QuebecOverCanada
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Trump approval reaches new high. African Americans approval for Trump's presidency is rising sharply. Incredible display of patriotism across the country.
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Trump's Approval Breaks ALL TIME High, Record High African American Support As Well.
The latest poll from Zogby shows Donald Trump's approval rating is at a record high of 51% with record high support from the African American community at 28%.
With an amazing economy, though not without hiccups, record low unemployment, and and increasing base Trump seems on track for a 2020 Landslide. Meanwhile 2020 Democrats seem to be floundering so much so that even Bill Maher says they are crazier than Trump and is calling for a recession to get Trump out. Maher knows the Democrats only hope is a recession which some predict may be coming. But so far Republicans are more than doubling fundraising relative to the Democrats. If Trump, the RNC, and Republicans in general are sitting on cash with no debt then they are very much favored to win come 2020.
At the same time as all of this, however, a Fox News poll shows Trump near record high disapproval and losing to the Democrats in match up polls.
Though it was just one poll showing this all time high the important point is why I feel it is more likely to be correct compared to negative polls So then how could Trump simultaneously be at record high approval but near record high disapproval? The answer is in the wider data.
With an increasing average favorability and an increasing average job approval, the polls from Fox News appear to be noise in the bigger picture. While Trump's average approval is still low, his favorability and approval are higher than where they were when he was elected. Based on his incumbent advantage, a soaring economy, and increasing approval it seems he is on track for 2020 victory. But the main point here is that you need to see the bigger picture.
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Most polls - especially mainstream polls - were wrong the last time. Either they really got it wrong, or were purposefully giving fake poll ratings......... in support of the Dems!
Here’s Every Major Poll That Got Donald Trump’s Election Win Wrong
One poll consistently had an accurate snapshot of the electorate — the USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times “Daybreak” poll — but it was mocked by most political pundits and cable news talking heads as an outlier. The poll had given Donald Trump a significant chance to win over the past four months.
https://www.thewrap.com/every-poll-that-got-election-wrong-donald-trump/
QuoteDon’t Assume Trump’s Approval Rating Can’t Climb Higher. It Already Has.
Millions of Americans who did not like the president in 2016 now say they do.
Trump's Job Approval Rating, by Interview Mode
President Trump has fared better in telephone polls than online surveys over the last few months. Those who expressed no opinion of the president are not included in this rating.
In some periods over the last few months, his job approval rating increased to among the highest levels of his term, according to live-interview telephone polls, long considered the gold standard of public opinion research.
It’s true that the president’s job approval rating has been unusually stable when compared with other presidents. But the possibility that he has lifted his ratings, however fleetingly, to match the highest levels of his presidency is a reminder that the ceiling on his support is higher than some may think.
https://www.nytimes.com/2019/08/07/upshot/trump-approval-rating-rise.html
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The polls were right last time. You just don't understand how they work.
They said he had about a 10% chance of winning. That turned out to be true.
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National polls are meaningless, you have to go district by district to glean any shifts in the balance of power, it's not one big election, it's a whole lotta little elections.
