Cutting Off American Potash

[Prime Rogue Inc]

Hey there!

My name is Kevin and I'm the President of Prime Rogue Inc - we're a Calgary-based holdings firm specializing in AI and intelligence. I am absolutely not here to sell anything and I think this is compliant with forum rules.

Long-story short, I've written a piece where I argue that cutting off potash supplies to the US is our most viable pathway to balancing Trump in relation to the tariffs. The argument is that the downstream effects of a Potash cutoff would be quite catastrophic for the American farming industry. I'm finding that a lot of Canadians and Americans either don't know what potash even is or think it's too extreme.

I'm wondering if I'm the one being made delirious by anger at the Yanks or if I'm in the right ballpark.

My full deep-dive is linked below and I'd appreciate any thoughts!

Cheers,

Kevin

https://primerogueinc.com/blog/the-potash-war-how-canada-can-cripple-u-s-agriculture-and-force-a-reckoning

[ExFlyer]

OK, considering 80% of the potash goes to the US and the largest consumer of potash is China and we seemed to have pissed off both of those countries, now what??

Just saying sell and ship to someone else is not as easy as saying it. It can take years to get trade deals with other countries and in the meantime....what??

It is always easy to complain and say things but the reality hammer must come down.

[eyeball]

2 hours ago, ExFlyer said:

Just saying sell and ship to someone else is not as easy as saying it. It can take years to get trade deals with other countries and in the meantime....what??

No doubt the US and China are saying we'll just get potash from someone else but won't it take as long to get trade deals with other suppliers?

[ExFlyer]

31 minutes ago, eyeball said:

No doubt the US and China are saying we'll just get potash from someone else but won't it take as long to get trade deals with other suppliers?

Canada is the world's largest producer of potash, an alkaline potassium compound used in fertilizers. In 2022, Canada produced 38% of the world's potash, which was about 24.6 million metric tons. 

Canada has the world's largest potash reserves, with 1.1 billion tonnes of potash

The Canadian province of Saskatchewan has the world's largest potash reserves

Russia and Belarus are the second and fourth largest potash producing countries, respectively.  So, if China and US wants to deal with them...then go ahead LOL (China might :))

[eyeball]

2 minutes ago, ExFlyer said:

Russia and Belarus are the second and fourth largest potash producing countries, respectively.  So, if China and US wants to deal with them...then go ahead LOL (China might :))

Yup, the dumbass Yanks really aren't thinking very clearly these days.

[Dougie93]

18 hours ago, Prime Rogue Inc said:

I'm wondering if I'm the one being made delirious by anger at the Yanks or if I'm in the right ballpark

I would suggest that the majority of Canadians are delirious in this way,

yet the dynamic in play is called ; brinkmanship

it's like a nuclear confrontation;

you need to convince the adversary that you are fully prepared to go all the way ; mutually assured destruction

it's a paradox ; burn the village to save the village,

I would however suggest that the advantage that Canadians have in this fight ;

is that Canadians are far more invested than Americans are,

most Americans are not even aware that they have incited an existential conflict with Canada,

tho that in of itself is an existential threat to Canada ;

Americans have crossed a red line without even realizing, in the fog of war

[Doowangle]

58 minutes ago, Dougie93 said:

I would suggest that the majority of Canadians are delirious in this way,

yet the dynamic in play is called ; brinkmanship

it's like a nuclear confrontation;

you need to convince the adversary that you are fully prepared to go all the way ; mutually assured destruction

it's a paradox ; burn the village to save the village,

I would however suggest that the advantage that Canadians have in this fight ;

is that Canadians are far more invested than Americans are,

most Americans are not even aware that they have incited an existential conflict with Canada,

tho that in of itself is an existential threat to Canada ;

Americans have crossed a red line without even realizing, in the fog of war

I think they realize it, they just don't take it seriously. Americans see Canada the way Canada sees a country like Bahrain. Its just impossible for them to conceive of it as a real threat in any scenario. 

 

 

1 hour ago, ExFlyer said:

Canada is the world's largest producer of potash, an alkaline potassium compound used in fertilizers. In 2022, Canada produced 38% of the world's potash, which was about 24.6 million metric tons. 

Canada has the world's largest potash reserves, with 1.1 billion tonnes of potash

The Canadian province of Saskatchewan has the world's largest potash reserves

Russia and Belarus are the second and fourth largest potash producing countries, respectively.  So, if China and US wants to deal with them...then go ahead LOL (China might :))

 

 

I would not put it past Trump to start immediately trying to trade with Putin again. 

[Dougie93]

3 minutes ago, Doowangle said:

I think they realize it, they just don't take it seriously. Americans see Canada the way Canada sees a country like Bahrain. Its just impossible for them to conceive of it as a real threat in any scenario.

well what I learned in HM Royal Canadian Infantry Corps ;

is to not worry about that which is beyond your control,

don't anticipate contact, if it comes, just let the training take over then,

in the meantime, keep calm and carry on, just another pilgrim on the road to Calvary

Ducimus