Biblio Bibuli Posted January 16, 2006 Report Posted January 16, 2006 But lets stop hijacking these people's post. I bet you that the originator who put out the original post on St Nicholas Day, and the people responsible for keeping this topic alive all throughout last year would now LOVE for someone to hijack it. You see, with the ridiculously low predictions of how many seats CPCers would garnish ....... like for example ... Slavik's 102 ... Colby's 105 ... tml12's 106 ... Van. King's 110 ... August1991's 113 .... I doubt they are holding their heads high today. I wouldn't like to be in their situation. ESPECIALLY if someone kept bring it up, over and over and over again. THAT'S why I tried to change the topic! But have it your way! They probably had it coming anyway. The Geoff Prediction v3CPC 162 I'm not going to raise your 162 right now because, looking around, my 160 is still in the money. Quote When a true Genius appears in the World, you may know him by this Sign, that the Dunces are all in confederacy against him. - Jonathan Swift GO IGGY GO!
Biblio Bibuli Posted January 16, 2006 Report Posted January 16, 2006 Bet you my 160 will be closer than your 146.-You're on! Done! Quote When a true Genius appears in the World, you may know him by this Sign, that the Dunces are all in confederacy against him. - Jonathan Swift GO IGGY GO!
Canuck E Stan Posted January 16, 2006 Report Posted January 16, 2006 Biblio Bibuli, Just for interest . How about within plus or minus three? -CES Quote "Any man under 30 who is not a liberal has no heart, and any man over 30 who is not a conservative has no brains." — Winston Churchill
geoffrey Posted January 16, 2006 Report Posted January 16, 2006 Biblio Bibuli,Just for interest . How about within plus or minus three? -CES Plus or minus 4 and I'm in for a beer bet here. Quote RealRisk.ca - (Latest Post: Prosecutors have no "Skin in the Game") --
Biblio Bibuli Posted January 17, 2006 Report Posted January 17, 2006 Just for interest . How about within plus or minus three?-CES It is obvious to me that you have decided that you cannot win and thus you're now just hoping not to lose by giving me this new proposition. Nice try, Stanislav, but I'm not THAT stupid. However ..... since our first bet WAS "just for interest" (no money or beer involved) I'm more than willing to cancel it and make a new one, one where we put our money or beers where our mouths are. So how about it? You choose a new number and I choose mine and whoever gets closer wins a case of beer (24 and up!). Go ahead, Stan! Quote When a true Genius appears in the World, you may know him by this Sign, that the Dunces are all in confederacy against him. - Jonathan Swift GO IGGY GO!
Biblio Bibuli Posted January 17, 2006 Report Posted January 17, 2006 Nice try, Stanislav, but I'm not THAT stupid. I lied. Had it not been for Geoffrey's " " you would have had me sucked in, hook line and sinker. THANKS GEOFFREY!! Quote When a true Genius appears in the World, you may know him by this Sign, that the Dunces are all in confederacy against him. - Jonathan Swift GO IGGY GO!
Canuck E Stan Posted January 17, 2006 Report Posted January 17, 2006 Biblio Bibuli, I thought I was helping you out. I withdraw my offer,it's the battle of the numbers. My rev. 4 numbers to yours. Good Luck! We may both be wrong if Doug Fisher is right .He's been around Ottawa since Diefenbaker. Considered the GodFather of the parliamentary press gallery. Here's his prediction: Still, let me be an early bird again this week by suggesting it is not impossible that the determination among Canadians to have a change in government may well produce something truly phenomenal. Not just a finish which has the Conservatives holding 185-200 seats, but one that consigns the Liberals to fourth place in the House of Commons ranking --behind both the Bloc Quebecois and the New Democrats! Doug Fisher Quote "Any man under 30 who is not a liberal has no heart, and any man over 30 who is not a conservative has no brains." — Winston Churchill
shoop Posted January 17, 2006 Report Posted January 17, 2006 Stan, On the face of it that is a dream scenario. However, a win that big would have the potential for downside. A much smaller Conservative majority would be that much better. A massive win could lead to the massive hubris of the PC government after 1984. Still possible under the scenario Fisher laid out. 170 seats for the CPC would be very nice, very nice indeed. Quote
Biblio Bibuli Posted January 17, 2006 Report Posted January 17, 2006 We may both be wrong if Doug Fisher is right .Doug Fisher The question is... how can Doug be wrong. He's not ruling out an "amazing about-turn" where Martin could come out as a majority PM, right down to the Liberals being in the dumps with the Conservatives holding 190 seats. How the hell does he get away with that? Quote When a true Genius appears in the World, you may know him by this Sign, that the Dunces are all in confederacy against him. - Jonathan Swift GO IGGY GO!
