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Posted

If the CPC doesn't win in the federal election and say the LPC wins, do you think the stock price for publicly traded corporations will go up or not?

I think if the LPCs win, then stock prices will fall. I'm trying to figure out if I hit sell and then wait for the stocks to adjust. I am significantly vested in the stock market....and i'm now back in the black post the Chinese market problem...

My views are my own and not those of my employer.

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Posted

I think the Canadian market will largely continue to follow the direction of the US market, with its strength relative to the US market mostly controlled by the price of oil. Canadian elections will play a minor, if any, role.

Posted

I think the Canadian market will largely continue to follow the direction of the US market, with its strength relative to the US market mostly controlled by the price of oil. Canadian elections will play a minor, if any, role.

What about if one's portfolio contains mostly Canadian stocks?

My views are my own and not those of my employer.

Posted

I think there would be a TSX concern if the NDP got a majority, but not the wannabe Liberal "neo-conservatives". Alberta is already crashing !

So you think it's not an issue?

My views are my own and not those of my employer.

Posted

Never mix politics with investing as they don't mix well.

The differences between the CPC and Liberals are too small to have any effect. The NDP may have a small but still immaterial effect.

The differences are not very big even though the partisans think otherwise.

Find an investment strategy that focuses on business/statistical reasons: value investing, growth investing, momentum investing, dogs of the DOW, dogs of the TSX, buy stocks that make new 52 week highs or lows, buy sectors or countries that are cheap on a CAPE basis, choose an asset allocation and stick to it on an annual basis, or just buy a few index funds (world index stocks, world index bonds) etc etc.

No need to complicate investing any further by adding unpredictable political events that often have little more than short term effects (with exceptions for revolutions/world wars).

If a believer demands that I, as a non-believer, observe his taboos in the public domain, he is not asking for my respect but for my submission. And that is incompatible with a secular democracy. Flemming Rose (Dutch journalist)

My biggest takeaway from economics is that the past wasn't as good as you remember, the present isn't as bad as you think, and the future will be better than you anticipate. Morgan Housel http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2016/01/14/things-im-pretty-sure-about.aspx

Posted

I think the Canadian market will largely continue to follow the direction of the US market, with its strength relative to the US market mostly controlled by the price of oil. Canadian elections will play a minor, if any, role.

I agree.

"Never trust a man who has not a single redeeming vice". WSC

Posted

Stockbrokers are all crooks lol.

Oh. In that case, just ask a bunch of random strangers on the internet who may or may not like you.

:D :D :D :D

Stocks will definitely go down - no matter who wins. Sell! SELL!!!

Unlimited economic growth has the marvelous quality of stilling discontent while preserving privilege, a fact that has not gone unnoticed among liberal economists.

- Noam Chomsky

It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.

- Upton Sinclair

Posted

The differences are not very big even though the partisans think otherwise.

Sad but true. There's really no choice when it comes to the politics of economics.

Unlimited economic growth has the marvelous quality of stilling discontent while preserving privilege, a fact that has not gone unnoticed among liberal economists.

- Noam Chomsky

It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.

- Upton Sinclair

Posted

On the stock market programs on TV, I heard a US broker say that investors should sell anything they have in stocks because the market is going down. So saying that, it doesn't matter who the PM is, it is what it is.

Posted

On the stock market programs on TV, I heard a US broker say that investors should sell anything they have in stocks because the market is going down. So saying that, it doesn't matter who the PM is, it is what it is.

Last week's rally put me whole again. I'm not so sure what that individual is going on about...

My views are my own and not those of my employer.

Posted

On the stock market programs on TV, I heard a US broker say that investors should sell anything they have in stocks because the market is going down. So saying that, it doesn't matter who the PM is, it is what it is.

Not because of a Canadian federal election...which was the specific question. There is a reason you watch such programs...that come from the United States.

Economics trumps Virtue. 

 

Posted

Not because of a Canadian federal election...which was the specific question. There is a reason you watch such programs...that come from the United States.

I was referencing the thoughts upthread that the US and Canadian economy are basically tied. So if the Canadian economy goes down....

My views are my own and not those of my employer.

Posted

I was referencing the thoughts upthread that the US and Canadian economy are basically tied. So if the Canadian economy goes down....

Only for a small number of sectors, like commodities or energy. Most Americans don't know or care who the present Canadian prime minister is or who will be the next one, but many know the current price of West Texas Intermediate crude.

Economics trumps Virtue. 

 

Posted

Most Americans don't know or care who the present Canadian prime minister is or who will be the next one,

or where Canada is on a map.

Unlimited economic growth has the marvelous quality of stilling discontent while preserving privilege, a fact that has not gone unnoticed among liberal economists.

- Noam Chomsky

It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.

- Upton Sinclair

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