brave enough to take the challenge.
