maplesyrup Posted November 8, 2004 Report Posted November 8, 2004 Our national survey completed Monday November 1, 2004 shows the Liberals with a 15 point lead over the Conservatives: Liberals 41%, Conservatives 26%, NDP 17%, BQ 11%, Green 6%. An analysis of the regional breakdown indicates that the Bloc has dropped eight points in Quebec with the NDP picking up four points, the Liberals three points and the Conservatives one point. Liberals support is up in Ontario at the expense of the NDP. Martin leads Harper as best PM by a margin of 2 to 1 and 44% of Canadians would describe Liberal government performance as average. Tonight on PrimeTime Politics at 8 PM EST, viewers get the detailed review of the poll. This is also available on the SES website (www.sesresearch.com). Polling October 26 to November 1 (Random Telephone Survey of 1,000 Canadians, MoE ± 3.1%, 19 times out of 20). Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding. Canada - Ballot (Change from Previous Quarter, N= 857 Decided voters, MoE ± 3.4%, 19 times out of 20) LIB - 41% (+3) CP - 26% (0) NDP -17% (0) BQ - 11% (-3) GP - 6% (+1) *14% were undecided (0) Best PM (Change from Previous Quarter, N=978) Martin - 35% (-1) Harper - 17% (+1) Layton - 14% (+1) Duceppe - 9% (+1) None - 15% (+4) Unsure - 11% (-5) Government Performance (Change from Previous Quarter, N=990) Very good - 4% (-1) Somewhat good - 21% (0) Average - 44% (+2) Somewhat poor - 17% (+1) Very poor - 10% (0) Unsure - 4% Quote An education isn't how much you have committed to memory, or even how much you know. It's being able to differentiate between what you do know and what you don't. Anatole France
BigGunner Posted November 8, 2004 Report Posted November 8, 2004 Certainly the breakthrough province for any party that wishes to govern is indeed Quebec. Reasons for the NDP's increase - Layton's unwavering opposition to "Starwars II", the war in Iraq. I wonder how Quebec voters will respond to Harper's milking the veterans-flag flap issue. Quote
maplesyrup Posted November 8, 2004 Author Report Posted November 8, 2004 And it's good to see the NDP ahead of the Cons in the Atlantic region. Interestin' times ahead. And if you want to see who really controls politics in this country - check out Navigator Political Junkies Quote An education isn't how much you have committed to memory, or even how much you know. It's being able to differentiate between what you do know and what you don't. Anatole France
August1991 Posted November 9, 2004 Report Posted November 9, 2004 Compare: Jun 2004 Election Lib .. 36.7% CPC .. 29.6% NDP .. 12.4% BQ .. 15.7% Oth .. 5.6% --- This poll: LIB - 41% CP - 26% NDP -17% BQ - 11% GP - 6% These numbers are generally within the margin of error. I would be suspicious if the NDP growth is due to gains in Quebec. If the Liberal numbers grow, even a little, expect the Libs to get more bolshie in the new year. Thanx MS for posting. Quote
maplesyrup Posted November 9, 2004 Author Report Posted November 9, 2004 Compare:Jun 2004 Election Lib .. 36.7% CPC .. 29.6% NDP .. 12.4% BQ .. 15.7% Oth .. 5.6% --- This poll: LIB - 41% CP - 26% NDP -17% BQ - 11% GP - 6% These numbers are generally within the margin of error. I would be suspicious if the NDP growth is due to gains in Quebec. If the Liberal numbers grow, even a little, expect the Libs to get more bolshie in the new year. Thanx MS for posting. August1991......why do you continually post incorrect data here at mapleleafweb? Please correct your figures. Quote An education isn't how much you have committed to memory, or even how much you know. It's being able to differentiate between what you do know and what you don't. Anatole France
August1991 Posted November 9, 2004 Report Posted November 9, 2004 Fair enough, MS. (I reversed the BQ/NDP numbers). Do you have other evidence of mistaken data? Compare: Jun 2004 Election Lib .. 36.7% CPC .. 29.6% NDP .. 15.7% BQ .. 12.4% Oth .. 5.6% --- This poll: LIB - 41% CP - 26% NDP -17% BQ - 11% GP - 6% Elections Canada Quote
Slavik44 Posted November 9, 2004 Report Posted November 9, 2004 Compare:Jun 2004 Election Lib .. 36.7% CPC .. 29.6% NDP .. 12.4% BQ .. 15.7% Oth .. 5.6% --- This poll: LIB - 41% CP - 26% NDP -17% BQ - 11% GP - 6% These numbers are generally within the margin of error. I would be suspicious if the NDP growth is due to gains in Quebec. If the Liberal numbers grow, even a little, expect the Libs to get more bolshie in the new year. Thanx MS for posting. I would be cautious of reading anything into quebec and perhaps even atlantic Caanda. If you re-call during the polling for the 2004 election, the conservatives would be up to 12% one day and down to 1% the next day, the same happend with the NDP in quebec aswell, so I wonder if it is jsut one of those fluctiations but everyone on this site has been wrong on polls at one point or another so maybe the NDP is emerging in quebec. Quote The only power any government has is the power to crack down on criminals. Well, when there aren't enough criminals, one makes them. One declares so many things to be a crime that it becomes impossible for men to live without breaking laws. - Ayn Rand --------- http://www.politicalcompass.org/ Economic Left/Right: 4.75 Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.54 Last taken: May 23, 2007
Big Blue Machine Posted November 9, 2004 Report Posted November 9, 2004 NDP won't ever win a seat in quebec with the Bloc around, and neither will the Cons. Quote And as I take man's last step from the surface, for now but we believe not too far into the future. I just like to say what I believe history will record that America's challenge on today has forged man's destiny of tomorrow. And as we leave the surface of Taurus-Littrow, we leave as we came and god willing we shall return with peace and hope for all mankind. Godspeed the crew of Apollo 17. Gene Cernan, the last man on the moon, December 1972.
maplesyrup Posted November 9, 2004 Author Report Posted November 9, 2004 I don't think it is very useful to keep posting incorrect figures. Quote An education isn't how much you have committed to memory, or even how much you know. It's being able to differentiate between what you do know and what you don't. Anatole France
Big Blue Machine Posted November 10, 2004 Report Posted November 10, 2004 No, it's always good to post incorrect figures. More fun that way. Quote And as I take man's last step from the surface, for now but we believe not too far into the future. I just like to say what I believe history will record that America's challenge on today has forged man's destiny of tomorrow. And as we leave the surface of Taurus-Littrow, we leave as we came and god willing we shall return with peace and hope for all mankind. Godspeed the crew of Apollo 17. Gene Cernan, the last man on the moon, December 1972.
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