Biblio Bibuli Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 Post your predictions here. Here are my projections:CPC 113 I think I'm being too generous to the Tories ... Seeing as how August1991 went so shamefully off course with his projection, , I think it would be cruel and unusual punnishment to expect him to now come back to this topic of his and fulfill his duty of tallying up all the predictions. But SOMEBODY has to do it! Any volunteers? Quote When a true Genius appears in the World, you may know him by this Sign, that the Dunces are all in confederacy against him. - Jonathan Swift GO IGGY GO!
Biblio Bibuli Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 Seeing as how August1991 went so shamefully off course with his projection, , I think it would be cruel and unusual punnishment to expect him to now come back to this topic of his and fulfill his duty of tallying up all the predictions.But SOMEBODY has to do it! Any volunteers? Here are some of today's stray predictions: BigGunner ..... 125 Tml12 ............ 134 Hicksay .......... 149 Geoffrey ........ 158 http://www.mapleleafweb.com/forums/index.p...t=0entry90663 Whichever one of you assumes red faced August1991's responsibility of tallying up the predictions , please make sure you include these. Thanks! Quote When a true Genius appears in the World, you may know him by this Sign, that the Dunces are all in confederacy against him. - Jonathan Swift GO IGGY GO!
geoffrey Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 Seeing as how August1991 went so shamefully off course with his projection, , I think it would be cruel and unusual punnishment to expect him to now come back to this topic of his and fulfill his duty of tallying up all the predictions.But SOMEBODY has to do it! Any volunteers? Here are some of today's stray predictions: BigGunner ..... 125 Tml12 ............ 134 Hicksay .......... 149 Geoffrey ........ 158 http://www.mapleleafweb.com/forums/index.p...t=0entry90663 Whichever one of you assumes red faced August1991's responsibility of tallying up the predictions , please make sure you include these. Thanks! I'm tallying them now... I'll either edit this post or reply if someone else gets here first. Quote RealRisk.ca - (Latest Post: Prosecutors have no "Skin in the Game") --
geoffrey Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 Alright folks, the bets are in, here's the list in descending order of optimisim (or pessimism from the left): Conservative Joe - 160 Geoffrey - 158 (Bloc in Opposition) Harare - 158 (Bloc in Opposition) Biblio Bibuli - 156 Willy - 155 Hicksey - 149 Canuck E Stan - 146 (Liberal Opposition) Sparhawk - 140 (Liberal Opposition) Betsy - 140 (Liberal Opposition) Slavik 44 - 136 (Liberal Opposition) tml12 - 134 (Liberal Opposition) Biggunner - 125 (Liberal Opposition) Apollo 19 - 118 (Liberal Opposition) Bubbermiley - 114 tied with 114 from the Liberals Any mistakes please correct. Add your prediction in there if you haven't yet, I'm looking at Kimmy, eureka, Leafless and I miss Trudeau, what slackers eh? Quote RealRisk.ca - (Latest Post: Prosecutors have no "Skin in the Game") --
BigGunner Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 That was 125 for the tories from me.. Alright folks, the bets are in, here's the list in descending order of optimisim (or pessimism from the left):Conservative Joe - 160 Geoffrey - 158 (Bloc in Opposition) Harare - 158 (Bloc in Opposition) Biblio Bibuli - 156 Willy - 155 Hicksey - 149 Canuck E Stan - 146 (Liberal Opposition) Sparhawk - 140 (Liberal Opposition) Betsy - 140 (Liberal Opposition) Slavik 44 - 136 (Liberal Opposition) tml12 - 134 (Liberal Opposition) Biggunner - 123 (Liberal Opposition) Apollo 19 - 118 (Liberal Opposition) Bubbermiley - 114 tied with 114 from the Liberals Any mistakes please correct. Add your prediction in there if you haven't yet, I'm looking at Kimmy, eureka, Leafless and I miss Trudeau, what slackers eh? Quote
August1991 Posted January 22, 2006 Author Report Posted January 22, 2006 Andrew Coyne's "announcement": Tories win 69 seats in the West, 48 in Ontario, 8 in Quebec, and 15 in Atlantic Canada. Total: 140. Liberals win 9 in the West (including 2 in the North), 46 in Ontario, 12 in Quebec, 14 in Atlantic Canada. Total: 81. NDP win 16 in the West, 12 in Ontario, 3 in Atlantic Canada. Total: 31. Bloc win 54 in Quebec. Total: 54. Plus two independents. Total: 2. Quote
geoffrey Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 That was 125 for the tories from me.. Fixed.. Quote RealRisk.ca - (Latest Post: Prosecutors have no "Skin in the Game") --
fellowtraveller Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 Tories: 132 Liberals:85 Bloc 59 NDP 32 I don't see the Cons getting more than 2-3 seats in Quebec. oops, edited to make the numbers actually add up. Quote The government should do something.
