Yzermandius19

if you don't believe me do your own homework and go back and look at any election in Canadian history to show me a single counter example of a Conservative winning a federal election without the Liberals shitting the bed in Quebec and the Conservatives killing it in Ontario happening simultaneously it's not a thing that has ever happened and that is not a coincidence it's just how Canadian politics work I find it odd that people who think they know a lot about Canadian politics are somehow completely oblivious to this obvious dynamic that runs through every single federal election in Canadian history the only explanations I can think of is 1) ignorance of Canadian political history to a staggering degree that y'all somehow missed this or 2) wishful thinking that is so powerful due to Trudeau Derangement Syndrome that all logic goes completely out the window or 3) both

it would be better if the momentum was late with not enough time to change in the Liberals favor as it is that just means the left are less likely to split the only way to split the left is for NDP to run strong in Quebec and they aren't Jagmeet Singh is no Jack Layton not even close so it's a non-starter, just on that alone but even if they did split the left for the sake of argument the Conservatives still have to run up the score in Ontario to capitalize on that and they aren't the Liberals are leading in both Ontario and Quebec and unless that changes in a major way in both provinces they will not lose the Conservatives can only win in Canada when the stars line up and/or they have candidate who is popular in Quebec the stars aren't lining up and don't appear to be close to lining up and O'Toole is not popular in Quebec

they are same type of cuckservative they are liberals wearing blue and calling themselves conservatives neither is charismatic at all O'Toole is even more of a cuck than Scheer same-same Conservatives just doubling down on what failed last time

that's because they knew the Conservatives were going to lose if they were at all worried they were going to win they would never do that that's why Trudeau got elected in the first place the Liberals were in third but then Harper made the mistake of blowing up the NDP and so the left jumped on the Liberal bandwagon and the Conservatives stood no chance without the NDP winning seats in Quebec to keep the Liberals down the Conservatives only win when the left is divided and left isn't divided Trudeau running strong in both Ontario and Quebec where it matters

wishful thinking is a helluva drug that's not what happens ask Andrew Scheer things are not different this time the Conservatives doubled down on the same shitty strategy that prevented them from beating Trudeau last time the NDP voters only flip to the Liberals they will always be conned into thinking the Conservatives are far right extremists, no matter how far to the left they go, it will never be far enough for NDP supporters they are so scared by that fake boogeyman that if the Conservatives ever get close, they vote strategically to stop them O'Toole might be able to flip some soft Liberal support, but not NDP supporters

exactly if the Conservatives are anywhere close this always happens like clockwork

and what does that have to do with comments?

80% of Canadians are for these vaccine passports there isn't much resistance to the idea at all the citizens will do it and thank the government for trampling their rights because Canada sucks and Canadians suck we are surrounded by mindless zombies, in case y'all haven't noticed

Trudeau has this in the bag those indulging in wishful thinking are going to be disappointed brace yourselves now, deluding yourself does you no good

nobody has the right to force others to endanger their own health or life, so that those others can feel safer about covid either yet they still do it or support those trying to do this anyway these people can shove their mandatory vaccinations up their ass they don't care about the health of others, they care about controlling the behavior of others they pretend to care about the health of others as their justification for supporting authoritarian bullshit but when confronted with choice of choosing between the two, they always side with the authoritarian bullshit over health concerns of others, proving how full of shit they really are only groups have rights to these people, not individuals, and only the groups they like, not the ones they don't like all your individual rights are invalid to them, the moment a group they like wants to force individuals to do something and invokes the "safety" of the group as justification for it they ain't subtle and the only people they are fooling with their authoritarian collectivist virtue signalling is themselves

what is your disagreement? all I see is non-sequiturs

wishful thinking is a helluva drug Shapiro thinks America should just stay forever so long as it's just a small footprint and if they did then they could have propped up the fake Afghan government forever without the Taliban ever taking back control of the country that's just delusion MIC shilling, right thurr Shapiro has a lot of good points at times and he's clearly a smart dude who is good at making an argument but his foreign policy is definitely a serious weak point of his despite how knowledgeable he is on the topic he still lacks insight and common sense and repeats silly cookie cutter talking points of neoliberal foreign policy he does a better job of that than most of the folks peddling that shit but it's still nonsense though he does make good points at times on foreign policy too he often misses the forest for the trees due to confirmation bias his recent Afghanistan analysis is a prime example of that

China already beat him to the punch

before the election he'll virtue signal about the mistreatment of Afghan women at the hands of the Taliban and refuse to give them money she-rights after the election he'll virtue signal about how the mistreatment of Afghan women is why they need to give the Taliban money she-aid

the Covid Doom Cult doesn't get it, who knew?

Trump's withdrawal plan would have been better no doubt however the end result would still have been the Taliban taking control of the country that not happening was never on the table regardless of what withdrawal plan was executed the fake Afghanistan government was never going to survive without America propping it up with military force and even then, it was on shaky ground the whole time

Biden basically pulled the Darth Vader and the Taliban called his bluff you ain't Vader, bro don't snow, Joe you wanna brake the deal? fine, we'll take advantage of your stupidity go right ahead make our day

nope, the schedule agreed to was withdrawal in May 2021, that was the deal the Trump admin agreed to and the Biden admin altered it to withdrawal on September 11th, 2021 that was all on America breaking the deal for partisan political reasons withdrawal was not based on troop draw down from 13,000 to 8.600 8,600 left is not withdrawal

not true they delayed the withdrawal from May to September and broke the deal as political ploy to rob Trump of the credit for the withdrawal so Biden could take the credit instead it clearly made the situation worse however, Trump's deal would not have stopped the Taliban from taking over but it would have reduced the clusterfck compared to what we see now withdrawal was never going to be without downsides but staying has even greater downsides and when they inevitably left it would have just made the downsides of withdrawal even worse the longer they stayed Biden made the right call to pull out the execution was terrible though and he deserves to take the blame for that

no deal, no matter how good would have stopped the Taliban from filling the void that was baked into the cake no matter what America did that was the inevitable outcome anyone claiming that isn't knowable is simply ignorant of the situation

the former government in Afghanistan was a fake government propped up entirely by America there was no way to save it obvious potemkin village is obvious staying to prop it up would be a fool's errand should have never gone in in the first place better the Taliban run the place than AQ or ISIS the fake government continuing to run the joint is a pipe dream of wishful thinkers that don't understand Afghanistan or it's people at all

nation building doesn't work staying forever is a far dumber plan than cutting your loses and folding a hand that cannot win shouldn't have played that hand in the first place but just because you did doesn't mean you should go down with the ship fallacy of sunk costs, is for suckers

fake environmentalists don't get it, who knew?

that's all part of the scam claim that if we don't destroy the economy the world will end invoking disaster to sell nonesense because if you don't listen to the nonsense the sky will fall using the fear of doomsday is the only way to sell it without the doomsday no one will buy into the centrally planned boondoggles being proposed as the only "solution" obvious scam is obvious those who fall for it are total rubes

false dichotomy the species was more rapacious of the environment when it was poorer you can see this even today, as the poor nations have the worst environmental records and the wealthy nations have the best environmental records a healthy economy and a healthier environment go hand in hand those who think the only way to help the environment is to hurt the economy are fake environmentalists they care more about damaging the economy than helping the environment, neo-luddites they cloak their hatred of humanity thriving in environmentalism, to try and sell their bullshit to the masses but the people aren't buying it wise up, myata obvious scam is obvious if you really care about the environment don't buy into the scam zero-sum thinking is for Malthusian suckers