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Pellaken

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Everything posted by Pellaken

  1. Stronach's riding is somewhat "safe"... assuming she can get nominated. Clement, however, has a somewhat urban riding, and may face a challence. He lost it once...
  2. A little more: This election is about the new party system. I do not mean a return to the old PC VS Lib with little brother NDP tagging along. This is a radical change. The Liberals are the only party who holds seats in the Territories, or PEI. other then that, the tories have seats in every province. Minus only two, Newfoundland and Alberta, from what the tories have, and the NDP is next. We are now a national party. We are at 10% in the polls. How well we do will depend on how many Liberals switch to the NDP, more then that, how much of Toronto votes NDP. This riding is key. Honestly, if Layton cannot win his own seat, the party will likely not top 20 seats. If he wins by a margin like this, we could easily top 60 seats. Canadians from coast to coast are watching this riding... I dont know if we've ever had this concentratnion in history?
  3. Wow! the polls I had seen had Mills in the lead. Of ANY riding, this one will be the focus of the entire election. It's results will, really be telling of the entire election
  4. your math is a bit off, Quebecois has high turnout. the west has low turnout. more people voted in NS last election then SK, despite SK having 100,000 more people.
  5. I would not vote for Harper, though I may consider voting for Stronach. what does that mean? simple under Harper, the tories are limited to 42%. with Stronach, they could top 46%
  6. I dont trust Ekos polls I said that when the NDP was at 17% last year, and say it again when the tories are at 32% this year. I dont trust Ekos polls
  7. NDP-13% wow. if we keep up those numbers, we'll elect some MP's
  8. I was told, for care insurance here in NB, that to ensure my 1997 ford escort, me (a drivers ed student) would need to hay $8,000 a year. insrance is not always affordable. so now I dont even own my own car, since I am an "occasional driver" of my grandfather's 1997 ford escort. still costing me abour $2,000
  9. its sorry that you just dont get it sad very very very sad it has NOTHING to do with where mr.klien, mr.campbell, harper, devine, hermanson, etc... are born it has EVERYTHING to do with the fact they they are right-wing extremists.
  10. the liberals are in deep doo-doo over this. expect their fall to stop at 30%. I wouldent be surprised to see the Conservative Party in first place at some point. the problem is that all those people who said "I'll leave the party of Harper/Stronach wins" havent left yet. Layton is starting to suffer from not being an MP this election is changing from "who do you want to win" to "who do you want to lose" and we already had 3 of these elections since 1993. This bodes well for the Bloc Quebecois. I, honestly, wouldent be surprised if they managed to pull off an official opposition somehow.
  11. that poll should read "What government will we have after the election"
  12. here is that recent poll showing the liberals at 35%: PQ Lib-31% Con-10% AB Lib-20% Con-58% ON Lib-41% Con-26% PR (SK&MB) Lib-29% Con-28% BC Lib-27% Con-32% NDP-27% AC Lib-47% Con-32% NDP-12% my question is will this be enough to kill the libs? With a strong NDP, there is a chance for splitting the vote on the left. We are entering the range I was talking about, the range where the tories start to do well enough to make New Democrats vote Liberal. We could end up with a tory minority with only 30% of the vote if the vote is significantly split.
  13. recent poll: Lib-35 Con-27 NDP-17 the NDP seems to have hit a celing of sorts I say that martin calls the election today.
  14. I'm sure the tories would insist on senate reform. I wouldent mind to see a dipper-tory alliance. now THAT's a progressive conservative
  15. see, this is why I have maximums and minimums. for example, if the election were to be called today, I'd think the Liberals would get near the minimum.
  16. in some places, this election is going to look alot like 1993
  17. the CPC is dancing around 25% the NDP has been gonig stedely up since the 2000 election. 8% to 19% in 3.5 years? I'd say thats quite a feat. the CPC is at 24%, which is double what the PC party got in 2000, but still less then the Alliance
  18. a total of 35 points movement in BC (15 lib, 15 con, 5 ndp) this next election will be fought in BC
  19. the NDP wont work with either the bloc will work with both I dont see any coalitions, just a minority government where every issues needs 1 other party supporting it
  20. Lib-42% NDP-23% Con-21% Bloc-10% Oth-4%
  21. well, it was this article http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_cloning from wikipedia, that freaked me out a bit. especially the lines: its scary to think of what you can create, and I dont mean another Hitler, but a monster, who is not recogonizable as "human" even ... this will become an issue within the next few decades.
  22. am I the only bothered with this human cloning? the prospects of some scientists genetecally engenering humans into slaves, turning us into monsters for thier own purposes. I am appauled, and sickend.
  23. its a trust issue do you trust $250,000,000 theifs? do you trust Larry Spencer? do you trust Svend Robinson? I think when faced with these choices, that they'll pick the $250,000,000
  24. they both support senate reform. which puts them in my good book
  25. your right, it died it's voters meandered between the PLQ and PQ before finding a home in the ADQ
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