Biblio Bibuli Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 Andrew Coyne's "announcement":Tories win 69 seats in the West, 48 in Ontario, 8 in Quebec, and 15 in Atlantic Canada. Total: 140. 140 is long way from your pathetic 113, August1991. Too bad Andrew Coyne is not working for MLW instead of the NP, because here he would have the freedom to say how he really predicts this election will go. (163 is my guess.) Quote When a true Genius appears in the World, you may know him by this Sign, that the Dunces are all in confederacy against him. - Jonathan Swift GO IGGY GO!
tml12 Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 Andrew Coyne's "announcement": Tories win 69 seats in the West, 48 in Ontario, 8 in Quebec, and 15 in Atlantic Canada. Total: 140. 140 is long way from your pathetic 113, August1991. Too bad Andrew Coyne is not working for MLW instead of the NP, because here he would have the freedom to say how he really predicts this election will go. (163 is my guess.) I am sticking with 134 CPC seats (with a margin of error of 4 seats)... Quote "Those who stand for nothing fall for anything." -Alexander Hamilton
Hydraboss Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 Still time to get in? CPC's 153 Lib's 71 BQ's 54 ND's 30 Closest without going over, right? If there's a tie, the opposition numbers count second? Quote "racist, intolerant, small-minded bigot" - AND APPARENTLY A SOCIALIST (2010) (2015)Economic Left/Right: 8.38 3.38 Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: 3.13 -1.23
geoffrey Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 Still time to get in?CPC's 153 Lib's 71 BQ's 54 ND's 30 Closest without going over, right? If there's a tie, the opposition numbers count second? No I think we've just gone to the induvidual local beer bets. Quote RealRisk.ca - (Latest Post: Prosecutors have no "Skin in the Game") --
August1991 Posted January 22, 2006 Author Report Posted January 22, 2006 140 is long way from your pathetic 113, August1991. Too bad Andrew Coyne is not working for MLW instead of the NP, because here he would have the freedom to say how he really predicts this election will go. (163 is my guess.) I made that prediction in December and I was going to make an update until I saw that SES poll that just came out.... Let me pick some random numbers: Tories 135 Libs 84 BQ 53 NDP 35 Ind 1 This is a ridiculously hard election to call because of the three way races. I suspect there will be many frustrated candidates tomorrow evening, and many winners with around 40% of the vote in their ridings. Quote
Slavik44 Posted January 22, 2006 Report Posted January 22, 2006 Well good luck to everyone who made projections, I will leave my final results the same, although I think we might see one or two independants win on election day. Quote The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible for men to live without breaking laws. - Ayn Rand --------- http://www.politicalcompass.org/ Economic Left/Right: 4.75 Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.54 Last taken: May 23, 2007
normanchateau Posted January 23, 2006 Report Posted January 23, 2006 Never bet against the stupidity or complacency of the Canadian electorate. Election results on January 23rd, 2006, will prove how true this statement is. Quote
Murray B. Posted January 23, 2006 Report Posted January 23, 2006 Okay, as long as this won't cost me anything I predict the Liberals will be reduced to three seats or less with the remainder about equally split between the Conservatives, NDP, and Bloc. If I am right, what do I win? Quote
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